Wednesday, October 23, 2013

College Football 2013 - Week 8 Reset

Week 8 of the 2013 College Football season is complete.  Here is a conference-by-conference look that I will update throughout the season.

BIG TEN
CURRENT RECORD
PREDICTED RECORD
PROJECTED RECORD
BOWL
PROJECTION
Ohio State
3-0, 7-0
7-1, 12-1
7-1, 12-1
Rose Bowl
Wisconsin
3-1, 5-2
6-2, 9-3
7-1, 10-2
Outback Bowl
Penn State
1-1, 4-2
4-4, 8-4
4-4, 7-5
Indiana
1-2, 3-4
3-5, 6-6
4-4, 6-6
 Little Caesars Bowl
Purdue
0-3, 1-6
1-7, 2-10
0-8, 1-11
Illinois
0-2, 3-3
0-8, 2-10
1-7, 4-8
Nebraska
2-0, 5-1
7-1, 11-2
7-1, 10-3
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Michigan
2-1, 6-1
6-2, 10-2
6-2, 10-2
Capital One Bowl
Northwestern
0-3, 4-3
6-2, 10-2
2-6, 6-6
Heart of Dallas Bowl
Michigan State
3-0, 6-1
5-3, 8-4
6-2, 9-3
Gator Bowl
Iowa
1-2, 4-3
2-6, 4-8
3-5, 6-6
 Meineke Car Care Bowl
Minnesota
1-2, 5-2
1-7, 4-8
1-7, 5-7


 BIG TEN QUICK HITS: 
  • A promising season for Northwestern has been derailed by a combination of factors.  Injuries are never an excuse, but they are not helping the Wildcats.  They were probably over-hyped to begin with and are now fighting for their bowl life.  A loss this week at Iowa will make things very difficult with Nebraska, Michigan and Michigan State still on the schedule.
  • It looks like the Indiana-Minnesota game on November 2nd might be for the final Big 10 bowl slot.  The Hoosiers just need to take care of business at home, which is easier said than done for this program.
  • Michigan State was looking unstoppable on offense and then they played Purdue.  What?  Was that a bump in the road or the reason they will not win the Legends?
  • Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State are bowl-eligible.  The winner of the Nebraska/Minnesota game will become bowl-eligible this week.

    PAC 12
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Oregon
    4-0, 7-0
    9-0, 13-0
    9-0, 13-0
    BCS National Championship
    Stanford
    4-1, 6-1
    7-2, 10-2
    7-2, 10-2
    Rose Bowl
    Washington
    1-3, 4-3
    5-4, 8-4
    5-4, 8-4
    Sun Bowl
    Oregon State
    4-0, 6-1
    5-4, 8-4
    5-4, 7-5
    New Mexico Bowl
    California
    0-4, 1-6
    2-7, 3-9
    1-8, 2-10
    Washington State
    2-3, 4-4
    1-8, 3-9
    2-7, 4-8
    Arizona State
    3-1, 5-2
    7-2, 9-4
    7-2, 9-3
    Holiday Bowl
    UCLA
    2-1, 5-1
    6-3, 8-4
    7-2, 10-3
    Alamo Bowl
    USC
    1-2, 4-3
    6-3, 9-4
    4-5, 7-6
    Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl 
    Arizona
    1-2, 4-2
    4-5, 7-5
    4-5, 7-5
    Las Vegas Bowl
    Utah
    1-3, 4-3
    2-7, 3-9
    3-6, 6-6
    Military Bowl
    Colorado
    0-3, 3-3
    0-9, 1-11
    0-9, 3-9


    PAC 12 QUICK HITS: 
    • Stanford, USC, Arizona State, Washington and Oregon.  In case you are wondering, that is the remaining schedule for the Beavers of Oregon State.  They are the opposite of Washington, who played the toughest part of the schedule first.  The game between Washington and Oregon State will likely decide a better bowl destination.
    • I thought Colorado would win a PAC-12 game, but now I don't believe that, although they do host Cal.
    • Somehow, some way, I think Utah scrapes out bowl-eligibility.  It is just what that program does.
    • Oregon, Stanford and Oregon State are bowl-eligible.  UCLA can become bowl-eligible this week.

