With one regular week and a week of Championship games plus miscellaneous finales remaining, the Bowl picture has started to take shape. There are only a few teams that can still become bowl-eligible, so the pool of teams is solidifying itself. My estimate is that 75 teams will be bowl-eligible, meaning 5 of those teams will be left out of the mix. Below is my conjecture as to where teams might be playing around the Holidays.
BCS National Championship Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida State Seminoles
Rose Bowl: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Arizona State Sun Devils
Sugar Bowl: Auburn Tigers vs UCF Golden Knights
Orange Bowl: Clemson Tigers vs Wisconsin Badgers
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Fresno State Bulldogs
Obviously a lot could change here with an upset or two, but if the favorites take care of business, this is what I see for the BCS. Arizona State might be the biggest surprise, but a win over Arizona puts them at home for the PAC-12 Championship Game and they have been the conference's best team of late as is.
Capital One Bowl: Missouri Tigers vs Michigan State Spartans
Cotton Bowl: LSU Tigers vs Baylor Bears
Alamo Bowl: Oregon Ducks vs Oklahoma Sooners
Outback Bowl: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Texas A&M Aggies
Russell Athletic Bowl: Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals
Chick Fil-A Bowl: Miami Hurricanes vs South Carolina Gamecocks
Holiday Bowl: Stanford Cardinal vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
Sun Bowl: USC Trojans vs Virginia Tech Hokies
Gator Bowl: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Georgia Bulldogs
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Texas Longhorns
Music City Bowl: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Ole Miss Rebels
Belk Bowl: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Houston Cougars
Advocare V100 Bowl: Boston College Eagles vs Northern Illinois Huskies
Pinstripe Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Military Bowl: Pittsburgh Panthers vs East Carolina Pirates
Liberty Bowl: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Marshall Thundering Herd
Las Vegas Bowl: UCLA Bruins vs Utah State Aggies
Texas Bowl: Michigan Wolverines vs Kansas State Wildcats
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: BYU Cougars vs Washington Huskies
New Mexico Bowl: Arizona Wildcats vs Colorado State Rams
Armed Forces Bowl: Navy Midshipmen vs Boise State Broncos
Poinsettia Bowl: San Diego State Aztecs vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
Hawaii Bowl: Rice Owls vs UNLV Running Rebels
Heart of Dallas Bowl: North Texas Mean Green vs Oregon State Beavers
Beef O'Brady's Bowl: Middle Tennesse State Blue Raiders vs Ohio Bobcats
New Orleans Bowl: Tulane Green Wave vs Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Little Caesars Bowl: Ball State Cardinals vs Maryland Terrapins
GoDaddy.com Bowl: Buffalo Bulls vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Toledo Rockets vs Washington State Cougars
BBVA Compass Bowl: Rutgers Scarlett Knights vs Bowling Green Falcons
Bowl-Eligible teams not selected: UTSA, Florida Atlantic, Central Michigan, Troy and Texas State
Follow Jabesblog on twitter @jabesblog3000
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
College Football 2013 - Week 14 Jabesblog Picks
Season Record: 289-240-7 (ATS) 412-124 (Straight-Up)
Last Week: 28-23-1 (ATS) 39-13 (Straight-Up)
Season Record when taking points: 122-113-3
Season Record when giving points: 163-125-4
Season Record in pick 'em games: 4-2-0
Broken record again last week, going 16-3-1 as of the early Saturday games and limping home 12-20 the rest of the way.
WEEK 14 PICKS
MAC (Season Record 35-26-2 coming onto this week in games involving a MAC team)
My record ATS for each MAC team through Week 12: Western Michigan 7-2, Northern Illinois 7-2, Massachusetts 7-2, Ball State 6-2-1, Miami, OH 6-2-1, Kent State 6-4, Buffalo 5-3, Bowling Green 5-3, Akron 4-5, Ohio 4-3-1, Central Michigan 4-4-1, Eastern Michigan 4-5, Toledo 3-5
AAC (Season Record 32-19)
UCF (-27) 38, South Florida 6 (L)
Houston (-9.5) 27, SMU 13 (W)
Memphis 28, Temple (+8.5) 24 (W)
Connecticut (+3) 24, Rutgers 17 (W)
My record ATS for each AAC team through Week 12: UCF 7-1, Houston 7-2, Memphis 6-1, Rutgers 5-3, South Florida 6-2, Louisville 6-3, Connecticut 5-4, Temple 4-4, SMU 4-4, Cincinnati 4-4
Conference USA (Season Record 43-34)
Marshall (-3) 42, East Carolina 34 (W)
