Tuesday, September 17, 2013

College Football 2013 - Week 3 Reset

Three weeks into the 2013 College Football season here is a conference-by-conference look that I will update now throughout the season.

BIG TEN
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Ohio State
0-0, 3-0
7-1, 12-1
7-1, 12-1
Rose Bowl
Wisconsin
0-0, 2-1
6-2, 9-3
6-2, 9-3
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Penn State
0-0, 2-1
4-4, 8-4
4-4, 7-5
Indiana
0-0, 2-1
3-5, 6-6
2-6, 4-8
Purdue
0-0, 1-2
1-7, 2-10
0-8, 1-11
Illinois
0-0, 2-1
0-8, 2-10
2-6, 4-8
Nebraska
0-0, 2-1
7-1, 11-2
6-2, 9-3
Gator Bowl
Michigan
0-0, 3-0
6-2, 10-2
7-1, 11-2
Capital One Bowl
Northwestern
0-0, 3-0
6-2, 10-2
6-2, 10-2
Outback Bowl
Michigan State
0-0, 3-0
5-3, 8-4
4-4, 7-5
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Iowa
0-0, 2-1
2-6, 4-8
2-6, 5-7
Minnesota
0-0, 3-0
1-7, 4-8
2-6, 6-6
Heart of Dallas Bowl

 BIG TEN QUICK HITS: 
  • It was not a great week for the Big Ten.  Penn State, Illinois and Nebraska lost home games to quality opponents in UCF, Washington and UCLA.  Wisconsin lost a controversial game at Arizona State. Michigan needed a last-second stand to hold-off Akron.  The carnage leaves Ohio State carrying the entire reputation of the conference on their backs, because let's be honest, nobody gives Northwestern any credit.  Mark your calendars for October 5th when Ohio State visits Evanston.
  • Going back to Michigan, every team is allowed an "oops" game, so as long as the Wolverines recover and play better against Connecticut this week, panic should not set in.  It is the first road test of the year for Devin Gardner, so we'll wait and see if his ball security improves after a terrible week last week.
  • Is Ohio State better with Kenny Guiton under center?  You have to at least consider the thought.
  • Can Michigan State pull any offensive momentum out of the Youngstown State game?  Notre Dame will provide a good barometer entering Big Ten play.  My gut is that this offense is still not ready.
  • Conference play begins this week with Purdue at Wisconsin.  It seems like the perfect remedy for the Badgers to open conference play and get re-focused after the chaos from Saturday in the desert.  It doesn't hurt to have the Big Ten's weakest team coming to your house.

PAC 12
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Oregon
0-0, 3-0
9-0, 13-0
9-0, 13-0
BCS National Championship
Stanford
0-0, 2-0
7-2, 10-2
7-2, 10-2
Rose Bowl
Washington
0-0, 2-0
5-4, 8-4
5-4, 8-4
Sun Bowl
Oregon State
1-0, 2-1
5-4, 8-4
4-5, 6-6
New Mexico Bowl
California
0-0, 1-2
2-7, 3-9
2-7, 3-9
Washington State
1-0, 2-1
1-8, 3-9
2-7, 4-8
Arizona State
0-0, 2-0
7-2, 9-4
7-2, 10-3
Alamo Bowl
UCLA
0-0, 2-0
6-3, 8-4
6-3, 9-3
Holiday Bowl
USC
0-1, 2-1
6-3, 9-4
5-4, 7-6
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl 
Arizona
0-0, 3-0
4-5, 7-5
4-5, 7-5
Las Vegas Bowl
Utah
0-1, 2-1
2-7, 3-9
2-7, 5-7

Colorado
0-0, 2-0
0-9, 1-11
1-8, 3-9

 PAC 12 QUICK HITS: 
  • Oregon looks absolutely unstoppable.  Marcus Mariota is my Heisman front-runner.
  • Arizona State's reward for escaping against Wisconsin Saturday...is a trip to Stanford.  A huge early season test for both teams that have high aspirations in 2013.
  • USC is back in a bowl, but only because their defense is extremely good.
  • UCLA was very impressive going to Nebraska and getting an emotional win.  In late October, trips to Stanford and Oregon on consecutive weeks will provide the real test.