    SEC
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    South Carolina
    3-2, 5-2
    7-1, 11-2
    5-3, 8-4
    Gator Bowl
    Georgia
    3-2, 4-3
    6-2, 9-3
    5-3, 8-4
    Chick Fil-A Bowl
    Florida
    3-2, 4-3
    5-3, 8-4
    4-4, 6-6
    Liberty Bowl
    Vanderbilt
    1-3, 4-3
    4-4, 8-4
    3-5, 7-5
    Advocare V100 Bowl
    Missouri
    3-0, 7-0
    2-6, 6-6
    7-1, 11-2
    Outback Bowl
    Tennessee
    1-2, 4-3
    2-6, 5-7
    3-5, 6-6
    BBVA Compass Bowl
    Kentucky
    0-3, 1-5
    0-8, 2-10
    0-8, 2-10
    Texas A&M
    2-2, 5-2
    8-0, 13-0
    5-3, 9-3
    Capital One Bowl
    Alabama
    4-0, 7-0
    7-1, 11-1
    7-1, 12-1
    Sugar Bowl
    Ole Miss
    2-3, 4-3
    5-3, 8-4
    4-4, 8-4
    Music City Bowl
    LSU
    3-2, 6-2
    4-4, 8-4
    6-2, 10-2
    Orange Bowl
    Auburn
    3-1, 6-1
    3-5, 7-5
    5-3, 9-3
    Cotton Bowl
    Mississippi State
    0-2, 3-3
    2-6, 5-7
    1-7, 4-8
    Arkansas
    0-4, 3-5
    1-7, 5-7
    1-7, 4-8


     SEC QUICK HITS: 
    • You would have won a lot of money if you had a parlay with South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, LSU and Texas A&M all losing on the same Saturday.  The effect on these teams is disappointing seasons that will in all likelihood end up outside of a BCS bowl.  Right now I have LSU sneaking into the Orange, but that is with the floundering chance they defeat Alabama.
    • Alabama is hoping Missouri and Auburn continue their surprising seasons so that those potential victories, along with one over LSU will cement the Tide in the BCS Title Game.  I am sure it will happen, I just won't put it in print.
    • Injuries have been a factor in the SEC this year, but Georgia's defense is young, Florida has no quarterback, A&M has no defense and Ole Miss is relying on freshman.  Some of this was to be expected, but these teams got the benefit of the doubt.
    • Missouri, Alabama, Auburn and LSU are bowl-eligible.  South Carolina and Texas A&M can become bowl-eligible this week.

    Big 12
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Oklahoma State
    2-1, 5-1
    8-1, 11-1
    6-3, 9-3
    Cotton Bowl
    Oklahoma
    3-1, 6-1
    7-2, 10-2
    6-3, 9-3
    Alamo Bowl
    Texas
    3-0, 4-2
    7-2, 10-2
    7-2, 8-4
    Holiday Bowl
    Baylor
    3-0, 6-0
    6-3, 9-3
    8-1, 11-1
    Fiesta Bowl
    Kansas State
    0-3, 2-4
    6-3, 9-3
    4-5, 6-6
    Pinstripe Bowl
    TCU
    1-3, 3-4
    5-4, 7-5
    4-5, 6-6
    Meineke Car Care Bowl
    Texas Tech
    4-0, 7-0
    3-6, 6-6
    6-3, 9-3
    Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
    West Virginia
    1-3, 3-4
    2-7, 5-7
    2-7, 4-8
    Iowa State
    0-3, 1-5
    1-8, 3-9
    1-8, 2-10
    Kansas
    0-3, 2-4
    0-9, 1-11
    1-8, 3-9

