I have updated the resume comparison chart through Thursday night's games. A couple seed tweaks but not a lot of major movement. I will try and get a bracket out today as well.
Let's talk bid thieves for a moment, as one change was that I moved Indiana back in the field over New Mexico as the last team in. That makes the Mountain West a 1-bid league at the moment. Looking at the Mountain West, I believe any of 8 teams could win the conference tournament. I would rate the probability of a bid thief here as very high.
Another pretty high bid thief probability is that Miami OH does not win the MAC conference tournament. If the Redhawks complete an undefeated regular season tonight against Ohio, I believe they have at least booked a ticket to Dayton. Given the number of close games they have played recently, finally tripping up in the MAC tournament is definitely a possibility.
Next up is the Atlantic 10, where St. Louis has likely done enough to earn an at-large bid if they lose in the A-10 Tourney. VCU is always a tough out in that tournament, and Daytona and St. Joseph's are both coming in hot.
Those 3 are clearly the most likely bid thieves and I would not be shocked if we at least got 2 of those. Absent a complete shocker in the top 4 conferences a la DJ Burns and NC State, the only other real bid thieves could be Seton Hall in the Big East (or an even lower seeded Big East team) or a West Coast Conference surprise like Oregon State or Seattle. I would put all these as highly unlikely.
Enjoy the Basketball this weekend!
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