Florida Atlantic (-27.5) 45, Florida International 10 (L)
UAB (-14) 44, Southern Miss 21 (L)
Rice 27, Tulane (+11) 20 (W)
UTSA (-16.5) 34, Louisiana Tech 13 (W)
North Texas (-5) 26, Tulsa 17 (W)
Middle Tennessee (-22.5) 42, UTEP 10 (W)
My record ATS for each C-USA team through Week 12: Louisiana Tech 8-1, Marshall 7-2, Southern Miss 6-3, UTSA 6-3, Rice 7-3, Tulsa 6-3, Tulane 6-3, Florida Atlantic 6-3, East Carolina 5-4, North Texas 4-5, UTEP 5-5, Florida International 3-5, Middle Tennessee 1-7, UAB 2-6
Mountain West (Season Record 32-33-1)
Fresno State (-7) 48, San Jose State 34 (L)
Utah State 34, Wyoming (+20.5) 24 (L)
BYU 27, Nevada (+14.5) 20 (W)
Boise State 52, New Mexico (+36.5) 21 (W)
Colorado State 35, Air Force (+14.5) 28 (L)
San Diego State (-3.5) 34, UNLV 20 (L)
Army (+7) 49, Hawaii 45 (T)
My record ATS for each MWC team through Week 12: New Mexico 6-1-1, Air Force 6-3, Utah State 4-3, UNLV 5-3, San Jose State 5-4, Colorado State 4-5, Hawaii 3-5, Nevada 3-5, San Diego State 3-6, Boise State 3-6, Fresno State 3-4, Wyoming 2-6
Big Ten (Season Record 25-31)
Iowa (+3) 24, Nebraska 23 (W)
Ohio State (+14.5) 40, Michigan 20 (L)
Illinois (+3.5) 27, Northwestern 24 (W)
Indiana 35, Purdue (+21) 24 (W)
Michigan State 24, Minnesota (+14.5) 13 (W)
Wisconsin (-24) 42, Penn State 7 (L)
My record ATS for each Big 10 team through Week 12: Illinois 5-3, Purdue 5-4, Michigan State 5-3, Iowa 5-3, Ohio State 4-4, Nebraska 3-5, Northwestern 4-4, Indiana 3-5, Wisconsin 2-2, Minnesota 2-5, Penn State 2-7, Michigan 1-8
ACC (Season Record 43-26-3)
Pittsburgh (+2.5) 31, Miami, FL 27 (L)
Boston College (-2) 24, Syracuse 17 (L)
North Carolina State (+2.5) 27, Maryland 23 (L)
Vanderbilt (-14) 31, Wake Forest 10 (L)
North Carolina (-6) 45, Duke 35 (L)
Georgia Tech (+3.5) 34, Georgia 31 (L)
Virginia Tech 27, Virginia (+12.5) 19 (W)
Clemson (+5) 37, South Carolina 31 (L)
Florida State (-27.5) 45, Florida 7 (W)
My record ATS for each ACC team through Week 12: Florida State 7-2, Maryland 6-3, Duke 7-2, Virginia Tech 6-3, Virginia 6-1-1, Miami, FL 6-2, Clemson 5-3, NC State 6-3, Wake Forest 6-3, Georgia Tech 5-3-1, Syracuse 4-3-1, Boston College 4-5, Pittsburgh 2-5-2, North Carolina 2-6
SEC (Season Record 40-29-2)
Ole Miss (-3) 26, Mississippi State 21 (L)
LSU 38, Arkansas (+24.5) 21 (W)
Tennessee (-3.5) 20, Kentucky 13 (W)
Missouri (-4.5) 48, Texas A&M 41 (W)
Alabama (-10.5) 45, Auburn 21 (L)
My record ATS for each SEC team through Week 12: Missouri 8-1, Kentucky 6-2, Alabama 6-3, Florida 5-2-1, Auburn 5-3, Vanderbilt 6-3, Tennessee 6-3, Arkansas 5-4, LSU 4-3-1, Georgia 3-3-2, Ole Miss 4-5, Mississippi State 4-5, South Carolina 2-6, Texas A&M 3-6
Sun Belt (Season Record 20-24)
Troy (-7) 38, Texas State 24 (W)
South Alabama (-8.5) 33, Georgia State 21 (W)
Western Kentucky (-6.5) 35, Arkansas State 23 (L)
Louisiana-Lafayette (-15) 38, Louisiana-Monroe 17 (L)
My record ATS for each Sun Belt team through Week 12: Georgia State 5-3, ULM 5-4, Texas State 5-4, Arkansas State 4-5, Troy 4-5, Western Kentucky 3-5, South Alabama 2-6, ULL 2-5
Independents (Season Record 22-25)
New Mexico State (-3.5) 45, Idaho 31 (W)
My record ATS for each Independent team through Week 12: New Mexico State 6-2, Army 5-3, BYU 3-4, Idaho 4-4, Navy 3-6, Notre Dame 2-7
PAC-12 (Season Record 30-34)
Washington (-14) 51, Washington State 27 (L)
Oregon (-21.5) 50, Oregon State 21 (L)
Utah 34, Colorado (+16.5) 30 (W)
USC (-3.5) 31, UCLA 24 (L)
Stanford 27, Notre Dame (+14.5) 19 (W)
Arizona State 33, Arizona (+11.5) 27 (L)
My record ATS for each PAC-12 team through Week 12: Oregon 6-3, Washington State 6-2, Arizona State 5-5, Oregon State 5-4, Washington 5-4, UCLA 4-6, Stanford 4-6, California 4-6, Colorado 3-5, Arizona 3-6, Utah 4-5, USC 3-7
Big 12 (Season Record 31-20)
Texas (-4.5) 42, Texas Tech 34 (W)
Baylor 34, TCU (+12) 28 (W)
Kansas State 31, Kansas (+16) 22 (L)
West Virginia (-7.5) 37, Iowa State 21 (L)
My record ATS for each Big 12 team through Week 12: Kansas 8-2, Texas Tech 8-1, Texas 6-2, West Virginia 6-3, Baylor 5-3, TCU 5-4, Iowa State 5-5, Oklahoma State 3-5, Oklahoma 3-6, Kansas State 3-6
Record This Week: 28-30-1 ATS, 39-20 SU
Record This Season: 317-270-8 ATS (54%), 451-144 SU (75.8%)
Last Week: 28-23-1 (ATS) 39-13 (Straight-Up)
Season Record when taking points: 122-113-3
Season Record when giving points: 163-125-4
Season Record in pick 'em games: 4-2-0
Broken record again last week, going 16-3-1 as of the early Saturday games and limping home 12-20 the rest of the way.
