BIG TEN
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Ohio State
|
3-0, 7-0
|
7-1, 12-1
|
7-1, 12-1
|
Rose Bowl
|
Wisconsin
|
3-1, 5-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 10-2
|
Outback Bowl
|
Penn State
|
1-1, 4-2
|
4-4, 8-4
|
4-4, 7-5
| |
Indiana
|
1-2, 3-4
|
3-5, 6-6
|
4-4, 6-6
| Little Caesars Bowl |
Purdue
|
0-3, 1-6
|
1-7, 2-10
|
0-8, 1-11
| |
Illinois
|
0-2, 3-3
|
0-8, 2-10
|
1-7, 4-8
| |
Nebraska
|
2-0, 5-1
|
7-1, 11-2
|
7-1, 10-3
|
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
|
Michigan
|
2-1, 6-1
|
6-2, 10-2
|
6-2, 10-2
|
Capital One Bowl
|
Northwestern
|
0-3, 4-3
|
6-2, 10-2
|
2-6, 6-6
|
Heart of Dallas Bowl
|
Michigan State
|
3-0, 6-1
|
5-3, 8-4
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Gator Bowl
|
Iowa
|
1-2, 4-3
|
2-6, 4-8
|
3-5, 6-6
| Meineke Car Care Bowl |
Minnesota
|
1-2, 5-2
|
1-7, 4-8
|
1-7, 5-7
|
- A promising season for Northwestern has been derailed by a combination of factors. Injuries are never an excuse, but they are not helping the Wildcats. They were probably over-hyped to begin with and are now fighting for their bowl life. A loss this week at Iowa will make things very difficult with Nebraska, Michigan and Michigan State still on the schedule.
- It looks like the Indiana-Minnesota game on November 2nd might be for the final Big 10 bowl slot. The Hoosiers just need to take care of business at home, which is easier said than done for this program.
- Michigan State was looking unstoppable on offense and then they played Purdue. What? Was that a bump in the road or the reason they will not win the Legends?
- Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State are bowl-eligible. The winner of the Nebraska/Minnesota game will become bowl-eligible this week.
PAC 12
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Oregon
|
4-0, 7-0
|
9-0, 13-0
|
9-0, 13-0
|
BCS National Championship
|
Stanford
|
4-1, 6-1
|
7-2, 10-2
|
7-2, 10-2
|
Rose Bowl
|
Washington
|
1-3, 4-3
|
5-4, 8-4
|
5-4, 8-4
|
Sun Bowl
|
Oregon State
|
4-0, 6-1
|
5-4, 8-4
|
5-4, 7-5
|
New Mexico Bowl
|
California
|
0-4, 1-6
|
2-7, 3-9
|
1-8, 2-10
| |
Washington State
|
2-3, 4-4
|
1-8, 3-9
|
2-7, 4-8
| |
Arizona State
|
3-1, 5-2
|
7-2, 9-4
|
7-2, 9-3
|
Holiday Bowl
|
UCLA
|
2-1, 5-1
|
6-3, 8-4
|
7-2, 10-3
|
Alamo Bowl
|
USC
|
1-2, 4-3
|
6-3, 9-4
|
4-5, 7-6
| |
Arizona
|
1-2, 4-2
|
4-5, 7-5
|
4-5, 7-5
|
Las Vegas Bowl
|
Utah
|
1-3, 4-3
|
2-7, 3-9
|
3-6, 6-6
|
Military Bowl
|
Colorado
|
0-3, 3-3
|
0-9, 1-11
|
0-9, 3-9
|
- Stanford, USC, Arizona State, Washington and Oregon. In case you are wondering, that is the remaining schedule for the Beavers of Oregon State. They are the opposite of Washington, who played the toughest part of the schedule first. The game between Washington and Oregon State will likely decide a better bowl destination.
- I thought Colorado would win a PAC-12 game, but now I don't believe that, although they do host Cal.
- Somehow, some way, I think Utah scrapes out bowl-eligibility. It is just what that program does.