     Big 12 Synopsis: 
    • If Texas finishes as projected, Mack Brown should get an apology.  Things are not perfect for the Longhorns, but a win over Oklahoma can save a season.
    • I am confused by the Sooners, but we will find out about them and Texas Tech this weekend.  If the Red Raiders pull the upset, it looks like Baylor and Texas Tech to the finish in the Big 12.  Just like everybody thought.
    • Oklahoma State can still have a say, but they better figure out their road problems with games at Texas Tech and at Texas looming.  The good news is that they can take care of all the teams in front of them yet.
    • Kansas State desperately needs a win over West Virginia this week.  Bill Snyder's magic may have left with Colin Klein.
    • Baylor, Oklahoma and Texas Tech are bowl-eligible.  Oklahoma State can become bowl-eligible this week.

    ACC
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Florida State
    4-0, 6-0
    8-0, 13-0
    8-0, 13-0
    BCS National Championship
    Clemson
    4-1, 6-1
    7-1, 10-2
    7-1, 11-1
    Sugar Bowl
    Maryland
    1-2, 5-2
    4-4, 7-5
    3-5, 7-5
    Music City Bowl
    NC State
    0-3, 3-3
    3-5, 6-6
    2-6, 5-7

    Boston College
    1-2, 3-3
    2-6, 5-7
    2-6, 5-7
    Syracuse
    1-2, 3-4
    2-6, 4-8
    3-5, 5-7
    Wake Forest
    2-2, 4-3
    1-7, 3-9
    3-5, 5-7
    Virginia Tech
    3-0, 6-1
    7-1, 10-3
    7-1, 10-2
    Russell Athletic Bowl
    Miami FL
    2-0, 6-0
    6-2, 9-3
    7-1, 11-2
    Chick-Fil-A Bowl
    Georgia Tech
    3-2, 4-3
    5-3, 8-4
    5-3, 7-5
    Belk Bowl
    North Carolina
    0-3, 1-5
    6-2, 9-3
    3-5, 5-7

    Pittsburgh
    2-2, 4-2
    3-5, 6-6
    4-4, 7-5
    		 Sun Bowl
    Duke
    1-2, 5-2
    1-7, 4-8
    2-6, 6-6
    		 Advocare V100 Bowl
    Virginia
    0-3, 2-5
    1-7, 3-9
    0-8, 2-10

     ACC Synopsis:
    • Well, at least I have been correct about Florida State.  The Seminoles look awesome, but they must still navigate Miami, FL, Florida and then potentially Miami, FL again.  And doesn't it always seem they lose a low scoring game they were expected to cruise in?
    • Clemson will still have a very successful season, just not the one they ultimately hoped for after beating Georgia.
    • Injuries have likely put a damper on what looked like a really good season for Maryland.  When your two starting receivers both break their leg in the same game, you start wondering what the Terps ever did to the football gods.
    • I have 5 ACC teams at 5-7, so the odds are pretty good that another team gets bowl-eligible.  
    • Florida State, Miami, FL, Clemson and Virginia Tech are bowl-eligible.  Maryland and Duke can become bowl-eligible this week.

    AAC
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Louisville
    2-1, 6-1
    7-1, 11-1
    7-1, 11-1
    Russell Athletic Bowl
    Cincinnati
    2-1, 5-2
    6-2, 10-2
    5-3, 8-4
    Pinstripe Bowl
    UCF
    2-0, 5-1
    6-2, 8-4
    8-0, 11-1
    Orange Bowl
    Rutgers
    1-1, 4-2
    5-3, 7-5
    6-2, 9-3
    Belk Bowl
    Houston
    2-0, 5-1
    4-4, 6-6
    4-4, 7-5
    BBVA Compass Bowl
    South Florida
    2-0, 2-4
    3-5, 5-7
    3-5, 3-9
    Connecticut
    0-2, 0-6
    3-5, 4-8
    0-8, 0-12
    SMU
    1-1, 2-4
    3-5, 4-8
    4-4, 5-7
    Memphis
    0-3, 1-5
    2-6, 4-8
    2-6, 4-8
    Temple
    0-3, 1-6
    1-7, 4-8
    1-7, 2-10