WEEK 14 PICKS
MAC (Season Record 35-26-2 coming onto this week in games involving a MAC team)
Northern Illinois (-35) 52, Western Michigan 14 (L)
Toledo (-7.5) 34, Akron 21 (L)
Ball State (-34.5) 52, Miami, OH 10 (W)
Central Michigan (-18.5) 38, Eastern Michigan 14 (W)
Ohio 31, Massachusetts (+16.5) 17 (L)
Buffalo (+1.5) 27, Bowling Green 23 (L)
Toledo (-7.5) 34, Akron 21 (L)
Ball State (-34.5) 52, Miami, OH 10 (W)
Central Michigan (-18.5) 38, Eastern Michigan 14 (W)
Ohio 31, Massachusetts (+16.5) 17 (L)
Buffalo (+1.5) 27, Bowling Green 23 (L)
My record ATS for each MAC team through Week 12: Western Michigan 7-2, Northern Illinois 7-2, Massachusetts 7-2, Ball State 6-2-1, Miami, OH 6-2-1, Kent State 6-4, Buffalo 5-3, Bowling Green 5-3, Akron 4-5, Ohio 4-3-1, Central Michigan 4-4-1, Eastern Michigan 4-5, Toledo 3-5
AAC (Season Record 32-19)
UCF (-27) 38, South Florida 6 (L)
Houston (-9.5) 27, SMU 13 (W)
Memphis 28, Temple (+8.5) 24 (W)
Connecticut (+3) 24, Rutgers 17 (W)
My record ATS for each AAC team through Week 12: UCF 7-1, Houston 7-2, Memphis 6-1, Rutgers 5-3, South Florida 6-2, Louisville 6-3, Connecticut 5-4, Temple 4-4, SMU 4-4, Cincinnati 4-4
Conference USA (Season Record 43-34)
Marshall (-3) 42, East Carolina 34 (W)
Florida Atlantic (-27.5) 45, Florida International 10 (L)
UAB (-14) 44, Southern Miss 21 (L)
Rice 27, Tulane (+11) 20 (W)
UTSA (-16.5) 34, Louisiana Tech 13 (W)
North Texas (-5) 26, Tulsa 17 (W)
Middle Tennessee (-22.5) 42, UTEP 10 (W)
My record ATS for each C-USA team through Week 12: Louisiana Tech 8-1, Marshall 7-2, Southern Miss 6-3, UTSA 6-3, Rice 7-3, Tulsa 6-3, Tulane 6-3, Florida Atlantic 6-3, East Carolina 5-4, North Texas 4-5, UTEP 5-5, Florida International 3-5, Middle Tennessee 1-7, UAB 2-6
Mountain West (Season Record 32-33-1)
Fresno State (-7) 48, San Jose State 34 (L)
Utah State 34, Wyoming (+20.5) 24 (L)
BYU 27, Nevada (+14.5) 20 (W)
Boise State 52, New Mexico (+36.5) 21 (W)
Colorado State 35, Air Force (+14.5) 28 (L)
San Diego State (-3.5) 34, UNLV 20 (L)
Army (+7) 49, Hawaii 45 (T)
My record ATS for each MWC team through Week 12: New Mexico 6-1-1, Air Force 6-3, Utah State 4-3, UNLV 5-3, San Jose State 5-4, Colorado State 4-5, Hawaii 3-5, Nevada 3-5, San Diego State 3-6, Boise State 3-6, Fresno State 3-4, Wyoming 2-6
Big Ten (Season Record 25-31)
Iowa (+3) 24, Nebraska 23 (W)
Ohio State (+14.5) 40, Michigan 20 (L)
Illinois (+3.5) 27, Northwestern 24 (W)
Indiana 35, Purdue (+21) 24 (W)
Michigan State 24, Minnesota (+14.5) 13 (W)
Wisconsin (-24) 42, Penn State 7 (L)
My record ATS for each Big 10 team through Week 12: Illinois 5-3, Purdue 5-4, Michigan State 5-3, Iowa 5-3, Ohio State 4-4, Nebraska 3-5, Northwestern 4-4, Indiana 3-5, Wisconsin 2-2, Minnesota 2-5, Penn State 2-7, Michigan 1-8
ACC (Season Record 43-26-3)
Pittsburgh (+2.5) 31, Miami, FL 27 (L)
Boston College (-2) 24, Syracuse 17 (L)
North Carolina State (+2.5) 27, Maryland 23 (L)
Vanderbilt (-14) 31, Wake Forest 10 (L)
North Carolina (-6) 45, Duke 35 (L)
Georgia Tech (+3.5) 34, Georgia 31 (L)
Virginia Tech 27, Virginia (+12.5) 19 (W)
Clemson (+5) 37, South Carolina 31 (L)
Florida State (-27.5) 45, Florida 7 (W)
My record ATS for each ACC team through Week 12: Florida State 7-2, Maryland 6-3, Duke 7-2, Virginia Tech 6-3, Virginia 6-1-1, Miami, FL 6-2, Clemson 5-3, NC State 6-3, Wake Forest 6-3, Georgia Tech 5-3-1, Syracuse 4-3-1, Boston College 4-5, Pittsburgh 2-5-2, North Carolina 2-6
SEC (Season Record 40-29-2)
Ole Miss (-3) 26, Mississippi State 21 (L)
LSU 38, Arkansas (+24.5) 21 (W)
Tennessee (-3.5) 20, Kentucky 13 (W)
Missouri (-4.5) 48, Texas A&M 41 (W)
Alabama (-10.5) 45, Auburn 21 (L)
My record ATS for each SEC team through Week 12: Missouri 8-1, Kentucky 6-2, Alabama 6-3, Florida 5-2-1, Auburn 5-3, Vanderbilt 6-3, Tennessee 6-3, Arkansas 5-4, LSU 4-3-1, Georgia 3-3-2, Ole Miss 4-5, Mississippi State 4-5, South Carolina 2-6, Texas A&M 3-6
Sun Belt (Season Record 20-24)
Troy (-7) 38, Texas State 24 (W)
South Alabama (-8.5) 33, Georgia State 21 (W)
Western Kentucky (-6.5) 35, Arkansas State 23 (L)
Louisiana-Lafayette (-15) 38, Louisiana-Monroe 17 (L)
My record ATS for each Sun Belt team through Week 12: Georgia State 5-3, ULM 5-4, Texas State 5-4, Arkansas State 4-5, Troy 4-5, Western Kentucky 3-5, South Alabama 2-6, ULL 2-5
Independents (Season Record 22-25)
New Mexico State (-3.5) 45, Idaho 31 (W)
My record ATS for each Independent team through Week 12: New Mexico State 6-2, Army 5-3, BYU 3-4, Idaho 4-4, Navy 3-6, Notre Dame 2-7
PAC-12 (Season Record 30-34)
Washington (-14) 51, Washington State 27 (L)
Oregon (-21.5) 50, Oregon State 21 (L)
Utah 34, Colorado (+16.5) 30 (W)
USC (-3.5) 31, UCLA 24 (L)
Stanford 27, Notre Dame (+14.5) 19 (W)
Arizona State 33, Arizona (+11.5) 27 (L)
My record ATS for each PAC-12 team through Week 12: Oregon 6-3, Washington State 6-2, Arizona State 5-5, Oregon State 5-4, Washington 5-4, UCLA 4-6, Stanford 4-6, California 4-6, Colorado 3-5, Arizona 3-6, Utah 4-5, USC 3-7
Big 12 (Season Record 31-20)
Texas (-4.5) 42, Texas Tech 34 (W)
Baylor 34, TCU (+12) 28 (W)
Kansas State 31, Kansas (+16) 22 (L)
West Virginia (-7.5) 37, Iowa State 21 (L)
My record ATS for each Big 12 team through Week 12: Kansas 8-2, Texas Tech 8-1, Texas 6-2, West Virginia 6-3, Baylor 5-3, TCU 5-4, Iowa State 5-5, Oklahoma State 3-5, Oklahoma 3-6, Kansas State 3-6
Record This Week: 28-30-1 ATS, 39-20 SU
Record This Season: 317-270-8 ATS (54%), 451-144 SU (75.8%)
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
College Football 2013 - Week 13 Jabesblog Picks
Season Record: 261-217-6 (ATS) 373-111 (Straight-Up)
Last Week: 28-21 (ATS) 40-9 (Straight-Up)
Season Record when taking points: 112-104-2
Season Record when giving points: 145-112-4
Season Record in pick 'em games: 4-1-0
Once again I was 27-16 last week before going 1-5 in the last 6 games that finished. Off to a 2-0 start last night with the MAC and hope to feed on some positive momentum.
