After watching the initial top 4 seed reveal and listening to the committee chair, it was apparent to me that they are weighing both the results-based and predictive metrics more than ever. The chair repeatedly spit out the stats from those metrics.
I put the chart below together and will continue to update between now and selection Sunday. This was through games of Sunday February 22.
At the right of the chart I have put my projected seed based on this data and how this data was applied in 2025.
| Record | Q1A | Q1 | Q1+Q2 | Q1+Q2+Q3 | Results-Based Metrics (Avg) | Predictive Metrics (Avg) | All 7 Metrics (Avg) | Projected Seed | |
| Michigan | 25-2 | 5-1 | 10-1 | 19-2 | 23-2 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.14 | 1 |
| Duke | 25-2 | 7-2 | 12-2 | 16-2 | 17-2 | 2.25 | 2.00 | 2.14 | 1 |
| Arizona | 25-2 | 5-2 | 11-2 | 16-2 | 19-2 | 2.75 | 2.67 | 2.71 | 1 |
| Houston | 23-4 | 3-4 | 7-4 | 15-4 | 17-4 | 6.50 | 4.67 | 5.71 | 2 |
| Purdue | 22-5 | 5-4 | 8-5 | 12-5 | 19-5 | 5.50 | 7.67 | 6.43 | 2 |
| Illinois | 22-6 | 6-4 | 7-5 | 13-6 | 17-6 | 8.25 | 5.33 | 7.00 | 2 |
| Florida | 21-6 | 2-3 | 8-5 | 15-6 | 16-6 | 9.50 | 5.00 | 7.57 | 3 |
| Connecticut | 25-3 | 5-2 | 7-2 | 14-2 | 20-3 | 5.50 | 10.33 | 7.57 | 1 |
| Iowa State | 23-4 | 3-2 | 6-4 | 15-4 | 16-4 | 8.50 | 7.67 | 8.14 | 2 |
| Gonzaga | 27-2 | 2-1 | 6-1 | 11-1 | 20-2 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 11.29 | 3 |
| Nebraska | 23-4 | 4-4 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 17-4 | 11.25 | 13.67 | 12.29 | 3 |
| Michigan State | 22-5 | 1-4 | 6-5 | 12-5 | 17-5 | 13.25 | 13.33 | 13.29 | 4 |
| Texas Tech | 20-7 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 10-7 | 17-7 | 14.75 | 15.33 | 15.00 | 4 |
| Kansas | 20-7 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 14-7 | 16-7 | 13.00 | 17.67 | 15.00 | 3 |
| Tennessee | 20-7 | 5-5 | 5-6 | 11-7 | 13-7 | 17.50 | 13.00 | 15.57 | 5 |
| Vanderbilt | 21-6 | 2-3 | 7-5 | 13-6 | 15-6 | 17.50 | 13.00 | 15.57 | 5 |
| Alabama | 20-7 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 14-7 | 18-7 | 13.25 | 18.67 | 15.57 | 4 |
| Virginia | 24-3 | 4-0 | 6-2 | 12-3 | 18-3 | 14.00 | 19.67 | 16.43 | 4 |
| Louisville | 20-7 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 10-7 | 12-7 | 21.75 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 6 |
| Arkansas | 20-7 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 11-7 | 14-7 | 19.25 | 19.67 | 19.43 | 5 |
| St. John's | 22-5 | 2-1 | 3-4 | 11-4 | 19-5 | 20.00 | 18.67 | 19.43 | 5 |
| BYU | 20-7 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 12-7 | 15-7 | 20.25 | 21.00 | 20.57 | 6 |
| St. Louis | 24-2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 6-2 | 14-2 | 25.75 | 23.33 | 24.71 | 7 |
| North Carolina | 21-6 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 16-6 | 22.00 | 30.00 | 25.43 | 6 |
| Utah State | 22-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10-3 | 18-4 | 26.50 | 24.67 | 25.71 | 7 |
| NC State | 19-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 11-7 | 15-7 | 29.50 | 24.33 | 27.29 | 7 |
| Wisconsin | 19-8 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 10-8 | 13-8 | 28.25 | 28.33 | 28.29 | 6 |
| Villanova | 21-6 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 9-5 | 17-6 | 26.50 | 31.00 | 28.43 | 7 |
