BIG TEN
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Ohio State
|
0-0, 4-0
|
7-1, 12-1
|
7-1, 12-1
|
Rose Bowl
|
Wisconsin
|
1-0, 3-1
|
6-2, 9-3
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
|
Penn State
|
0-0, 3-1
|
4-4, 8-4
|
4-4, 7-5
| |
Indiana
|
0-0, 2-2
|
3-5, 6-6
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Purdue
|
0-1, 1-3
|
1-7, 2-10
|
0-8, 1-11
| |
Illinois
|
0-0, 2-1
|
0-8, 2-10
|
2-6, 5-7
| |
Nebraska
|
0-0, 3-1
|
7-1, 11-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Gator Bowl
|
Michigan
|
0-0, 4-0
|
6-2, 10-2
|
7-1, 11-2
|
Capital One Bowl
|
Northwestern
|
0-0, 4-0
|
6-2, 10-2
|
6-2, 10-2
|
Outback Bowl
|
Michigan State
|
0-0, 3-1
|
5-3, 8-4
|
4-4, 7-5
|
Meineke Car Care Bowl
|
Iowa
|
0-0, 3-1
|
2-6, 4-8
|
2-6, 5-7
| |
Minnesota
|
0-0, 4-0
|
1-7, 4-8
|
2-6, 6-6
|
Heart of Dallas Bowl
|
- I'll say it one more week...Braxton Miller returns this week for Ohio State, but would the Buckeyes be better off with Kenny Guiton at quarterback? Especially this week against a Badger team more susceptible through the air than on the ground?
- If Wisconsin is going to beat the Buckeyes, the tandem of Melvin Gordon and James White are not only going to have to break-off big runs, but also churn out 3 and 4 yard gains that leave Joel Stave with reasonable yardage on 3rd downs.
- Based on my projections, Iowa and Minnesota are playing for a bowl bid this weekend. Both teams have looked good enough in the non-conference season to pull-off an upset down the line, especially with the vulnerabilities that have emerged with most of the conference. So this projection is subject to change.
- I wanted to downgrade Michigan, but I decided to wait at least a week to make any changes. I would lean toward Northwestern as the best team in the Legends Division, but they must prove it against the conferences toughest schedule. Michigan's problems are fixable, but they need to be fixed fast because Akron and UConn are not calling again.
- Indiana's chances of a rare bowl appearance took a big hit with it's 2-2 non-conference record. The Hoosiers non-conference schedule didn't look overly daunting and with all 4 games at home, there was some optimism for a perfect start. Alas, Navy and Missouri are quality offenses that Indiana typically does not have answers for and now a 4-4 Big Ten record is needed. Not going to happen.
PAC 12
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Oregon
|
0-0, 3-0
|
9-0, 13-0
|
9-0, 13-0
|
BCS National Championship
|
Stanford
|
1-0, 3-0
|
7-2, 10-2
|
7-2, 10-2
|
Rose Bowl
|
Washington
|
0-0, 3-0
|
5-4, 8-4
|
6-3, 9-3
|
Holiday Bowl
|
Oregon State
|
1-0, 3-1
|
5-4, 8-4
|
4-5, 6-6
|
New Mexico Bowl
|
California
|
0-0, 1-2
|
2-7, 3-9
|
2-7, 3-9
| |
Washington State
|
1-0, 3-1
|
1-8, 3-9
|
2-7, 4-8
| |
Arizona State
|
0-1, 2-1
|
7-2, 9-4
|
6-3, 9-3
|
Sun Bowl
|
UCLA
|
0-0, 3-0
|
6-3, 8-4
|
6-3, 9-4
|
Alamo Bowl
|
USC
|
0-1, 3-1
|
6-3, 9-4
|
5-4, 8-5
| |
Arizona
|
0-0, 3-0
|
4-5, 7-5
|
4-5, 7-5
|
Las Vegas Bowl
|
Utah
|
0-1, 3-1
|
2-7, 3-9
|
2-7, 5-7
| |
Colorado
|
0-0, 2-0
|
0-9, 1-11
|
1-8, 3-8*
|
- Arizona State got a rude awakening in their PAC-12 opener. The PAC-12 is too deep to take a half off against anyone, let alone Stanford. I had high hopes for the Sun Devils, but I am starting to wonder if they have what it takes.
- On the other side, Stanford did what it needed, but continues to have some struggles on defense. They will likely get that straightened out, but if not there is plenty of offensive talent to make them pay in this conference.
- Kudos for USC for gutting out a victory in a defensive battle this weekend. That is what USC's wins are going to look like. They won't outscore people, so they have to hope to keep teams around 20 all season long.
- With the depth of this conference, it will be interesting how teams like Washington State and Utah fair. I feel like they are going to trip up someone, as they already got USC and BYU, respectively.