WEEK 13 PICKS
MAC (Season Record 30-26-2 coming onto this week in games involving a MAC team)
Last Week: 28-21 (ATS) 40-9 (Straight-Up)
Season Record when taking points: 112-104-2
Season Record when giving points: 145-112-4
Season Record in pick 'em games: 4-1-0
Once again I was 27-16 last week before going 1-5 in the last 6 games that finished. Off to a 2-0 start last night with the MAC and hope to feed on some positive momentum.
WEEK 13 PICKS
MAC (Season Record 30-26-2 coming onto this week in games involving a MAC team)
Buffalo (-24) 38, Miami, OH 10 (W)
Kent State (+6) 24, Ohio 23 (W)
Northern Illinois (-2) 41, Toledo 34 (W)
Central Michigan (-10) 31, Massachusetts 10 (W)
Bowling Green (-24) 45, Eastern Michigan 14 (W)
My record ATS for each MAC team through Week 12: Western Michigan 7-2, Northern Illinois 6-2, Massachusetts 6-2, Ball State 6-2-1, Miami, OH 5-2-1, Kent State 5-4, Buffalo 4-3, Bowling Green 4-3, Akron 4-5, Ohio 3-3-1, Central Michigan 3-4-1, Eastern Michigan 3-5, Toledo 2-5
AAC (Season Record 29-17)
UCF 34, Rutgers (+17.5) 20 (L)
Temple (-7.5) 34, Connecticut 19 (L)
Cincinnati (+2.5) 29, Houston 27 (W)
Louisville 30, Memphis (+24) 10 (W)
SMU (-4) 35, South Florida 24 (W)
My record ATS for each AAC team through Week 12: UCF 7-0, Houston 6-2, Memphis 5-1, Rutgers 5-2, South Florida 5-2, Louisville 5-3, Connecticut 5-3, Temple 4-3, SMU 3-4, Cincinnati 3-4
Conference USA (Season Record 37-32)
Rice 34, UAB (+18) 21 (W)
Marshall (-32.5) 52, Florida International 14 (W)
Tulane (-16) 34, UTEP 13 (W)
North Texas (-7.5) 31, UTSA 14 (L)
Middle Tennessee (-22.5) 41, Southern Miss 14 (L)
Florida Atlantic (-22) 48, New Mexico State 21 (W)
Tulsa (-3) 27, Louisiana Tech 17 (W)
My record ATS for each C-USA team through Week 12: Louisiana Tech 7-1, Marshall 6-2, Southern Miss 6-2, UTSA 6-2, Rice 6-3, Tulsa 5-3, Tulane 5-3, Florida Atlantic 5-3, East Carolina 4-4, North Texas 4-4, UTEP 4-5, Florida International 2-5, Middle Tennessee 1-6, UAB 1-6
Mountain West (Season Record 29-30-1)
UNLV (+2) 35, Air Force 31 (W)
Navy (+2) 35, San Jose State 28 (W)
Wyoming (-6) 38, Hawaii 21 (L)
Utah State 30, Colorado State (+10) 28 (L)
Fresno State (-31.5) 52, New Mexico 14 (W)
Boise State (-5.5) 38, San Diego State 27 (L)
My record ATS for each MWC team through Week 12: New Mexico 5-1-1, Air Force 5-3, Utah State 4-2, UNLV 4-3, San Jose State 4-4, Colorado State 4-4, Hawaii 3-4, Nevada 3-5, San Diego State 3-5, Boise State 3-5, Fresno State 2-4, Wyoming 2-5
Big Ten (Season Record 23-28)
Penn State (-1.5) 23, Nebraska 20 (L)
Illinois (-6.5) 38, Purdue 21 (L)
Ohio State (-34.5) 59, Indiana 17 (L)
Michigan State (-7) 27, Northwestern 10 (W)
Iowa 23, Michigan (+5.5) 20 (W)
My record ATS for each Big 10 team through Week 12: Illinois 5-2, Purdue 5-3, Michigan State 4-3, Iowa 4-3, Ohio State 4-3, Nebraska 3-4, Northwestern 3-4, Indiana 3-4, Wisconsin 2-2, Minnesota 2-5, Penn State 2-6, Michigan 0-8!!
