Tuesday, November 13, 2012

College Football 2012 - Bowl Breakdown - Week 11

PAC-12
Arizona State (5-5) - Washington State (W), at Arizona (L), projected record 6-6 (A bit surprising it has taken this long)

Utah (4-6) - Arizona (W), at Colorado (W), projected record 6-6 (Arizona on the road looks like a different team)

PAC-12 Reset:
1.  Oregon Ducks, 10-0 (BCS National Title Game)
2.  Stanford Cardinal, 8-2 (Las Vegas Bowl)
3.  Oregon State Beavers, 7-2 (Sun Bowl)
4.  UCLA Bruins, 8-2 (Holiday Bowl)
5.  USC Trojans, 7-3 (Alamo Bowl)
6.  Washington Huskies, 6-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
7.  Arizona Wildcats, 6-4 (New Mexico Bowl)
8.  Arizona State Sun Devils, 5-5 (Hawaii Bowl**)
9.  Utah Utes, 4-6 (Heart of Dallas Bowl**)
10. California Golden Bears, 3-8
11. Washington State Cougars, 2-8
12. Colorado Buffaloes, 1-9

Big 10
Indiana (4-6) - at Penn State (L), at Purdue (L), projected record 4-8 (the Hoosiers looked like a team that hasn't played many big games against Wisconsin)

Iowa (4-6) - at Michigan (L), Nebraska (L), projected record 4-8 (Not a good year in Iowa City)

Purdue (4-6) - at Illinois (W), Indiana (W) - projected record 6-6 (out of these three, Purdue has the best shot, especially with Indiana coming to West Lafayette)

Big 10 Reset:
1.  Ohio State Buckeyes, 10-0
2.  Nebraska Cornhuskers, 8-2 (Rose Bowl)
3.  Michigan Wolverines, 7-3 (Capital One Bowl)
4.  Wisconsin Badgers, 7-3 (Outback Bowl)
5.  Penn State Nittany Lions, 6-4
6.  Northwestern Wildcats, 7-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings)
7.  Michigan State Spartans, 5-5 (Gator Bowl)
8.  Minnesota Golden Gophers, 6-4 (Texas Bowl)
9.  Purdue Boilermakers, 4-6 (Heart of Dallas Bowl)
10. Indiana Hoosiers, 4-6
11. Iowa Hawkeyes, 4-6
12. Illinois Fighting Illini, 2-8
(currently not filling Little Caesars bowl slot)

SEC
Tennessee (4-6) - at Vanderbilt (L), Kentucky (W), projected record 5-7 (Vandy just seems better than Tennessee right now)

Ole Miss (5-5) - at LSU (L), Mississippi State (L), projected record 5-7 (will likely have to beat rival Mississippi State, which is possible, but not sure how probable)

Missouri (5-5) - Syracuse (W), at Texas A&M (L), projected record 6-6 (step one is complete, now they need to beat a Syracuse team that is not as good on the road but is playing good football)

Arkansas (4-6) - at Mississippi State (L), LSU (L), projected record 4-8 (will likely be a fitting end to a disappointing season for the Razorbacks)

SEC Reset:
1.  Alabama Crimson Tide, 9-1 (Sugar Bowl)
2.  Georgia Bulldogs, 9-1 (Capital One Bowl)
3.  Florida Gators, 9-1 (Outback Bowl)
4.  LSU Tigers, 8-2 (Cotton Bowl)
5.  Texas A&M Aggies, 8-2 (Fiesta Bowl)
6.  South Carolina Gamecocks, 8-2 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
7.  Mississippi State Bulldogs, 7-3 (Gator Bowl)
8.  Vanderbilt Commodores, 6-4 (Liberty Bowl)
9.  Missouri Tigers, 5-5 (Music City Bowl)
10. Ole Miss Rebels, 5-5
11. Tennessee Volunteers, 4-6
12. Arkansas Razorbacks, 4-6
13. Auburn Tigers, 2-8
14. Kentucky Wildcats, 1-9
(currently not filling BBVA Compass and Independence Bowl slot)

Big 12
West Virginia (5-4) - Oklahoma (L), at Iowa State (W), Kansas (W), projected record 7-5 (you never know what happens when a team starts heading in this direction)

Iowa State (5-5) - at Kansas (W), West Virginia (L), projected record 6-6 (this is the week and unfortunately for the Cyclones, Kansas is playing better)

Baylor (4-5) - Kansas State (L), Texas Tech (L), Oklahoma State (L) - projected record 4-8 (even in the Big 12 you need to play defense some of the time)

Big 12 Reset:
1.  Kansas State Wildcats, 10-0 (BCS National Championship)
2.  Oklahoma Sooners, 7-2 (Rose Bowl)
3.  Texas Longhorns, 8-2 (Cotton Bowl)
4.  Texas Tech Red Raiders, 7-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl)
5.  Oklahoma State Cowboys, 6-3 (Alamo Bowl)
6.  TCU Horned Frogs, 6-4 (Texas Bowl)
7.  West Virginia Mountaineers, 5-3 (Holiday Bowl)
8.  Iowa State Cyclones, 5-4 (Pinstripe Bowl)
9.  Baylor Bears, 4-4
10. Kansas Jayhawks, 1-8
(currently not filling Heart of Dallas Bowl slot)