- Oregon, Stanford and Oregon State are bowl-eligible. UCLA can become bowl-eligible this week.
SEC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
South Carolina
|
3-2, 5-2
|
7-1, 11-2
|
5-3, 8-4
|
Gator Bowl
|
Georgia
|
3-2, 4-3
|
6-2, 9-3
|
5-3, 8-4
|
Chick Fil-A Bowl
|
Florida
|
3-2, 4-3
|
5-3, 8-4
|
4-4, 6-6
|
Liberty Bowl
|
Vanderbilt
|
1-3, 4-3
|
4-4, 8-4
|
3-5, 7-5
|
Advocare V100 Bowl
|
Missouri
|
3-0, 7-0
|
2-6, 6-6
|
7-1, 11-2
|
Outback Bowl
|
Tennessee
|
1-2, 4-3
|
2-6, 5-7
|
3-5, 6-6
|
BBVA Compass Bowl
|
Kentucky
|
0-3, 1-5
|
0-8, 2-10
|
0-8, 2-10
| |
Texas A&M
|
2-2, 5-2
|
8-0, 13-0
|
5-3, 9-3
|
Capital One Bowl
|
Alabama
|
4-0, 7-0
|
7-1, 11-1
|
7-1, 12-1
|
Sugar Bowl
|
Ole Miss
|
2-3, 4-3
|
5-3, 8-4
|
4-4, 8-4
|
Music City Bowl
|
LSU
|
3-2, 6-2
|
4-4, 8-4
|
6-2, 10-2
|
Orange Bowl
|
Auburn
|
3-1, 6-1
|
3-5, 7-5
|
5-3, 9-3
|
Cotton Bowl
|
Mississippi State
|
0-2, 3-3
|
2-6, 5-7
|
1-7, 4-8
| |
Arkansas
|
0-4, 3-5
|
1-7, 5-7
|
1-7, 4-8
|
- You would have won a lot of money if you had a parlay with South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, LSU and Texas A&M all losing on the same Saturday. The effect on these teams is disappointing seasons that will in all likelihood end up outside of a BCS bowl. Right now I have LSU sneaking into the Orange, but that is with the floundering chance they defeat Alabama.
- Alabama is hoping Missouri and Auburn continue their surprising seasons so that those potential victories, along with one over LSU will cement the Tide in the BCS Title Game. I am sure it will happen, I just won't put it in print.
- Injuries have been a factor in the SEC this year, but Georgia's defense is young, Florida has no quarterback, A&M has no defense and Ole Miss is relying on freshman. Some of this was to be expected, but these teams got the benefit of the doubt.
- Missouri, Alabama, Auburn and LSU are bowl-eligible. South Carolina and Texas A&M can become bowl-eligible this week.
Big 12
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Oklahoma State
|
2-1, 5-1
|
8-1, 11-1
|
6-3, 9-3
|
Cotton Bowl
|
Oklahoma
|
3-1, 6-1
|
7-2, 10-2
|
6-3, 9-3
|
Alamo Bowl
|
Texas
|
3-0, 4-2
|
7-2, 10-2
|
7-2, 8-4
|
Holiday Bowl
|
Baylor
|
3-0, 6-0
|
6-3, 9-3
|
8-1, 11-1
|
Fiesta Bowl
|
Kansas State
|
0-3, 2-4
|
6-3, 9-3
|
4-5, 6-6
|
Pinstripe Bowl
|
TCU
|
1-3, 3-4
|
5-4, 7-5
|
4-5, 6-6
|
Meineke Car Care Bowl
|
Texas Tech
|
4-0, 7-0
|
3-6, 6-6
|
6-3, 9-3
|
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
|
West Virginia
|
1-3, 3-4
|
2-7, 5-7
|
2-7, 4-8
| |
Iowa State
|
0-3, 1-5
|
1-8, 3-9
|
1-8, 2-10
| |
Kansas
|
0-3, 2-4
|
0-9, 1-11
|
1-8, 3-9
|
- If Texas finishes as projected, Mack Brown should get an apology. Things are not perfect for the Longhorns, but a win over Oklahoma can save a season.