SEC
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
South Carolina
1-1, 2-1
7-1, 11-2
6-2, 9-3
Outback Bowl
Georgia
1-0, 1-1
6-2, 9-3
7-1, 10-3
Capital One Bowl
Florida
0-0, 1-1
5-3, 8-4
5-3, 7-5
Gator Bowl
Vanderbilt
0-2, 1-2
4-4, 8-4
2-6, 6-6
Military Bowl
Missouri
0-0, 2-0
2-6, 6-6
3-5, 7-5
Music City Bowl
Tennessee
0-0, 2-1
2-6, 5-7
3-5, 6-6
BBVA Compass Bowl
Kentucky
0-0, 1-2
0-8, 2-10
0-8, 2-10
Texas A&M
0-1, 2-1
8-0, 13-0
7-1, 11-1
Orange Bowl
Alabama
1-0, 2-0
7-1, 11-1
7-1, 12-1
Sugar Bowl
Ole Miss
1-0, 3-0
5-3, 8-4
5-3, 9-3
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
LSU
0-0, 3-0
4-4, 8-4
6-2, 10-2
Cotton Bowl
Auburn
1-0, 3-0
3-5, 7-5
2-6, 6-6
Liberty Bowl
Mississippi State
0-1, 1-2
2-6, 5-7
1-7, 4-8
Arkansas
0-0, 3-0
1-7, 5-7
2-6, 6-6
Advocare V100 Bowl

 SEC QUICK HITS: 
  • Yes, I was wrong about Texas A&M, but isn't Johnny Football fun to watch?  The Aggies have defensive issues, but Manziel is really really good.
  • I told you I wouldn't give you Alabama-Ohio State and I still won't give you Alabama (although everyone got smart and is now with me on Oregon). Aren't people a little worried about the Tide after two games?  The offense struggled in the opener, the defense against A&M.  The schedule is soft, but this team is currently not equal to the past two Championship versions.

Big 12
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Oklahoma State
0-0, 3-0
8-1, 11-1
8-1, 11-1
Fiesta Bowl
Oklahoma
1-0, 3-0
7-2, 10-2
7-2, 9-3
Alamo Bowl
Texas
0-0, 1-2
7-2, 10-2
5-4, 6-6
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Baylor
0-0, 2-0
6-3, 9-3
7-2, 10-2
Cotton Bowl
Kansas State
0-0, 2-1
6-3, 9-3
4-5, 6-6
Pinstripe Bowl
TCU
0-1, 1-2
5-4, 7-5
5-4, 7-5
Holiday Bowl
Texas Tech
1-0, 3-0
3-5, 6-6
5-4, 8-4
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
West Virginia
1-0, 2-1
2-7, 5-7
3-6, 5-7
Iowa State
0-0, 0-2
1-8, 3-9
1-8, 1-11
Kansas
0-0, 1-1
0-9, 1-11
0-9, 2-10

 Big 12 Synopsis: 
  • The free-fall that is Texas continues.  While the Big 12 continues to break-in new quarterbacks all over the place, they must all lick their chops at the thought of playing Texas.  This week at home against Kansas State will tell us a lot.  I thought Texas would be in the class of Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Baylor.  It appears I was wrong.
  • Blake Bell looked like a revelation for the Sooners, but will it be too late for the offense to hum against Notre Dame in two weeks?  If nothing else, it cements Oklahoma in the company of Oklahoma State and Baylor.