ACC (Season Record 39-25-2)
Syracuse (+1) 28, Pittsburgh 24 (T)
East Carolina (-5.5) 38, North Carolina State 24 (W)
Florida State (-57) 70, Idaho 3 (W)
Duke (-6) 26, Wake Forest 14 (W)
Maryland (+1) 35, Boston College 30 (L)
Miami, FL 34, Virginia (+20.5) 17 (W)
My record ATS for each ACC team through Week 12: Florida State 6-2, Maryland 6-2, Duke 6-2, Virginia Tech 6-3, Virginia 5-1-1, Miami, FL 5-2, Clemson 5-3, NC State 5-3, Wake Forest 5-3, Georgia Tech 5-3-1, Syracuse 4-3, Boston College 4-4, Pittsburgh 2-5-1, North Carolina 2-6
SEC (Season Record 36-28-2)
Georgia 34, Kentucky (+25) 23 (L)
Vanderbilt (+3) 26, Tennessee 24 (W)
LSU (-5.5) 44, Texas A&M 38 (W)
Mississippi State (-1.5) 30, Arkansas 20 (W)
Missouri (-2) 41, Ole Miss 37 (W)
My record ATS for each SEC team through Week 12: Missouri 7-1, Kentucky 6-1, Alabama 6-3, Florida 5-2-1, Auburn 5-3, Vanderbilt 5-3, Tennessee 5-3, Arkansas 4-4, LSU 3-3-1, Georgia 3-2-2, Ole Miss 3-5, Mississippi State 3-5, South Carolina 2-6, Texas A&M 2-6
Sun Belt (Season Record 20-21)
Louisiana-Monroe (+3.5) 24, South Alabama 22 (L)
Arkansas State (-24) 47, Georgia State 14 (L)
Western Kentucky 28, Texas State (+5.5) 27 (L)
My record ATS for each Sun Belt team through Week 12: Georgia State 5-2, ULM 5-3, Texas State 5-3, Arkansas State 4-4, Troy 4-5, Western Kentucky 3-4, South Alabama 2-5, ULL 2-5
Independents (Season Record 19-24)
BYU (pick'em) 31, Notre Dame 24 (L)
My record ATS for each Independent team through Week 12: New Mexico State 5-2, Army 5-3, BYU 3-3, Idaho 3-4, Navy 2-6, Notre Dame 2-6
PAC-12 (Season Record 28-30)
Washington State (-1.5) 30, Utah 27 (W)
Stanford 41, California (+31.5) 17 (L)
Oregon (-20.5) 45, Arizona 21 (L)
USC (-22.5) 41, Colorado 10 (L)
UCLA (+2.5) 38, Arizona State 34 (L)
Washington (+2) 27, Oregon State 24 (W)
My record ATS for each PAC-12 team through Week 12: Oregon 6-2, Washington State 5-2, Arizona State 5-4, Oregon State 4-4, Washington 4-4, UCLA 4-5, Stanford 4-5, California 4-5, Colorado 3-4, Arizona 3-5, Utah 3-5, USC 3-6
Big 12 (Season Record 31-17)
Kansas (+4.5) 28, Iowa State 20 (L)
Kansas State (-5.5) 34, Oklahoma 27 (L)
Baylor (-9.5) 52, Oklahoma State 35 (L)
My record ATS for each Big 12 team through Week 12: Kansas 8-1, Texas Tech 8-1, Texas 6-2, West Virginia 6-3, Baylor 5-2, TCU 5-4, Iowa State 5-4, Oklahoma State 3-4, Oklahoma 3-5, Kansas State 3-5
Record This Week: 28-23-1 ATS (39-13 SU)
Record This Season: 289-240-7 ATS (412-125 SU)
Northern Illinois (-2) 41, Toledo 34 (W)
Central Michigan (-10) 31, Massachusetts 10 (W)
Bowling Green (-24) 45, Eastern Michigan 14 (W)
My record ATS for each MAC team through Week 12: Western Michigan 7-2, Northern Illinois 6-2, Massachusetts 6-2, Ball State 6-2-1, Miami, OH 5-2-1, Kent State 5-4, Buffalo 4-3, Bowling Green 4-3, Akron 4-5, Ohio 3-3-1, Central Michigan 3-4-1, Eastern Michigan 3-5, Toledo 2-5
AAC (Season Record 29-17)
UCF 34, Rutgers (+17.5) 20 (L)
Temple (-7.5) 34, Connecticut 19 (L)
Cincinnati (+2.5) 29, Houston 27 (W)
Louisville 30, Memphis (+24) 10 (W)
SMU (-4) 35, South Florida 24 (W)
My record ATS for each AAC team through Week 12: UCF 7-0, Houston 6-2, Memphis 5-1, Rutgers 5-2, South Florida 5-2, Louisville 5-3, Connecticut 5-3, Temple 4-3, SMU 3-4, Cincinnati 3-4
Conference USA (Season Record 37-32)
Rice 34, UAB (+18) 21 (W)
Marshall (-32.5) 52, Florida International 14 (W)
Tulane (-16) 34, UTEP 13 (W)
North Texas (-7.5) 31, UTSA 14 (L)
Middle Tennessee (-22.5) 41, Southern Miss 14 (L)
Florida Atlantic (-22) 48, New Mexico State 21 (W)
Tulsa (-3) 27, Louisiana Tech 17 (W)
My record ATS for each C-USA team through Week 12: Louisiana Tech 7-1, Marshall 6-2, Southern Miss 6-2, UTSA 6-2, Rice 6-3, Tulsa 5-3, Tulane 5-3, Florida Atlantic 5-3, East Carolina 4-4, North Texas 4-4, UTEP 4-5, Florida International 2-5, Middle Tennessee 1-6, UAB 1-6
Mountain West (Season Record 29-30-1)
UNLV (+2) 35, Air Force 31 (W)
Navy (+2) 35, San Jose State 28 (W)
Wyoming (-6) 38, Hawaii 21 (L)
Utah State 30, Colorado State (+10) 28 (L)
Fresno State (-31.5) 52, New Mexico 14 (W)
Boise State (-5.5) 38, San Diego State 27 (L)
My record ATS for each MWC team through Week 12: New Mexico 5-1-1, Air Force 5-3, Utah State 4-2, UNLV 4-3, San Jose State 4-4, Colorado State 4-4, Hawaii 3-4, Nevada 3-5, San Diego State 3-5, Boise State 3-5, Fresno State 2-4, Wyoming 2-5
Big Ten (Season Record 23-28)
Penn State (-1.5) 23, Nebraska 20 (L)
Illinois (-6.5) 38, Purdue 21 (L)
Ohio State (-34.5) 59, Indiana 17 (L)
Michigan State (-7) 27, Northwestern 10 (W)
Iowa 23, Michigan (+5.5) 20 (W)
My record ATS for each Big 10 team through Week 12: Illinois 5-2, Purdue 5-3, Michigan State 4-3, Iowa 4-3, Ohio State 4-3, Nebraska 3-4, Northwestern 3-4, Indiana 3-4, Wisconsin 2-2, Minnesota 2-5, Penn State 2-6, Michigan 0-8!!