- I am confused by the Sooners, but we will find out about them and Texas Tech this weekend. If the Red Raiders pull the upset, it looks like Baylor and Texas Tech to the finish in the Big 12. Just like everybody thought.
- Oklahoma State can still have a say, but they better figure out their road problems with games at Texas Tech and at Texas looming. The good news is that they can take care of all the teams in front of them yet.
- Kansas State desperately needs a win over West Virginia this week. Bill Snyder's magic may have left with Colin Klein.
- Baylor, Oklahoma and Texas Tech are bowl-eligible. Oklahoma State can become bowl-eligible this week.
ACC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Florida State
|
4-0, 6-0
|
8-0, 13-0
|
8-0, 13-0
|
BCS National Championship
|
Clemson
|
4-1, 6-1
|
7-1, 10-2
|
7-1, 11-1
|
Sugar Bowl
|
Maryland
|
1-2, 5-2
|
4-4, 7-5
|
3-5, 7-5
|
Music City Bowl
|
NC State
|
0-3, 3-3
|
3-5, 6-6
|
2-6, 5-7
| |
Boston College
|
1-2, 3-3
|
2-6, 5-7
|
2-6, 5-7
| |
Syracuse
|
1-2, 3-4
|
2-6, 4-8
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
Wake Forest
|
2-2, 4-3
|
1-7, 3-9
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
Virginia Tech
|
3-0, 6-1
|
7-1, 10-3
|
7-1, 10-2
|
Russell Athletic Bowl
|
Miami FL
|
2-0, 6-0
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 11-2
|
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
|
Georgia Tech
|
3-2, 4-3
|
5-3, 8-4
|
5-3, 7-5
|
Belk Bowl
|
North Carolina
|
0-3, 1-5
|
6-2, 9-3
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
Pittsburgh
|
2-2, 4-2
|
3-5, 6-6
|
4-4, 7-5
| Sun Bowl |
Duke
|
1-2, 5-2
|
1-7, 4-8
|
2-6, 6-6
| Advocare V100 Bowl |
Virginia
|
0-3, 2-5
|
1-7, 3-9
|
0-8, 2-10
|
- Well, at least I have been correct about Florida State. The Seminoles look awesome, but they must still navigate Miami, FL, Florida and then potentially Miami, FL again. And doesn't it always seem they lose a low scoring game they were expected to cruise in?
- Clemson will still have a very successful season, just not the one they ultimately hoped for after beating Georgia.
- Injuries have likely put a damper on what looked like a really good season for Maryland. When your two starting receivers both break their leg in the same game, you start wondering what the Terps ever did to the football gods.
- I have 5 ACC teams at 5-7, so the odds are pretty good that another team gets bowl-eligible.
- Florida State, Miami, FL, Clemson and Virginia Tech are bowl-eligible. Maryland and Duke can become bowl-eligible this week.
AAC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Louisville
|
2-1, 6-1
|
7-1, 11-1
|
7-1, 11-1
|
Russell Athletic Bowl
|
Cincinnati
|
2-1, 5-2
|
6-2, 10-2
|
5-3, 8-4
|
Pinstripe Bowl
|
UCF
|
2-0, 5-1
|
6-2, 8-4
|
8-0, 11-1
|
Orange Bowl
|
Rutgers
|
1-1, 4-2
|
5-3, 7-5
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Belk Bowl
|
Houston
|
2-0, 5-1
|
4-4, 6-6
|
4-4, 7-5
|
BBVA Compass Bowl
|
South Florida
|
2-0, 2-4
|
3-5, 5-7
|
3-5, 3-9
| |
Connecticut
|
0-2, 0-6
|
3-5, 4-8
|
0-8, 0-12
| |
SMU
|
1-1, 2-4
|
3-5, 4-8
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
Memphis
|
0-3, 1-5
|
2-6, 4-8
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Temple
|
0-3, 1-6
|
1-7, 4-8
|
1-7, 2-10
|
- I pointed toward the UCF game for Louisville and the Golden Knights did not disappoint. Do you think playing in close games against Penn State and South Carolina helped more than derailing Florida International? We will never know, but UCF is now in the drivers seat for a BCS bowl.