SEC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
South Carolina
|
1-1, 2-1
|
7-1, 11-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Outback Bowl
|
Georgia
|
1-0, 2-1
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 10-3
|
Capital One Bowl
|
Florida
|
1-0, 2-1
|
5-3, 8-4
|
5-3, 7-5
|
Gator Bowl
|
Vanderbilt
|
0-2, 2-2
|
4-4, 8-4
|
2-6, 6-6
|
Advocare V100 Bowl
|
Missouri
|
0-0, 3-0
|
2-6, 6-6
|
3-5, 7-5
|
Music City Bowl
|
Tennessee
|
0-1, 2-2
|
2-6, 5-7
|
3-5, 6-6
|
BBVA Compass Bowl
|
Kentucky
|
0-0, 1-2
|
0-8, 2-10
|
0-8, 2-10
| |
Texas A&M
|
0-1, 3-1
|
8-0, 13-0
|
7-1, 11-1
|
Orange Bowl
|
Alabama
|
1-0, 3-0
|
7-1, 11-1
|
7-1, 12-1
|
Sugar Bowl
|
Ole Miss
|
1-0, 3-0
|
5-3, 8-4
|
5-3, 9-3
|
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
|
LSU
|
0-0, 4-0
|
4-4, 8-4
|
6-2, 10-2
|
Cotton Bowl
|
Auburn
|
1-1, 3-1
|
3-5, 7-5
|
2-6, 6-6
|
Liberty Bowl
|
Mississippi State
|
0-1, 2-2
|
2-6, 5-7
|
2-6, 5-7
| |
Arkansas
|
0-0, 3-1
|
1-7, 5-7
|
1-7, 4-8
|
- The game I am most looking forward to in the SEC this weekend is Ole Miss at Alabama. The Crimson Tide got their hangover game in last week and it will be interesting to see if they can put together all 3 phases in a game. Ole Miss is no pushover, but it seems they are not quite ready to challenge the likes of Alabama. Unless the Tide offense or defense fails to show again.
- OK, LSU at Georgia is pretty big too. Usually when I think LSU I think defense, but I expect an old-fashioned shoot-out on Saturday between Aaron Murray and Zach Mettenberger.
- Mississippi State is off this week, but they seem to have found something in Dak Prescott.
- A healthy James Franklin makes such a difference for Missouri. If they stay healthy, look for Florida or South Carolina to be tripped up when they visit Missouri in October.
- Karma? You tell us Arkansas.
- Jeff Driskel's injury, whether a blessing or not for the Gators, comes at a good time. They can get by Tennessee and now Kentucky and Arkansas while Tyler Murphy settles in.
Big 12
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Oklahoma State
|
0-0, 3-0
|
8-1, 11-1
|
8-1, 11-1
|
Fiesta Bowl
|
Oklahoma
|
1-0, 3-0
|
7-2, 10-2
|
7-2, 10-2
|
Alamo Bowl
|
Texas
|
1-0, 2-2
|
7-2, 10-2
|
5-4, 6-6
|
Meineke Car Care Bowl
|
Baylor
|
0-0, 3-0
|
6-3, 9-3
|
8-1, 11-1
|
Cotton Bowl
|
Kansas State
|
0-1, 2-2
|
6-3, 9-3
|
4-5, 6-6
|
Pinstripe Bowl
|
TCU
|
0-1, 1-2
|
5-4, 7-5
|
5-4, 7-5
|
Holiday Bowl
|
Texas Tech
|
1-0, 4-0
|
3-5, 6-6
|
5-4, 8-4
|
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
|
West Virginia
|
0-1, 2-2
|
2-7, 5-7
|
1-8, 3-9
| |
Iowa State
|
0-0, 0-2
|
1-8, 3-9
|
1-8, 1-11
| |
Kansas
|
0-0, 2-1
|
0-9, 1-11
|
1-8, 3-9
|
- I actually caught a little bit of Baylor this week. That is fun to watch. It will be all about the defense once they actually play someone, but nobody is going to fully stop their weapons.
- Texas may have turned a mental hurdle, but the bottom line is that they are likely not going to contend for the Big 12 title.
- West Virginia is more inept than I realized. Geno, where are you?
- I have gone back and forth on Oklahoma-Notre Dame and I am going with the Sooners this week. The Sooner defense has been great all year and I think Blake Bell makes enough plays against an over-rated Irish defense.