ACC (Season Record 39-25-2)
Syracuse (+1) 28, Pittsburgh 24 (T)
East Carolina (-5.5) 38, North Carolina State 24 (W)
Florida State (-57) 70, Idaho 3 (W)
Duke (-6) 26, Wake Forest 14 (W)
Maryland (+1) 35, Boston College 30 (L)
Miami, FL 34, Virginia (+20.5) 17 (W)
My record ATS for each ACC team through Week 12: Florida State 6-2, Maryland 6-2, Duke 6-2, Virginia Tech 6-3, Virginia 5-1-1, Miami, FL 5-2, Clemson 5-3, NC State 5-3, Wake Forest 5-3, Georgia Tech 5-3-1, Syracuse 4-3, Boston College 4-4, Pittsburgh 2-5-1, North Carolina 2-6
SEC (Season Record 36-28-2)
Georgia 34, Kentucky (+25) 23 (L)
Vanderbilt (+3) 26, Tennessee 24 (W)
LSU (-5.5) 44, Texas A&M 38 (W)
Mississippi State (-1.5) 30, Arkansas 20 (W)
Missouri (-2) 41, Ole Miss 37 (W)
My record ATS for each SEC team through Week 12: Missouri 7-1, Kentucky 6-1, Alabama 6-3, Florida 5-2-1, Auburn 5-3, Vanderbilt 5-3, Tennessee 5-3, Arkansas 4-4, LSU 3-3-1, Georgia 3-2-2, Ole Miss 3-5, Mississippi State 3-5, South Carolina 2-6, Texas A&M 2-6
Sun Belt (Season Record 20-21)
Louisiana-Monroe (+3.5) 24, South Alabama 22 (L)
Arkansas State (-24) 47, Georgia State 14 (L)
Western Kentucky 28, Texas State (+5.5) 27 (L)
My record ATS for each Sun Belt team through Week 12: Georgia State 5-2, ULM 5-3, Texas State 5-3, Arkansas State 4-4, Troy 4-5, Western Kentucky 3-4, South Alabama 2-5, ULL 2-5
Independents (Season Record 19-24)
BYU (pick'em) 31, Notre Dame 24 (L)
My record ATS for each Independent team through Week 12: New Mexico State 5-2, Army 5-3, BYU 3-3, Idaho 3-4, Navy 2-6, Notre Dame 2-6
PAC-12 (Season Record 28-30)
Washington State (-1.5) 30, Utah 27 (W)
Stanford 41, California (+31.5) 17 (L)
Oregon (-20.5) 45, Arizona 21 (L)
USC (-22.5) 41, Colorado 10 (L)
UCLA (+2.5) 38, Arizona State 34 (L)
Washington (+2) 27, Oregon State 24 (W)
My record ATS for each PAC-12 team through Week 12: Oregon 6-2, Washington State 5-2, Arizona State 5-4, Oregon State 4-4, Washington 4-4, UCLA 4-5, Stanford 4-5, California 4-5, Colorado 3-4, Arizona 3-5, Utah 3-5, USC 3-6
Big 12 (Season Record 31-17)
Kansas (+4.5) 28, Iowa State 20 (L)
Kansas State (-5.5) 34, Oklahoma 27 (L)
Baylor (-9.5) 52, Oklahoma State 35 (L)
My record ATS for each Big 12 team through Week 12: Kansas 8-1, Texas Tech 8-1, Texas 6-2, West Virginia 6-3, Baylor 5-2, TCU 5-4, Iowa State 5-4, Oklahoma State 3-4, Oklahoma 3-5, Kansas State 3-5
Record This Week: 28-23-1 ATS (39-13 SU)
Record This Season: 289-240-7 ATS (412-125 SU)
Friday, November 15, 2013
NCAA Men's Basketball - Field of 68 - The Bracket - November 15, 2013
THE BRACKET
Just to get a feel for what things might look like.
Just to get a feel for what things might look like.
EAST
(New York)
|
MIDWEST
(Indy)
|
SOUTH
(Memphis)
|
WEST
(Anaheim)
|
|
(1)
|
Louisville
|
Michigan State
|
Kentucky
|
Kansas
|
(16)
|
LIU-Brooklyn
|
Weber State/High Point
|
Texas So./Boston U.
|
Norfolk State
|
St.
Louis, MO
|
Milwaukee,
WI
|
Raleigh,
NC
|
St.
Louis, MO
|
|
(8)
|
Iowa
|
Georgetown
|
Cincinnati
|
Tennessee
|
(9)
|
Iowa State
|
Colorado
|
Indiana
|
Boise State
|
(5)
|
Creighton
|
Baylor
|
Notre Dame
|
Connecticut
|
(12)
|
LSU/San Diego State
|
Southern Miss
|
Providence/BYU
|
North Dakota State
|
San
Antonio, TX
|
San
Diego, CA
|
Milwaukee,
WI
|
Spokane,
WA
|
|
(4)
|
VCU
|
New Mexico
|
Wisconsin
|
Michigan
|
(13)
|
Toledo
|
Western Kentucky
|
Eastern Kentucky
|
New Mexico State
|
(6)
|
UCLA
|
St. Louis
|
Wichita State
|
North Carolina
|
(11)
|
St. John’s
|
UNLV
|
Missouri
|
California
|
Buffalo,
NY
|
Orlando,
FL
|
Spokane, WA
|
Orlando, FL
|
|
(3)
|
Ohio State
|
Florida
|
Marquette
|
Memphis
|
(14)
|
Towson
|
Iona
|
Northwestern State
|
UWGB
|
(7)
|
Gonzaga
|
Villanova
|
Oregon
|
Virginia
|
(10)
|
Harvard
|
Arizona State
|
Georgia Tech
|
Massachusetts
|
Raleigh,
NC
|
Buffalo,
NY
|
San
Antonio, TX
|
San
Diego, CA
|
|
(2)
|
Duke
|
Syracuse
|
Oklahoma State
|
Arizona
|
(15)
|
Vermont
|
Florida Gulf Coast
|
UCSB
|
Davidson
|
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
College Football 2012 - Week 12 Jabesblog Picks
Season Record: 233-196-6 (ATS) 333-102 (Straight-Up)
Last Week: 26-22-1 (ATS) 38-11 (Straight-Up)
I was rolling along last week until Saturday Night, missing on the last 7 games of the night to ruin a really good week. Time to pay more attention to those games.