     AAC Synopsis:
    • I pointed toward the UCF game for Louisville and the Golden Knights did not disappoint.  Do you think playing in close games against Penn State and South Carolina helped more than derailing Florida International?  We will never know, but UCF is now in the drivers seat for a BCS bowl.
    • Louisville is bowl-eligible.  UCF and Houston can become bowl-eligible this week.
    Mountain West
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Boise State
    3-1, 5-2
    6-2, 9-4
    6-2, 8-5
    Poinsettia Bowl
    Utah State
    3-1, 4-4
    6-2, 9-3
    5-3, 6-6
    New Mexico Bowl
    Wyoming
    2-1, 4-3
    4-4, 7-5
    4-4, 6-6
    Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
    Air Force
    0-5, 1-6
    4-4, 6-6
    2-6, 4-8

    Colorado State
    1-1, 3-4
    2-6, 5-8
    5-3, 7-6
    		 Armed Forces Bowl
    New Mexico
    0-3, 2-5
    1-7, 3-9
    1-7, 3-9
    Fresno State
    3-0, 6-0
    7-1, 12-1
    8-0, 12-0*
    Fiesta Bowl
    San Jose State
    2-1, 3-3
    6-2, 9-3
    5-3, 7-5
    Las Vegas Bowl
    San Diego State
    2-0, 3-3
    5-3, 7-5
    5-3, 6-6
    		 Hawaii Bowl
    Nevada
    2-2, 3-4
    4-4, 5-7
    4-4, 5-7

    UNLV
    2-1, 4-3
    2-6, 4-8
    3-5, 5-7
    Hawaii
    0-4, 0-6
    1-7, 1-11
    0-8, 0-12
    *No make-up game has been scheduled for the Colorado-Fresno State cancellation.

     Mountain West Synopsis:
    • Fresno State still looks like the best BCS buster from the non AQ conferences.  Injuries and disappointments have taken away many of the top contenders.  Plus the Bulldogs are starting to get it rolling.
    • It is hard to trust many of these teams, but it looks like they will at least fill their bowl allotment.
    • Fresno State is bowl-eligible.  Boise State can become bowl-eligible this week.

    C-USA
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    East Carolina
    3-1, 5-2
    7-1, 10-3
    7-1, 11-2
    Liberty Bowl
    Marshall
    2-0, 4-2
    6-2, 8-4
    7-1, 9-3
    Heart of Dallas Bowl
    Middle Tennessee
    1-2, 3-4
    5-3, 7-5
    4-4, 6-6
    Military Bowl
    UAB
    1-1, 2-4
    4-4, 6-6
    4-4, 5-7
    Southern Miss
    0-2, 0-6
    3-5, 4-8
    1-7, 1-11
    FAU
    1-4, 2-5
    2-6, 3-9
    3-5, 5-7
    FIU
    1-1, 1-5
    0-8, 0-12
    1-7, 1-11
    Tulsa
    1-1, 2-4
    7-1, 9-4
    5-3, 6-6
    Hawaii Bowl
    Rice
    3-0, 5-2
    6-2, 9-3
    7-1, 9-4
    New Orleans Bowl
    Louisiana Tech
    1-2, 2-5
    5-3, 7-5
    3-5, 5-7

    North Texas
    2-1, 4-3
    4-4, 5-7
    4-4, 6-6

    Tulane
    3-0, 5-2
    3-5, 5-7
    6-2, 8-4
    		 Beef O'Brady's Bowl
    UTEP
    0-3, 1-5
    2-6, 4-8
    1-7, 2-10
    UTSA
    1-2, 2-5
    2-6, 3-9
    3-5, 4-8

     C-USA Synopsis:
    • I still like East Carolina, despite the loss at Tulane.  The season finale against Marshall should be for the C-USA East.  Tulane and Rice also meet in the finale, likely deciding the C-USA West.  How is that for a 4-team playoff? 
    • Rice and Tulane can become bowl-eligible this week.