- Louisville is bowl-eligible. UCF and Houston can become bowl-eligible this week.
Mountain West
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Boise State
|
3-1, 5-2
|
6-2, 9-4
|
6-2, 8-5
|
Poinsettia Bowl
|
Utah State
|
3-1, 4-4
|
6-2, 9-3
|
5-3, 6-6
|
New Mexico Bowl
|
Wyoming
|
2-1, 4-3
|
4-4, 7-5
|
4-4, 6-6
|
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
|
Air Force
|
0-5, 1-6
|
4-4, 6-6
|
2-6, 4-8
| |
Colorado State
|
1-1, 3-4
|
2-6, 5-8
|
5-3, 7-6
| Armed Forces Bowl |
New Mexico
|
0-3, 2-5
|
1-7, 3-9
|
1-7, 3-9
| |
Fresno State
|
3-0, 6-0
|
7-1, 12-1
|
8-0, 12-0*
|
Fiesta Bowl
|
San Jose State
|
2-1, 3-3
|
6-2, 9-3
|
5-3, 7-5
|
Las Vegas Bowl
|
San Diego State
|
2-0, 3-3
|
5-3, 7-5
|
5-3, 6-6
| Hawaii Bowl |
Nevada
|
2-2, 3-4
|
4-4, 5-7
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
UNLV
|
2-1, 4-3
|
2-6, 4-8
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
Hawaii
|
0-4, 0-6
|
1-7, 1-11
|
0-8, 0-12
|
- Fresno State still looks like the best BCS buster from the non AQ conferences. Injuries and disappointments have taken away many of the top contenders. Plus the Bulldogs are starting to get it rolling.
- It is hard to trust many of these teams, but it looks like they will at least fill their bowl allotment.
- Fresno State is bowl-eligible. Boise State can become bowl-eligible this week.
C-USA
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
East Carolina
|
3-1, 5-2
|
7-1, 10-3
|
7-1, 11-2
|
Liberty Bowl
|
Marshall
|
2-0, 4-2
|
6-2, 8-4
|
7-1, 9-3
|
Heart of Dallas Bowl
|
Middle Tennessee
|
1-2, 3-4
|
5-3, 7-5
|
4-4, 6-6
|
Military Bowl
|
UAB
|
1-1, 2-4
|
4-4, 6-6
|
4-4, 5-7
| |
Southern Miss
|
0-2, 0-6
|
3-5, 4-8
|
1-7, 1-11
| |
FAU
|
1-4, 2-5
|
2-6, 3-9
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
FIU
|
1-1, 1-5
|
0-8, 0-12
|
1-7, 1-11
| |
Tulsa
|
1-1, 2-4
|
7-1, 9-4
|
5-3, 6-6
|
Hawaii Bowl
|
Rice
|
3-0, 5-2
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 9-4
|
New Orleans Bowl
|
Louisiana Tech
|
1-2, 2-5
|
5-3, 7-5
|
3-5, 5-7
| |
North Texas
|
2-1, 4-3
|
4-4, 5-7
|
4-4, 6-6
| |
Tulane
|
3-0, 5-2
|
3-5, 5-7
|
6-2, 8-4
| Beef O'Brady's Bowl |
UTEP
|
0-3, 1-5
|
2-6, 4-8
|
1-7, 2-10
| |
UTSA
|
1-2, 2-5
|
2-6, 3-9
|
3-5, 4-8
|
- I still like East Carolina, despite the loss at Tulane. The season finale against Marshall should be for the C-USA East. Tulane and Rice also meet in the finale, likely deciding the C-USA West. How is that for a 4-team playoff?
