Bracketology March 2, 2026

Updated comparison chart with seedings.

	Record	Q1A	Q1	Q1+Q2	Q1+Q2+Q3	Results-Based Metrics (Avg)	Predictive Metrics (Avg)	All 7 Metrics (Avg)	Projected Seed
Michigan	26-2	6-1	11-1	21-2	24-2	1.25	1.67	1.43	1
Duke	27-2	7-2	12-2	18-2	19-2	2.00	1.33	1.71	1
Arizona	26-2	6-2	13-2	18-2	20-2	2.75	3.00	2.86	1
Connecticut	27-3	5-2	8-2	17-2	22-3	5.00	9.33	6.86	1
Florida	23-6	3-3	10-5	16-6	18-6	5.25	4.33	4.86	2
Houston	24-5	3-5	7-5	15-5	17-5	8.50	5.00	7.00	2
Illinois	22-7	6-6	8-6	14-7	17-7	11.25	5.67	8.86	2
Michigan State	24-5	3-4	8-5	15-5	20-5	8.00	10.67	9.14	2
Purdue	22-7	5-6	8-7	12-7	19-7	12.25	8.00	10.43	3
Iowa State	24-5	4-3	6-5	14-5	17-5	12.75	8.00	10.71	3
Nebraska	25-4	3-4	8-4	12-4	19-4	10.50	12.67	11.43	3
Texas Tech	22-7	4-5	7-7	11-7	19-7	11.00	13.33	12.00	3
Alabama	22-7	4-5	8-6	15-7	20-7	9.75	15.33	12.14	4
Gonzaga	28-3	2-2	6-2	11-2	19-3	13.00	11.33	12.29	4
Kansas	21-8	6-5	7-7	15-8	17-8	11.50	16.00	13.43	4
Virginia	25-4	4-1	7-3	13-4	18-4	12.75	19.33	15.57	4
Vanderbilt	22-7	2-4	7-6	14-7	16-7	18.25	15.33	17.00	5
Arkansas	21-8	1-7	6-8	12-8	15-8	18.75	21.00	19.71	5
North Carolina	23-6	4-4	6-6	9-6	18-6	18.75	27.33	22.43	5
St. John's	23-6	2-2	3-5	12-6	20-6	19.50	19.67	19.57	5
Tennessee	20-9	4-5	5-8	11-9	13-9	21.75	15.00	18.86	6
St. Mary's	26-4	1-3	1-3	9-4	19-4	22.75	23.00	22.86	8
BYU	20-9	1-6	6-7	11-9	15-9	24.25	26.33	25.14	6
Louisville	20-9	0-8	7-9	10-9	12-9	25.75	16.33	21.71	6
Kentucky	19-10	3-7	6-8	10-10	13-10	26.75	25.67	26.29	6
Villanova	22-7	0-5	3-6	10-6	18-7	27.25	36.67	31.29	7
Utah State	23-5	0-0	3-4	10-4	19-5	28.00	27.00	27.57	7
St. Louis	25-3	0-0	2-1	7-2	15-3	28.25	26.33	27.43	8
Wisconsin	20-9	3-4	6-7	12-9	14-9	28.75	26.67	27.86	7
Miami FL	23-6	1-4	3-4	10-5	12-6	29.75	37.33	33.00	7
Clemson	21-8	0-3	6-5	11-7	14-8	32.50	29.67	31.29	8
NC State	19-10	2-5	4-7	11-9	15-9	34.25	30.33	32.57	9
Iowa	20-9	1-6	3-7	10-8	12-9	35.50	28.00	32.29	8
Georgia	20-9	1-4	5-7	10-8	11-9	33.75	36.00	34.71	9
Ohio State	18-11	1-9	2-10	8-11	12-11	39.25	34.00	37.00	11p
Texas	17-11	1-8	6-8	8-10	10-11	41.25	33.33	37.86	9
UCF	20-8	3-3	4-5	10-8	13-8	32.25	48.67	39.29	9
SMU	19-10	0-5	4-8	7-10	12-10	39.50	41.00	40.14	10
Santa Clara	23-7	0-4	1-5	8-6	15-6	41.50	39.00	40.43	11p
UCLA	19-10	2-7	3-8	9-10	12-10	42.25	39.00	40.86	10
Auburn	15-14	2-7	5-11	7-13	9-14	43.75	37.67	41.14
