Tuesday, November 6, 2012

College Football 2012 - Jabesblog Picks - Mid-Week 11 Edition

Instead of picking every game straight up this year, I thought I would go more Vegas-style and select certain games each week to pick against the spread. Last weeks record: 9-7. Season record: 55-44-2. Lock of the Week: 8-2 (including an exact score last week).

There are 5 games on the Tuesday through Friday docket this week, so here is a bonus 5 picks from Jabesblog...

Toledo -6.5 vs Ball State - Both teams have played well of late, but it is time for Toledo to make the final push toward a MAC Title.  The Rockets are actually 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on Tuesday's, but I am going against the trend in what should be a high-scoring game (Toledo played 63-60 and 66-63 games on Tuesday last season).  Toledo has won the last three match-ups with the Cardinals by 7 points or more and will do it again tonight...Toledo 59, Ball State 48.  Loss

Bowling Green +3 at Ohio - The Falcons have the defense cranked up to a championship level while the Bobcats appear to have peaked in September.  Ohio has not last at home, but has been outgained by Buffalo and Akron this season.  I like the defensive team to roll in and pull off the Wednesday night upset...Bowling Green 22, Ohio 21.  WIN

Arkansas State -7 vs Louisiana-Monroe - With the uncertain status of ULM quarterback Kolton Browning I have to lean toward the Redwolves.  Arkansas State is starting to get it rolling with 4 wins in a row by an average of 15.5 points.  All indications are that Browning is out for a while, which will either rally or deflate a team that had high hopes of a Sun Belt Title...Arkansas State 40, LA-Monroe 28.  WIN

Florida State -13.5 at Virginia Tech - The Seminoles have not won by this margin on the road, but the Hokies looked like a team without a sense of urgency last week against Miami FL.  The Seminoles are off a bye and will be prepared for Logan Thomas and his one-man show.  FSU ranks highly in almost every offensive and defensive category, its a shame they blew the game against NC State...Florida State 34, Virginia Tech 10.  Loss

Pittsburgh -3 at Connecticut - The bottom line is that the Huskies cannot score.  With just over 8 ppg in their last 4 things have been brutal for the UConn offense.  Pitt lost a heartbreaker against Notre Dame last week and is in prime position to be upset here.  Pitt plays well on Friday nights and against teams they should beat...Pittsburgh 21, Connecticut 10.

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