    MAC
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Ohio
    2-1, 5-2
    7-1, 10-3
    6-2, 9-3
    Beef O'Brady's Bowl
    Bowling Green
    3-0, 5-2
    6-2, 8-4
    7-1, 9-4
    Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
    Buffalo
    3-0, 5-2
    4-4, 6-6
    6-2, 8-4
    Kent State
    1-3, 2-6
    3-5, 5-7
    3-5, 4-8
    Miami OH
    0-3, 0-7
    3-5, 3-9
    0-8, 0-12
    Akron
    1-3, 2-6
    2-6, 3-9
    2-6, 3-9
    Massachusetts
    1-2, 1-6
    1-7, 2-10
    1-7, 1-11
    Northern Illinois
    3-0, 7-0
    7-1, 12-1
    8-0, 13-0
    GoDaddy.com Bowl
    Ball State
    4-0, 7-1
    6-2, 9-3
    7-1, 10-2
    Little Caesars Bowl
    Toledo
    2-1, 4-3
    6-2, 8-4
    5-3, 7-5
     
    Western Michigan
    0-4, 0-8
    4-4, 5-7
    1-7, 1-11
    Central Michigan
    2-2, 3-5
    3-5, 4-8
    5-3, 6-6
    Eastern Michigan
    0-3, 1-6
    0-8, 1-11
    1-7, 2-10

     MAC Synopsis:
    • Time to move Northern Illinois to the unbeaten season.  Now the question is whether they can beat out Fresno State for a potential BCS spot.  Ball State might also have a say on November 13th.
    • Buffalo is having a really good season, keeping in mind their two losses are against Ohio State and Baylor.  They are 71st in line for a bowl bid though, which leaves them home for the holidays.  Chances are one of the 6-6 teams gets upset, that is why they are 6-6 teams, but for now the Bulls are on the outside looking in.
    • Northern Illinois and Ball State are bowl-eligible.  Ohio, Bowling Green and Buffalo can become bowl-eligible this week.

    Sun Belt
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Louisiana-Monroe
    1-1, 3-4
    6-1, 9-3
    2-5, 4-8

    Louisiana-Lafayette
    2-0, 4-2
    5-2, 8-4
    7-0, 10-2
    New Orleans Bowl
    Arkansas State
    1-0, 3-3
    5-2, 7-5
    5-2, 7-5
    Western Kentucky
    1-2, 4-3
    5-2, 8-4
    4-3, 8-4
    		 GoDaddy.com Bowl
    Troy
    2-1, 4-3
    4-3, 5-7
    4-3, 6-6

    South Alabama
    1-1, 3-3
    2-5, 3-9
    3-4, 5-7
    Texas State
    1-2, 4-3
    1-6, 3-9
    3-4, 7-5

    Georgia State
    0-0, 0-5
    0-7, 1-11
    0-7, 0-12

     Sun Belt Synopsis:
    • Louisiana-Lafayette is starting to separate themselves as the favorite as the defense has stepped forward to support a solid offense.  It looks like they will have back-to-back road wins over two of the top contenders before the night is out.
    • I am projecting five bowl-eligible teams, but not enough slots for everyone to fill.

    Independents
    CURRENT RECORD
    PREDICTED RECORD
    PROJECTED RECORD
    BOWL
    PROJECTION
    Notre Dame
    5-2
    9-3
    9-3
    Poinsettia Bowl
    Navy
    3-3
    7-5
    6-6
    Armed Forces Bowl
    BYU
    5-2
    6-6
    8-4
    Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
    Army
    3-5
    3-9
    4-8
    Idaho
    1-6
    1-11
    2-10
    New Mexico State
    0-7
    2-10
    1-11
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    Tuesday, October 15, 2013

    College Football 2013 - Week 8 Jabesblog Picks

    Season Record: 132-106-2 (ATS) 186-54 (Straight-Up)
    Last Week:  30-20 (ATS) 40-10 (Straight-Up)

    60% for Week 7 with a couple heart-breaking misses.  Here is what I have for Week 8.