- Rice and Tulane can become bowl-eligible this week.
MAC
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Ohio
|
2-1, 5-2
|
7-1, 10-3
|
6-2, 9-3
|
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
|
Bowling Green
|
3-0, 5-2
|
6-2, 8-4
|
7-1, 9-4
|
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
|
Buffalo
|
3-0, 5-2
|
4-4, 6-6
|
6-2, 8-4
| |
Kent State
|
1-3, 2-6
|
3-5, 5-7
|
3-5, 4-8
| |
Miami OH
|
0-3, 0-7
|
3-5, 3-9
|
0-8, 0-12
| |
Akron
|
1-3, 2-6
|
2-6, 3-9
|
2-6, 3-9
| |
Massachusetts
|
1-2, 1-6
|
1-7, 2-10
|
1-7, 1-11
| |
Northern Illinois
|
3-0, 7-0
|
7-1, 12-1
|
8-0, 13-0
|
GoDaddy.com Bowl
|
Ball State
|
4-0, 7-1
|
6-2, 9-3
|
7-1, 10-2
|
Little Caesars Bowl
|
Toledo
|
2-1, 4-3
|
6-2, 8-4
|
5-3, 7-5
| |
Western Michigan
|
0-4, 0-8
|
4-4, 5-7
|
1-7, 1-11
| |
Central Michigan
|
2-2, 3-5
|
3-5, 4-8
|
5-3, 6-6
| |
Eastern Michigan
|
0-3, 1-6
|
0-8, 1-11
|
1-7, 2-10
|
- Time to move Northern Illinois to the unbeaten season. Now the question is whether they can beat out Fresno State for a potential BCS spot. Ball State might also have a say on November 13th.
- Buffalo is having a really good season, keeping in mind their two losses are against Ohio State and Baylor. They are 71st in line for a bowl bid though, which leaves them home for the holidays. Chances are one of the 6-6 teams gets upset, that is why they are 6-6 teams, but for now the Bulls are on the outside looking in.
- Northern Illinois and Ball State are bowl-eligible. Ohio, Bowling Green and Buffalo can become bowl-eligible this week.
Sun Belt
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Louisiana-Monroe
|
1-1, 3-4
|
6-1, 9-3
|
2-5, 4-8
| |
Louisiana-Lafayette
|
2-0, 4-2
|
5-2, 8-4
|
7-0, 10-2
|
New Orleans Bowl
|
Arkansas State
|
1-0, 3-3
|
5-2, 7-5
|
5-2, 7-5
| |
Western Kentucky
|
1-2, 4-3
|
5-2, 8-4
|
4-3, 8-4
| GoDaddy.com Bowl |
Troy
|
2-1, 4-3
|
4-3, 5-7
|
4-3, 6-6
| |
South Alabama
|
1-1, 3-3
|
2-5, 3-9
|
3-4, 5-7
| |
Texas State
|
1-2, 4-3
|
1-6, 3-9
|
3-4, 7-5
| |
Georgia State
|
0-0, 0-5
|
0-7, 1-11
|
0-7, 0-12
|
- Louisiana-Lafayette is starting to separate themselves as the favorite as the defense has stepped forward to support a solid offense. It looks like they will have back-to-back road wins over two of the top contenders before the night is out.
- I am projecting five bowl-eligible teams, but not enough slots for everyone to fill.
Independents
|
CURRENT RECORD
|
PREDICTED RECORD
|
PROJECTED RECORD
|
BOWL
PROJECTION
|
Notre Dame
|
5-2
|
9-3
|
9-3
|
Poinsettia Bowl
|
Navy
|
3-3
|
7-5
|
6-6
|
Armed Forces Bowl
|
BYU
|
5-2
|
6-6
|
8-4
|
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
|
Army
|
3-5
|
3-9
|
4-8
| |
Idaho
|
1-6
|
1-11
|
2-10
| |
New Mexico State
|
0-7
|
2-10
|
1-11
|
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