ACC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Florida State
|
1-0, 3-0
|
8-0, 13-0
|
8-0, 13-0
|
BCS National Championship
|
Clemson
|
1-0, 3-0
|
7-1, 10-2
|
7-1, 11-1
|
Sugar Bowl
|
Maryland
|
0-0, 4-0
|
4-4, 7-5
|
5-3, 9-3
|
Music City Bowl
|
NC State
|
0-1, 2-1
|
3-5, 6-6
|
3-5, 6-6
|
Advocare V100 Bowl
|
Boston College
|
1-0, 2-1
|
2-6, 5-7
|
2-6, 5-7
| |
Syracuse
|
0-0, 2-2
|
2-6, 4-8
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Wake Forest
|
0-1, 2-2
|
1-7, 3-9
|
1-7, 2-10
| |
Virginia Tech
|
0-0, 3-1
|
7-1, 10-3
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Sun Bowl
|
Miami FL
|
0-0, 3-0
|
6-2, 9-3
|
6-2, 10-3
|
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
|
Georgia Tech
|
2-0, 3-0
|
5-3, 8-4
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Russell Athletic Bowl
|
North Carolina
|
0-1, 1-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
5-3, 8-4
|
Belk Bowl
|
Pittsburgh
|
1-1, 2-1
|
3-5, 6-6
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Duke
|
0-2, 2-2
|
1-7, 4-8
|
1-7, 4-8
| |
Virginia
|
0-0, 2-1
|
1-7, 3-9
|
2-6, 5-7
|
- It looks like the winner of this week's Georgia Tech-Virginia Tech game will be the top challenger to Miami in the ACC Coastal. Virginia Tech is living by its defense, while Georgia Tech looks like the more complete team with 2 ACC victories already in hand. Unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, they always seem to find a way to lose to the Hokies.
- Can Maryland really crash the ACC Atlantic party that Florida State and Clemson are throwing? If anything, the Terps get Clemson at home and present an additional challenge to the Tigers.
- Syracuse has found a quarterback and is the team most likely to rise in my projections in the weeks to come.
AAC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Louisville
|
0-0, 4-0
|
7-1, 11-1
|
8-0, 12-0
|
Orange Bowl
|
Cincinnati
|
0-0, 3-1
|
6-2, 10-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Pinstripe Bowl
|
UCF
|
0-0, 3-0
|
6-2, 8-4
|
7-1, 10-2
|
Russell Athletic Bowl
|
Rutgers
|
0-0, 3-1
|
5-3, 7-5
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Belk Bowl
|
Houston
|
1-0, 3-0
|
4-4, 6-6
|
4-4, 7-5
|
BBVA Compass Bowl
|
South Florida
|
0-0, 0-3
|
3-5, 5-7
|
1-7, 1-11
| |
Connecticut
|
0-0, 0-3
|
3-5, 4-8
|
2-6, 3-9
| |
SMU
|
0-0, 1-2
|
3-5, 4-8
|
3-5, 4-8
| |
Memphis
|
0-0, 1-2
|
2-6, 4-8
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Temple
|
0-1, 0-3
|
1-7, 4-8
|
1-7, 2-10
|
- UCF's victory at Penn State serves notice to Louisville when the Golden Knights visit on October 18th.
- Does Teddy Bridgewater really need to be throwing touchdown passes up 45-0 in the 3rd quarter? I feel like Louisville is trying to find a way to keep Bridgewater relevant in the Heisman race.
Mountain West
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Boise State
|
1-1, 2-2
|
6-2, 9-4
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Poinsettia Bowl
|
Utah State
|
1-0, 2-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 9-4
|
Las Vegas Bowl
|
Wyoming
|
1-0, 3-1
|
4-4, 7-5
|
5-3, 8-4
|
Armed Forces Bowl
|
Air Force
|
0-3, 1-3
|
4-4, 6-6
|
4-4, 6-6
|
New Mexico Bowl
|
Colorado State
|
0-0, 1-3
|
2-6, 5-8
|
2-6, 4-9
| |
New Mexico
|
0-0, 1-2
|
1-7, 3-9
|
1-7, 3-9
| |
Fresno State
|
1-0, 3-0
|
7-1, 12-1
|
7-1, 11-1*
|
Fiesta Bowl
|
San Jose State
|
0-0, 1-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
5-3, 7-5
|
Hawaii Bowl
|
San Diego State
|
0-0, 0-3
|
5-3, 7-5
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
Nevada
|
1-0, 2-2
|
4-4, 5-7
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
UNLV
|
0-0, 2-2
|
2-6, 4-8
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Hawaii
|
0-1, 0-3
|
1-7, 1-11
|
1-7, 1-11
|
- Fresno State has the look of a BCS-buster. Dispatching Boise State will leave them favored in every game from here on out. They still must play at Wyoming and at San Jose State, as well as the Mountain West championship game. Let's keep an eye on the Bulldogs.
- I still like what Utah State has done in losses to Utah and USC. They are playing with quality PAC-12 teams, which has to bode well for the Mountain West season.