    WEEK 8 PICKS
    Western Kentucky (-4) 38, Louisiana-Lafayette 24  (L)
    A Tuesday Night Special, simply siding with the home team here.
    Miami, FL (-9.5) 34, North Carolina 17  (L)
    I'll buck the Thursday Night trend and go with all the spread trends whcih favor the Hurricanes.
    Louisville 23, UCF (+13) 17  (W)
    At some point Louisville is going to be tested and I have pointed at this game all along.
    Duke (+2) 30, Virginia 24  (W)
    Duke is 5-0 ATS the past 3 seasons when the line is less than 3 either way
    Army (+2.5) 38, Temple 35  (L)
    Army is bad in road games, Temple is bad in all games...something has to give
    Ohio 29, Eastern Michigan (+17) 17  (L)
    Not a strong play, but I don't get what happened to Ohio last week
    Ball State (-18.5) 45, Western Michigan 14  (W)
    The Broncos are just terrible, look for Wenning/Edwards/Snead to light it up
    Northern Illinois (-15.5) 44, Central Michigan 21  (W)
    I think the Huskies offense bounces back this week
    Michigan State (-26.5) 38, Purdue 6  (L)
    I am not 100% that the Spartan offense is fixed, but the defense might outscore Purdue on Saturday
    East Carolina (-22.5) 45, Southern Miss 10  (W)
    The Pirates need to rebound and a home game against the Golden Eagles is a perfect remedy
    Florida State (-3) 48, Clemson 41  (W)
    I have been behind the Seminoles since the start and they have done nothing to change my opinion
    Maryland 28, Wake Forest (+6.5) 27  (W)
    The tide has turned a little on the Terps and Wake has been much better at home
    Texas Tech (-6) 34, West Virginia 21  (W)
    The Red Raiders are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 years as road favorites.
    Northwestern 31, Minnesota (+12.5) 21  (W)
    The Wildcats get a Big 10 win, but they are too banged up to expect a thrashing
    Toledo (-8.5) 35, Navy 21  (L)
    Navy has struggled in two straight road games to put points up
    Cincinnati (-13.5) 41, Connecticut 14  (W)
    The Huskies have given me nothing to instill confidence in them
    SMU (+3.5) 28, Memphis 24  (W)
    I expect SMU to throw all day, so the Tigers need to control the ball to win this one
    Wyoming (-7) 45, Colorado State 31  (L)
    A good old fashion western shootout in Laramie
    Texas A&M 44, Auburn (+12.5) 35  (W)
    The Aggies defense makes these double digit lines against good teams a tall order
    Oregon 51, Washington State (+39) 21  (W)
    With big games coming up, the Ducks won't be afraid to call off the dogs to avoid an injury
    Michigan 34, Indiana (+7.5) 33  (L)
    Passing teams have given Michigan problems and Indiana will be better prepared for road game #2
    Georgia Tech 27, Syracuse (+7) 24  (L)
    I see this one as a field goal game either way, unless the turnover bug keeps biting the Orange
    Oregon State (-10) 48, California 31  (W)
    I keep thinking Cal should be better, but this is clearly a re-building year
    Ohio State 35, Iowa (+17) 23  (W)
    It would be human to exhale when the whole country has you looking forward to Michigan
    Alabama (-27.5) 48, Arkansas 14  (W)
    It is all coming together for the Crimson Tide
    South Carolina (-7) 41, Tennessee 24  (L)
    The SEC East is now back in range for the Gamecocks
    Arizona State (-3) 34, Washington 27  (W)
    Sneaky good game of the week, I like the Sun Devils at home
    North Texas (-6.5) 27, Lousiana Tech 16  (W)
    LA Tech has not shown it can score points against a good defense
    South Alabama 30, Kent State (+6.5) 27  (L)
    Kent State is really banged up, but it still feels like a FG type of game
    Missouri (+3.5) 17, Florida 16  (W)
    Might as well call for the upset, even without James Franklin
    LSU 34, Ole Miss (+8.5) 30  (W)
    We will call this the Rebels last stand, but the Tigers still get the "W"
    Houston (+10) 31, BYU 30  (W)
    For some reason this feels like a letdown game for the Cougars
    Buffalo (-20.5) 38, Massachusetts 7  (W)
    The Bulls may need to be considered for the MAC East Title
    Texas State 31, Georgia State (+16.5) 21  (W)
    No comment comes to mind
    Akron (-7) 20, Miami, OH 10  (W)
    That is two bad games in a row
    Baylor 56, Iowa State (+34) 31  (L)
    The Cyclones are more competitive than one might think
    Oklahoma 30, Kansas (+23.5) 17  (W)
    The Sooners were a mess last week, tough to think they can fix it all
    Oklahoma State 27, TCU (+7.5) 24  (L)
    3 straight Big 12 underdogs, but I really like that extra .5 point in this one
    UCLA (+6) 31, Stanford 27  (L)
    Stanford is the chique bounceback pick and I have never been chique
    USC (+3) 29, Notre Dame 28  (L)
    My Lane Who? Pick of the Week
    Rice (-18) 38, New Mexico State 14  (W)
    The Aggies are terrible
    Boise State 40, Nevada (+22.5) 24  (W)
    The Wolfpack don't turn it over enough to reach this spread
    Georgia (-7) 37, Vanderbilt 21  (L)
    It is simple a belief, and Vandy doesn't believe enough they can beat Georgia
    Utah (+4) 33, Arizona 31  (L)
    The Utes feed off being the underdog in evenly matched games
    Fresno State 45, UNLV (+24.5) 31  (W)
    The Rebels offense has been better than expected