ACC
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Florida State
1-0, 2-0
8-0, 13-0
8-0, 13-0
BCS National Championship
Clemson
0-0, 2-0
7-1, 10-2
7-1, 11-1
Sugar Bowl
Maryland
0-0, 3-0
4-4, 7-5
5-3, 9-3
Music City Bowl
NC State
0-0, 2-0
3-5, 6-6
3-5, 6-6
Advocare V100 Bowl
Boston College
1-0, 2-1
2-6, 5-7
2-6, 5-7
Syracuse
0-0, 1-2
2-6, 4-8
2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest
0-1, 1-2
1-7, 3-9
1-7, 2-10
Virginia Tech
0-0, 2-1
7-1, 10-3
6-2, 9-3
Sun Bowl
Miami FL
0-0, 2-0
6-2, 9-3
6-2, 10-3
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Tech
1-0, 2-0
5-3, 8-4
6-2, 9-3
Russell Athletic Bowl
North Carolina
0-0, 1-1
6-2, 9-3
5-3, 8-4
Belk Bowl
Pittsburgh
0-1, 1-1
3-5, 6-6
2-6, 4-8
Duke
0-1, 2-1
1-7, 4-8
1-7, 4-8
Virginia
0-0, 1-1
1-7, 3-9
2-6, 5-7

 ACC Synopsis:
  • Not much new in the ACC this week.  Virginia Tech still can't score.  Florida State is still really good.

AAC
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Louisville
0-0, 2-0
7-1, 11-1
8-0, 12-0
Orange Bowl
Cincinnati
0-0, 1-1
6-2, 10-2
6-2, 9-3
Pinstripe Bowl
UCF
0-0, 2-0
6-2, 8-4
7-1, 10-2
Russell Athletic Bowl
Rutgers
0-0, 1-1
5-3, 7-5
6-2, 8-4
Belk Bowl
Houston
1-0, 2-0
4-4, 6-6
4-4, 6-6
BBVA Compass Bowl
South Florida
0-0, 0-2
3-5, 5-7
1-7, 1-11
Connecticut
0-0, 0-1
3-5, 4-8
2-6, 3-9
SMU
0-0, 1-1
3-5, 4-8
3-5, 4-8
Memphis
0-0, 0-1
2-6, 4-8
2-6, 3-9
Temple
0-1, 0-2
1-7, 4-8
1-7, 2-10

 AAC Synopsis:
  • UCF's victory at Penn State serves notice to Louisville when the Golden Knights visit on October 18th.  
Mountain West
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Boise State
1-0, 2-1
6-2, 9-4
6-2, 9-3
Poinsettia Bowl
Utah State
1-0, 2-1
6-2, 9-3
7-1, 10-3
Las Vegas Bowl
Wyoming
0-0, 2-1
4-4, 7-5
4-4, 7-5
Armed Forces Bowl
Air Force
0-2, 1-2
4-4, 6-6
4-4, 6-6
New Mexico Bowl
Colorado State
0-0, 1-2
2-6, 5-8
2-6, 4-9
New Mexico
0-0, 1-2
1-7, 3-9
1-7, 3-9
Fresno State
0-0, 2-0
7-1, 12-1
7-1, 12-1
Fiesta Bowl
San Jose State
0-0, 1-1
6-2, 9-3
6-2, 8-4
Hawaii Bowl
San Diego State
0-0, 0-2
5-3, 7-5
4-4, 5-7
Nevada
0-0, 1-2
4-4, 5-7
4-4, 5-7

UNLV
0-0, 1-2
2-6, 4-8
2-6, 4-8
Hawaii
0-0, 0-2
1-7, 1-11
1-7, 1-11

 Mountain West Synopsis:
  • The big showdown between Fresno State and Boise State is Friday.  Will Boise State continue their dominance of the conference?  I am taking Fresno State to end the reign of the Broncos.