WEEK 12 PICKS
MAC
Bowling Green (-9.5) 31, Ohio 17 (W)
Buffalo (+3.5) 35, Toledo 34 (L)
Northern Illinois (-6.5) 41, Ball State 31 (W)
Kent State (-17.5) 38, Miami, OH 13 (W)
Central Michigan (-2) 34, Western Michigan 27 (W)
Akron (-6.5) 27, Massachusetts 17 (L)
Interesting week in the MAC, where the match-ups are better than usual. The favorite is 26-9 in MAC conference games, a 74% clip. I am picking Buffalo as my one underdog. The Bulls look like the best team in the MAC East and Toledo is horrible on both Tuesdays and off bye weeks. No slam dunks here this week in the MAC though.
ACC
Clemson 34, Georgia Tech (+11) 31 (L)
Duke (+3.5) 31, Miami, FL 27 (W)
Virginia Tech 27, Maryland (+16) 14 (W)
Boston College (-7.5) 34, NC State 20 (W)
Pittburgh (-1) 31, North Carolina 26 (L)
Florida State (-37.5) 52, Syracuse 10 (W)
If it wasn't Thursday Night, I might have gone with Clemson, but Georgia Tech often gives them fits as it is. Virginia Tech exploded offensively last week, but can they prove it two weeks in a row? I will continue to go with Florida State until they prove otherwise, but the potential Jameis Winston distraction would be a reason to go with the 'Cuse.
C-USA
Marshall 38, Tulsa (+12.5) 31 (W)
Florida Atlantic (-17) 35, Southern Miss 13 (W)
East Carolina 41, UAB (+28) 20 (L)
Rice (-15.5) 34, Lousiana Tech 14 (W)
UTEP 14, FIU (+5.5) 13 (L)
Big numbers for Rice and FAU to cover, but I like both this week. Conversely, the C-USA top teams in Marshall and Eat Carolina may have a tough time covering their number. Marshall is not a good road team and has to prove it to me. Finally, when two really really bad teams play, I have to take the points.
PAC-12
UCLA (-2.5) 35, Washington 23 (W)
California (+2) 30, Colorado 24 (L)
Arizona State (-14) 44, Oregon State 20 (L)
Oregon 43, Utah (+26) 21 (W)
Stanford (-3.5) 24, USC 17 (L)
Arizona 33, Washington State (+11) 27 (W)
Arizona State owes me and is really good at home. Washington has struggled on the road and thus that seems like a small number for UCLA. How can you go wrong with Stanford at this point? Marcus Mariota's injury takes a little explosiveness out of the Ducks.
SEC
Vanderbilt (-11.5) 37, Kentucky 17 (W)
South Carolina (-12.5) 31, Florida 9 (L)
Auburn (-3) 38, Georgia 28 (W)
Alabama (-23) 49, Mississippi State 17 (L)
All favorites in the SEC this week. Vandy has recovered nicely this year and should handle Kentucky. Florida's offense is in further shambles. Auburn and Alabama are cruising toward their meeting.
AAC
Louisville 38, Houston (+16) 33 (W)
Cincinnati (pick 'em) 27, Rutgers 21 (W)
UCF 34, Temple (+17) 24 (W)
SMU (-15.5) 45, Connecticut 21 (W)
Memphis (-1.5) 24, South Florida 20 (W)
Houston seems to get no respect. I will respect them. I buy Cincinnati more than I do Rutgers. Temple has been much better lately and could be overlooked by UCF. Connecticut is just not good, especially on the road.
Big 10
Penn State 27, Purdue (+21.5) 10 (L)
Northwestern (-3) 29, Michigan 21 (L)
Michigan State (-6) 23, Nebraska 10 (W)
Ohio State 44, Illinois (+33.5) 19 (W)
I am banking on the State of Michigan trends...Michigan State up, Michigan down. I am also crazy for wanting points with both Purdue and Illinois.
Sun Belt
Louisiana-Lafayette 34, Georgia State (+21.5) 19 (W)
Navy 35, South Alabama (+7) 31 (L)
Arkansas State (-7) 33, Texas State 17 (W)
Ole Miss 48, Troy (+28) 28 (L)
I was 0-fer on the Sun Belt last week, so be warned. Georgia State has an uncanny way of just covering the point spread. I also feel like Arkansas State has re-established themselves as one of the best in the Belt after a slow start.
Mountain West
Boise State 41, Wyoming (+23) 26 (L)
San Jose State (-7) 35, Nevada 24 (L)
Colorado State 38, New Mexico (+6.5) 35 (L)
San Diego State (-4) 41, Hawaii 34 (W)
In the high-flying Mountain West, it seems anything can happen. With 3 lines right around a TD, these games could go either way. I like all the favorites to win, but was least confident with CSU on the road this week. I also still don't love Boise State's defense enough to cover the higher number.
Big 12
West Virginia (-6.5) 31, Kansas 16 (L)
Baylor (-28) 66, Texas Tech 31 (W)
Oklahoma State (-3) 37, Texas 27 (W)
Oklahoma 31, Iowas State (+23.5) 13 (L)
Kansas State (-10) 30, TCU 10 (L)
Some feel West Virginia will lay an egg, but with bowl-eligibility on the line, I think they take care of Kansas. Oklahoma's quarterback issues make their line a little high for me. Kansas State is rolling along and TCU is not. Finally, I don't love Oklahoma State on the road in this spot, but sometimes you have to pick a game the way you want it to go.