    No Line on Utah State and New Mexico.  I am also refraining from the Wisconsin-Illinois game this week.

    Record this week:  28-17
    Record this year:  160-123-2
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    Wednesday, October 9, 2013

    College Football 2013 - Week 7 Jabesblog Picks

    Season Record:  102-86-2 (ATS) 147-44 (Straight-Up)
    Last Week: 28-27 (ATS)  41-14 (Straight-Up)

    You would think after my recent results I would give up.  No way!!  It is for entertainment purposes only...

    WEEK 7 PICKS
    Louisville 31, Rutgers (+19) 21  (W)
    I am sticking with the underdog trend in the ESPN Thursday Night game.  Plus Teddy Bridgewater will likely be missing his top target.
    San Diego State (-3.5) 38, Air Force 24  (W)
    I think the Aztecs are finally getting it rolling and the Falcons defense is not in a position to stop that.
    Arizona (+6) 24, USC 20  (L)
    Let's try an upset special here...not sure what kind of Trojan team we will see
    Cincinnati (-20.5) 37, Temple 10  (L)
    The Bearcats have disappointed a little this season, but they are money at home
    Oklahoma (-13.5) 48, Texas 24  (L)
    Farewell tour for Mack Brown?
    Michigan State (-9.5) 28, Indiana 14  (W)
    The Hoosiers first road game does not go well
    Virginia Tech 23, Pittsburgh (+9) 20  (L)
    I was tempted to pick the upset, but I definitely think the Panthers play them tough off a bye week
    Massachusetts (-3.5) 4, Miami OH 0  (W)
    At least someone is going to win
    Clemson 44, Boston College (+24) 27  (W)
    With FSU next week, I feel like Boston College is improved enough not to look past
    Buffalo (-12) 35, Western Michigan 13  (W)
    The Bulls are trying hard to have me consider them in the MAC top-tier
    Ohio (-17) 37, Central Michigan 10  (L)
    I continue to try and avoid picking a directional Michigan school
    Army (-7.5) 28, Eastern Michigan 17  (W)
    Army is only 1-8 ATS in the last 9 vs the MAC, but they are against a directional school which trumps the trend
    Maryland 19, Virginia (+7) 17  (W)
    Without C.J. Brown, Maryland will need to call on their defense and running game
    Connecticut 16, South Florida (+4.5) 13  (W)
    Two more bad teams, I don't want to give points in this one
    Duke (-3) 42, Navy 35  (W)
    The Blue Devils are a very similar team to Indiana who the Midshipmen beat a few weeks back
    Troy (-17.5) 45, Georgia State 20  (L)
    Texas A&M (-5.5) 56, Ole Miss 31  (L)
    I just don't see Ole Miss being able to keep up
    Ball State (-13.5) 41, Kent State 22  (L)
    The Cardinals have a lot of line trends working in their favor
    Mississippi State 27, Bowling Green (+10.5) 24  (W)
    The two-quarterback system may not work to Mississippi State's favor