C-USA
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
East Carolina
1-0, 2-1
7-1, 10-3
7-1, 10-3
Liberty Bowl
Marshall
0-0, 2-1
6-2, 8-4
6-2, 8-4
Heart of Dallas Bowl
Middle Tennessee
0-0, 2-1
5-3, 7-5
6-2, 8-4
Military Bowl
UAB
0-0, 0-2
4-4, 6-6
4-4, 5-7
Southern Miss
0-0, 0-3
3-5, 4-8
2-6, 2-10
FAU
0-1, 1-2
2-6, 3-9
2-6, 3-9
FIU
0-0, 0-3
0-8, 0-12
0-8, 0-12
Tulsa
0-0, 1-2
7-1, 9-4
6-2, 8-4
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
Rice
0-0, 1-1
6-2, 9-3
7-1, 10-3
New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana Tech
0-1, 1-2
5-3, 7-5
3-5, 5-7

North Texas
0-0, 2-1
4-4, 5-7
5-3, 7-5
Hawaii Bowl 
Tulane
1-0, 2-1
3-5, 5-7
4-4, 5-7
UTEP
0-0, 1-1
2-6, 4-8
2-6, 3-9
UTSA
0-0, 1-2
2-6, 3-9
2-6, 3-9

 C-USA Synopsis:
  • East Carolina and Marshall lost close games this week, which doesn't help the overall opinion of this conference.  Rice beating Kansas and North Texas over Ball State are decent wins.

MAC
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Ohio
0-0, 2-1
7-1, 10-3
7-1, 10-3
Little Caesars Bowl
Bowling Green
1-0, 2-1
6-2, 8-4
6-2, 8-4

Buffalo
0-0, 1-2
4-4, 6-6
4-4, 5-7
Kent State
0-1, 1-2
3-5, 5-7
4-4, 6-6
Miami OH
0-0, 0-2
3-5, 3-9
2-6, 2-10
Akron
0-0, 1-2
2-6, 3-9
2-6, 3-9
Massachusetts
0-0, 0-3
1-7, 2-10
1-7, 1-11
Northern Illinois
0-0, 2-0
7-1, 12-1
7-1, 12-1
GoDaddy.com Bowl
Ball State
0-0, 2-1
6-2, 9-3
7-1, 9-3
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Toledo
0-0, 1-2
6-2, 8-4
6-2, 8-4
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
Western Michigan
0-0, 0-3
4-4, 5-7
2-6, 2-10
Central Michigan
0-0, 1-2
3-5, 4-8
3-5, 4-8
Eastern Michigan
0-0, 1-2
0-8, 1-11
1-7, 2-10

 MAC Synopsis:
  • A mixed week for the MAC, with Ohio getting a really good win against Marshall, but Ball State and Bowling Green falling to North Texas and Indiana.  The Falcons looked really bad against the Hoosiers and are currently outside looking in on the bowl picture.

Sun Belt
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Louisiana-Monroe
0-0, 2-1
6-1, 9-3
6-1, 9-3
New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana-Lafayette
0-0, 1-2
5-2, 8-4
5-2, 8-4
Little Caesars Bowl
Arkansas State
1-0, 2-1
5-2, 7-5
6-1, 9-3
GoDaddy.com Bowl
Western Kentucky
0-1, 1-2
5-2, 8-4
3-4, 6-6
Troy
0-1, 2-1
4-3, 5-7
4-3, 6-6
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
South Alabama
1-0, 2-1
2-5, 3-9
2-5, 3-9
Texas State
0-0, 2-0
1-6, 3-9
2-5, 5-7
Georgia State
0-0, 0-3
0-7, 1-11
0-7, 1-11

 Sun Belt Synopsis:
  • Arkansas State struck first in the Sun Belt race, but ULM served notice with their victory over Wake Forest that they are right their with the Red Wolves.
  • Western Kentucky is not right there, losing to a South Alabama team that lost their opener to Southern Utah.  Bobby Petrino doesn't automatically make for a contending team.

Independents
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Notre Dame
2-1
9-3
9-3
Poinsettia Bowl
Navy
2-0
7-5
8-4
Armed Forces Bowl
BYU
1-1
6-6
6-6
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
Army
1-2
3-9
4-8
Idaho
0-3
1-11
2-10
New Mexico State
0-3
2-10
1-11

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