Missouri	20-9	2-4	5-5	10-9	12-9	39.25	44.33	41.43	10
Texas A&M	19-10	3-5	4-6	8-10	11-10	47.00	34.67	41.71	10
VCU	22-7	0-3	1-5	5-7	13-7	44.00	47.67	45.57
Indiana	17-12	2-8	2-11	4-12	10-12	51.50	38.67	46.00
New Mexico	21-7	0-1	2-5	8-6	12-7	44.25	48.67	46.14	11p
San Diego State	18-9	0-3	2-5	7-8	12-9	48.75	45.00	47.14	11p
TCU	19-10	2-5	4-6	9-8	12-9	44.25	51.33	47.29	11
Cincinnati	16-13	2-5	2-10	6-12	9-12	59.50	40.00	51.14
Virginia Tech	18-11	2-7	2-9	8-10	11-12	48.50	59.00	53.00
Seton Hall	19-10	0-4	2-4	7-8	13-10	56.50	56.67	56.57
Baylor	14-14	0-7	3-11	7-14	9-14	63.50	48.67	57.14
Miami OH	26-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	10-0	38.25	83.67	57.71	11
USC	17-11	1-8	2-8	9-10	13-11	55.00	61.67	57.86
West Virginia	17-12	1-4	5-7	6-11	9-12	61.25	56.00	59.00
Tulsa	21-6	0-0	0-1	4-4	12-6	58.50	61.00	59.57
California	19-9	1-2	4-4	6-8	11-9	53.75	71.67	61.43
Stanford	18-11	1-3	4-5	7-8	11-11	60.00	68.33	63.57
Belmont	25-5	0-0	0-0	5-2	16-5	49.75	71.33	59.00	12
South Florida	20-8	0-1	2-2	6-5	13-8	51.25	54.00	52.43	12
Yale	20-5	0-1	0-1	2-1	12-4	61.75	92.00	74.71	12
Liberty	21-5	0-1	1-1	3-1	10-5	68.50	107.00	85.00	12
Stephen F Austin	24-4	0-0	0-1	1-1	7-3	77.25	91.67	83.43	13
NC Wilmington	23-5	0-0	0-0	0-1	7-4	79.50	111.00	93.00	13
High Point	24-4	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-4	80.25	81.67	80.86	13
Utah Valley	19-7	0-0	0-2	0-3	8-6	83.50	93.00	87.57	13
Hawaii	19-7	0-0	0-0	0-4	6-6	101.75	114.67	107.29	14
North Dakota State	21-7	0-0	0-0	0-1	6-5	114.25	124.67	118.71	14
Navy	23-6	0-1	0-1	0-4	1-4	119.25	136.33	126.57	14
Troy	18-11	0-0	1-1	3-1	6-8	129.00	148.67	137.43	14
Austin Peay	19-8	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-6	131.25	158.33	142.86	15
East Tenn State	19-10	0-1	0-2	0-2	3-5	140.25	146.33	142.86	15
Merrimack	21-10	0-2	0-2	0-3	3-8	140.50	170.67	153.43	15
Wright State	18-11	0-0	0-1	0-3	4-9	150.25	143.67	147.43	15
Portland State	15-10	0-0	0-1	0-4	7-7	157.75	172.33	164.00	16
Long Island	21-10	0-2	0-2	0-4	1-7	169.75	218.33	190.57	16
UMBC	18-8	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-5	175.25	213.67	191.71	16
Bethune Cookman	16-13	0-4	0-7	0-8	1-8	194.00	227.67	208.43	16
Howard	15-10	0-1	0-2	1-4	2-4	202.25	198.67	200.71	16
Morehead State	16-12	0-2	0-3	0-5	1-7	207.25	283.33	239.86	16