    Northern Illinois (-22.5) 48, Akron 17  (L)
    A better line than last week in the Akron game, but I still like the MAC power
    Texas Tech 33, Iowa State (+14) 27  (W)
    The Cyclones are playing better and Tech has revolving QB's hitting the field
    Rice (+2.5) 31, UTSA 24  (W)
    I think Rice is the better team
    Wyoming 43, New Mexico (+15.5) 35  (W)
    Wyoming's defense is not good enough to support a bigger line
    Stanford (-8) 34, Utah 20  (L)
    Might be a trap game, but Stanford is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games
    BYU 26, Georgia Tech (+7) 24  (L)
    The Yellow Jackets need to save their season
    Nebraska (-14) 41, Purdue 16  (W)
    The Boilermakers are getting too much credit here
    Missouri (+8) 42, Georgia 41  (W)
    Injuries and Missouri's lack of brand name will catch up to the Bulldogs in an upset special
    Baylor (-17) 63, Kansas State 31  (L)
    They might not get to 70, but I'll still give you 17 until proven otherwise
    LSU (-7) 29, Florida 13  (W)
    I just feel it is time someone else expose Florida's lack of firepower
    Arizona State (-25) 52, Colorado 17  (W)
    It seems that Colorado's PAC-12 games will all resemble this score
    Oregon (-13.5) 46, Washington 21  (W)
    The Ducks are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 road games
    UCLA 44, California (+24.5) 30  (L)
    I think they finally made a line big enough for Cal to cover
    Wisconsin 35, Northwestern (+10.5) 34  (L)
    This line seems high...I expect a one score game either way
    East Carolina 31, Tulane (+10) 26  (W)
    The Pirates have not been a good cover in this line range
    South Carolina 27, Arkansas (+6.5) 24  (L)
    There is just something strange going on with the Gamecocks
    Alabama (-27.5) 38, Kentucky 0  (W)
    I think it is time that Alabama roll somebody
    San Jose State (+3.5) 30, Colorado State 27  (W)
    This one has the look of a field goal game, so I'll take the points
    Arkansas State (-24.5) 40, Idaho 10  (L)
    Michigan (-2.5) 34, Penn State 23  (L)
    The Nittany Lions are starting to show some vulnerability
    NC State 23, Syracuse (+7) 21  (W)
    Houston (-9.5) 38, Memphis 20  (W)
    UAB (-7.5) 33, FIU 17  (L)
    Marshall 31, Florida Atlantic (+11) 24  (W)
    The Thundering Herd are not a great road favorite
    TCU 30, Kansas (+24.5) 10  (W)
    Middle Tennessee (+6.5) 26, North Texas 23  (L)
    Texas State 27, ULM (+6.5) 24  (W)
    Boise State (-6.5) 23, Utah State 10  (W)
    This line is underestimating just how important Chuckie Keaton is
    Oregon State (+2) 37, Washington State 27  (W)
    Tulsa (-10.5) 48, UTEP 33  (W)
    UNLV (-9) 35, Hawaii 14  (L)

    Record this week:  30-20
    Season Record:  132-106-2


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