Record this week: 28-21 ATS (40-9 SU)
Record this season: 261-217-6 ATS (373-111 SU)
Last Week: 26-22-1 (ATS) 38-11 (Straight-Up)
I was rolling along last week until Saturday Night, missing on the last 7 games of the night to ruin a really good week. Time to pay more attention to those games.
WEEK 12 PICKS
MAC
Bowling Green (-9.5) 31, Ohio 17 (W)
Buffalo (+3.5) 35, Toledo 34 (L)
Northern Illinois (-6.5) 41, Ball State 31 (W)
Kent State (-17.5) 38, Miami, OH 13 (W)
Central Michigan (-2) 34, Western Michigan 27 (W)
Akron (-6.5) 27, Massachusetts 17 (L)
Interesting week in the MAC, where the match-ups are better than usual. The favorite is 26-9 in MAC conference games, a 74% clip. I am picking Buffalo as my one underdog. The Bulls look like the best team in the MAC East and Toledo is horrible on both Tuesdays and off bye weeks. No slam dunks here this week in the MAC though.
ACC
Clemson 34, Georgia Tech (+11) 31 (L)
Duke (+3.5) 31, Miami, FL 27 (W)
Virginia Tech 27, Maryland (+16) 14 (W)
Boston College (-7.5) 34, NC State 20 (W)
Pittburgh (-1) 31, North Carolina 26 (L)
Florida State (-37.5) 52, Syracuse 10 (W)
If it wasn't Thursday Night, I might have gone with Clemson, but Georgia Tech often gives them fits as it is. Virginia Tech exploded offensively last week, but can they prove it two weeks in a row? I will continue to go with Florida State until they prove otherwise, but the potential Jameis Winston distraction would be a reason to go with the 'Cuse.
C-USA
Marshall 38, Tulsa (+12.5) 31 (W)
Florida Atlantic (-17) 35, Southern Miss 13 (W)
East Carolina 41, UAB (+28) 20 (L)
Rice (-15.5) 34, Lousiana Tech 14 (W)
UTEP 14, FIU (+5.5) 13 (L)
Big numbers for Rice and FAU to cover, but I like both this week. Conversely, the C-USA top teams in Marshall and Eat Carolina may have a tough time covering their number. Marshall is not a good road team and has to prove it to me. Finally, when two really really bad teams play, I have to take the points.
PAC-12
UCLA (-2.5) 35, Washington 23 (W)
California (+2) 30, Colorado 24 (L)
Arizona State (-14) 44, Oregon State 20 (L)
Oregon 43, Utah (+26) 21 (W)
Stanford (-3.5) 24, USC 17 (L)
Arizona 33, Washington State (+11) 27 (W)
Arizona State owes me and is really good at home. Washington has struggled on the road and thus that seems like a small number for UCLA. How can you go wrong with Stanford at this point? Marcus Mariota's injury takes a little explosiveness out of the Ducks.
SEC
Vanderbilt (-11.5) 37, Kentucky 17 (W)
South Carolina (-12.5) 31, Florida 9 (L)
Auburn (-3) 38, Georgia 28 (W)
Alabama (-23) 49, Mississippi State 17 (L)
All favorites in the SEC this week. Vandy has recovered nicely this year and should handle Kentucky. Florida's offense is in further shambles. Auburn and Alabama are cruising toward their meeting.
AAC
Louisville 38, Houston (+16) 33 (W)
Cincinnati (pick 'em) 27, Rutgers 21 (W)
UCF 34, Temple (+17) 24 (W)
SMU (-15.5) 45, Connecticut 21 (W)
Memphis (-1.5) 24, South Florida 20 (W)
Houston seems to get no respect. I will respect them. I buy Cincinnati more than I do Rutgers. Temple has been much better lately and could be overlooked by UCF. Connecticut is just not good, especially on the road.
Big 10
Penn State 27, Purdue (+21.5) 10 (L)
Northwestern (-3) 29, Michigan 21 (L)
Michigan State (-6) 23, Nebraska 10 (W)
Ohio State 44, Illinois (+33.5) 19 (W)
I am banking on the State of Michigan trends...Michigan State up, Michigan down. I am also crazy for wanting points with both Purdue and Illinois.
Sun Belt
Louisiana-Lafayette 34, Georgia State (+21.5) 19 (W)
Navy 35, South Alabama (+7) 31 (L)
Arkansas State (-7) 33, Texas State 17 (W)
Ole Miss 48, Troy (+28) 28 (L)
I was 0-fer on the Sun Belt last week, so be warned. Georgia State has an uncanny way of just covering the point spread. I also feel like Arkansas State has re-established themselves as one of the best in the Belt after a slow start.
Mountain West
Boise State 41, Wyoming (+23) 26 (L)
San Jose State (-7) 35, Nevada 24 (L)
Colorado State 38, New Mexico (+6.5) 35 (L)
San Diego State (-4) 41, Hawaii 34 (W)
In the high-flying Mountain West, it seems anything can happen. With 3 lines right around a TD, these games could go either way. I like all the favorites to win, but was least confident with CSU on the road this week. I also still don't love Boise State's defense enough to cover the higher number.
Big 12
West Virginia (-6.5) 31, Kansas 16 (L)
Baylor (-28) 66, Texas Tech 31 (W)
Oklahoma State (-3) 37, Texas 27 (W)
Oklahoma 31, Iowas State (+23.5) 13 (L)
Kansas State (-10) 30, TCU 10 (L)
Some feel West Virginia will lay an egg, but with bowl-eligibility on the line, I think they take care of Kansas. Oklahoma's quarterback issues make their line a little high for me. Kansas State is rolling along and TCU is not. Finally, I don't love Oklahoma State on the road in this spot, but sometimes you have to pick a game the way you want it to go.
Record this week: 28-21 ATS (40-9 SU)
Record this season: 261-217-6 ATS (373-111 SU)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)