| Kentucky | 17-10 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 8-10 | 11-10 | 29.50 | 30.67 | 30.00 | 8 |
| St. Mary's | 24-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 7-4 | 17-4 | 29.50 | 30.67 | 30.00 | 10 |
| Iowa | 19-8 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 8-7 | 13-8 | 33.50 | 29.33 | 31.71 | 8 |
| SMU | 19-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 12-8 | 32.75 | 35.00 | 33.71 | 8 |
| Auburn | 15-12 | 2-7 | 5-10 | 7-12 | 9-12 | 36.00 | 32.33 | 34.43 | 11 |
| Clemson | 20-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 10-8 | 13-8 | 37.00 | 35.00 | 36.14 | 9 |
| Georgia | 19-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10-7 | 10-8 | 34.00 | 39.67 | 36.43 | 9 |
| Miami FL | 21-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9-6 | 11-6 | 33.25 | 41.33 | 36.71 | 8 |
| Texas A&M | 19-8 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 8-8 | 11-8 | 41.75 | 33.00 | 38.00 | 9 |
| Indiana | 17-10 | 1-7 | 2-10 | 4-10 | 10-10 | 43.00 | 34.00 | 39.14 | 10 |
| Santa Clara | 22-6 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 8-5 | 17-5 | 42.00 | 37.33 | 40.00 | 11 |
| UCF | 19-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9-7 | 12-7 | 32.50 | 51.67 | 40.71 | 9 |
| UCLA | 18-9 | 2-7 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 11-9 | 42.50 | 39.67 | 41.29 | 10 |
| Texas | 16-10 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 7-9 | 9-10 | 45.00 | 36.33 | 41.29 | 10 |
| Ohio State | 17-10 | 0-7 | 0-9 | 7-10 | 11-10 | 46.00 | 36.67 | 42.00 | |
| VCU | 21-7 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 13-7 | 45.00 | 45.67 | 45.29 | |
| New Mexico | 20-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9-5 | 11-6 | 45.00 | 46.33 | 45.57 | 11 |
| Missouri | 18-9 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8-9 | 10-9 | 47.50 | 47.67 | 47.57 | 11 |
| San Diego State | 17-8 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 11-8 | 50.25 | 47.67 | 49.14 | |
| TCU | 17-10 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 10-9 | 50.50 | 53.33 | 51.71 | |
| USC | 17-9 | 1-6 | 2-6 | 9-7 | 14-9 | 50.00 | 54.67 | 52.00 | 11 |
| Cincinnati | 15-12 | 2-4 | 2-9 | 6-11 | 8-11 | 59.75 | 42.00 | 52.14 | |
| Virginia Tech | 18-10 | 2-6 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 11-10 | 48.25 | 58.00 | 52.43 | |
| Seton Hall | 19-9 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 13-9 | 54.00 | 56.67 | 55.14 | |
| Miami OH | 24-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 10-0 | 37.00 | 81.33 | 56.00 | 11 |
| California | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5-8 | 10-8 | 51.50 | 65.33 | 57.43 | |
| West Virginia | 16-11 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 6-10 | 8-11 | 63.25 | 56.00 | 60.14 | |
| South Florida | 12 | ||||||||
| Belmont | 12 | ||||||||
| Liberty | 12 | ||||||||
| Yale | 12 | ||||||||
| Stephen F Austin | 13 | ||||||||
| High Point | 13 | ||||||||
| UNC Wilmington | 13 | ||||||||
| Hawaii | 13 | ||||||||
| Cal Baptist | 14 | ||||||||
| North Dakota State | 14 | ||||||||
| Troy | 14 | ||||||||
| Portland State | 14 | ||||||||
| Austin peay | 15 | ||||||||
| East Tenn State | 15 | ||||||||
| Navy | 15 | ||||||||
| Wright State | 15 | ||||||||
| Merrimack | 16 | ||||||||
| Tennessee-Martin | 16 | ||||||||
| Long Island | 16 | ||||||||
| Bethune Cookman | 16 | ||||||||
| Howard | 16 | ||||||||
| UMBC | 16 |