C-USA
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
East Carolina
|
1-0, 2-1
|
7-1, 10-3
|
7-1, 10-3
|
Liberty Bowl
|
Marshall
|
0-0, 2-2
|
6-2, 8-4
|
6-2, 8-4
|
Heart of Dallas Bowl
|
Middle Tennessee
|
1-0, 3-1
|
5-3, 7-5
|
6-2, 8-4
|
Military Bowl
|
UAB
|
0-0, 1-2
|
4-4, 6-6
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
Southern Miss
|
0-0, 0-3
|
3-5, 4-8
|
2-6, 2-10
| |
FAU
|
0-2, 1-3
|
2-6, 3-9
|
2-6, 3-9
| |
FIU
|
0-0, 0-4
|
0-8, 0-12
|
0-8, 0-12
| |
Tulsa
|
0-0, 1-2
|
7-1, 9-4
|
6-2, 8-4
|
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
|
Rice
|
0-0, 1-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 9-4
|
New Orleans Bowl
|
Louisiana Tech
|
0-1, 1-3
|
5-3, 7-5
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
North Texas
|
0-0, 2-2
|
4-4, 5-7
|
5-3, 7-5
| |
Tulane
|
1-0, 2-2
|
3-5, 5-7
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
UTEP
|
0-1, 1-2
|
2-6, 4-8
|
2-6, 3-9
| |
UTSA
|
1-0, 2-2
|
2-6, 3-9
|
2-6, 3-9
|
- A 15-27 non-conference record is representative of the mediocre nature of the teams in Conference USA. East Carolina gets another chance for a good win with North Carolina this week, after both the Pirates and Marshall squandered chances in back-to-back weeks against Virginia Tech.
- FIU is living up to my pre-season hype.
MAC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Ohio
|
0-0, 3-1
|
7-1, 10-3
|
7-1, 10-3
|
Little Caesars Bowl
|
Bowling Green
|
1-0, 3-1
|
6-2, 8-4
|
6-2, 8-4
|
Military Bowl
|
Buffalo
|
0-0, 1-2
|
4-4, 6-6
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
Kent State
|
0-1, 1-3
|
3-5, 5-7
|
4-4, 6-6
| |
Miami OH
|
0-0, 0-3
|
3-5, 3-9
|
2-6, 2-10
| |
Akron
|
0-0, 1-3
|
2-6, 3-9
|
2-6, 3-9
| |
Massachusetts
|
0-0, 0-4
|
1-7, 2-10
|
1-7, 1-11
| |
Northern Illinois
|
0-0, 3-0
|
7-1, 12-1
|
7-1, 12-1
|
GoDaddy.com Bowl
|
Ball State
|
1-0, 3-1
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 9-3
|
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
|
Toledo
|
1-0, 2-2
|
6-2, 8-4
|
6-2, 8-4
|
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
|
Western Michigan
|
0-0, 0-4
|
4-4, 5-7
|
2-6, 2-10
| |
Central Michigan
|
0-1, 1-3
|
3-5, 4-8
|
3-5, 4-8
| |
Eastern Michigan
|
0-1, 1-3
|
0-8, 1-11
|
1-7, 2-10
|
- Get ready for a season of shoot-outs in the MAC. The defenses of the top teams in the conference are not where they were a year ago. The defenses of the bottom teams are atrocious. Scoreboard operators beware.
Sun Belt
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Louisiana-Monroe
|
0-0, 2-2
|
6-1, 9-3
|
6-1, 9-3
|
New Orleans Bowl
|
Louisiana-Lafayette
|
0-0, 2-2
|
5-2, 8-4
|
5-2, 8-4
|
Little Caesars Bowl
|
Arkansas State
|
1-0, 2-2
|
5-2, 7-5
|
6-1, 8-4
|
GoDaddy.com Bowl
|
Western Kentucky
|
0-1, 2-2
|
5-2, 8-4
|
4-3, 7-5
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl |
Troy
|
0-1, 2-2
|
4-3, 5-7
|
3-4, 5-7
| |
South Alabama
|
1-0, 2-1
|
2-5, 3-9
|
2-5, 3-9
| |
Texas State
|
0-0, 2-1
|
1-6, 3-9
|
2-5, 5-7
| |
Georgia State
|
0-0, 0-4
|
0-7, 1-11
|
0-7, 1-11
|
- The Sun Belt race should be a good one, even though these teams seem a little weaker than last year's version as well. I am picking a team to win the conference that just lost 70-7.
Independents
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Notre Dame
|
3-1
|
9-3
|
8-4
|
Poinsettia Bowl
|
Navy
|
2-0
|
7-5
|
8-4
|
Armed Forces Bowl
|
BYU
|
1-2
|
6-6
|
6-6
|
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
|
Army
|
1-3
|
3-9
|
4-8
| |
Idaho
|
0-4
|
1-11
|
2-10
| |
New Mexico State
|
0-4
|
2-10
|
1-11
|
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