ACC
Virginia Tech (4-6) - at Boston College (W), Virginia (W), projected record 6-6 (may need to win a rivalry game to be bowl-eligible)

Maryland (4-6) - Florida State (L), at North Carolina (L), projected record 4-8 (a team on their 5th quarterback doesn't beat these teams)

Georgia Tech (5-5) - Duke (W), at Georgia (L), projected record 6-6 (Things have turned around for Georgia Tech just in time)

Wake Forest (5-5) - at Notre Dame (L), Vanderbilt (L), projected record 5-7 (Vanderbilt at home will be the opportunity)

Virginia (4-6) - North Carolina (L), at Virginia Tech (L), projected record 4-8 (probably an accomplishment to force themselves on to the list for the week)

ACC Reset
1.  Florida State Seminoles, 9-1 (Orange Bowl)
2.  Clemson Tigers, 9-1 (Sugar Bowl)
3.  North Carolina Tar Heels, 6-4
4.  NC State Wolfpack, 6-4 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
5.  Duke Blue Devils, 6-4 (Music City Bowl)
6.  Miami Hurricanes, 5-5 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
7.  Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 5-5 (Belk Bowl)
8.  Virginia Tech Hokies, 4-6 (Sun Bowl)
9.  Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 5-5
10. Virginia Cavaliers, 4-6
11.  Maryland Terrapins, 4-6
12. Boston College Eagles, 2-8
(currently not filling Independence or Military Bowl slot)

Big East
Pittsburgh (4-6) - Rutgers (L), at South Florida (W), projected record 5-7 (Pitt just lost their margin for error, gets a week off to prepare for Rutgers)

Syracuse (5-5) - at Missouri (L), at Temple (W)  projected record 6-6 (need a road split, playing really well)

Big East Reset:
1.  Rutgers Scarlett Knights, 8-1 (Orange Bowl)
2.  Louisville Cardinals, 9-1 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
3.  Cincinnati Bearcats, 7-2 (Belk Bowl)
4.  Syracuse Orange, 5-5 (Pinstripe Bowl)
5.  Pittsburgh Panthers, 4-6
6.  Connecticut Huskies, 4-6
7.  Temple Owls, 3-6
8.  South Florida Bulls, 3-6
(currently not filling BBVA Compass Bowl or Beef O'Brady's Bowl slots)

Other Conferences/Independents
Houston (4-6) - at Marshall (L), Tulane (W). projected record 5-7

Marshall (4-6) - Houston (W), at East Carolina (L), projected record 5-7

SMU (5-5) - at Rice (W), Tulsa (L), projected record 6-6

Miami(OH) (4-6) - at Central Michigan (W), Ball State (W), projected record 6-6

Central Michigan (4-6) - Miami(OH) (L), at UMass (W), projected record 5-7

Air Force (5-5) - Hawaii (W), at Fresno State (L), projected record 6-6

Other Conferences/Independents Reset:
1.  Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 10-0 (Fiesta Bowl)
2.  Northern Illinois Huskies, 9-1 (Little Caesars Bowl)
3.  Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 9-1 (Independence Bowl)
4.  Kent State Golden Flash, 9-1 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
5.  UCF Golden Knights, 8-2 (Liberty Bowl)
6.  Boise State Broncos, 8-2 (Las Vegas Bowl)
7.  Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 8-2 (New Orleans Bowl)
8.  Utah State Aggies, 8-2 (Famous Idaho Potato**)
9.  Ohio Bobcats, 8-2 (Independence Bowl**)
10. Toledo Rockets, 8-2 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)
11. San Diego State Aztecs, 8-3 (Poinsettia Bowl)
12. Fresno State Bulldogs, 8-3 (Hawaii Bowl)
13. Ball State Cardinals, 7-3 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)
14. Bowling Green Falcons, 7-3 (Military Bowl**)
15. BYU Cougars, 6-4 (Poinsettia Bowl)
16. San Jose State Spartans, 8-2 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl**)
17. Arkansas State Redwolves, 7-3 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
18. Nevada Wolfpack, 6-4 (New Mexico Bowl)
19. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, 7-3 (Little Caesars Bowl**)
20. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 6-4 (New Orleans Bowl)
21. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 6-4 (Military Bowl**)
22. Navy Midshipmen, 6-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
23. East Carolina Pirates, 6-4 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl)
24. Air Force Falcons, 5-5 (Armed Forces Bowl)
25. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, 5-4 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)
26. SMU Mustangs, 5-5 (Armed Forces Bowl)

Currently, Miami OH is the only other bowl-eligible projected team.

Friday, November 9, 2012

College Basketball 2012-13 Pre-Season Field of 68

The College Basketball season starts this week as we embark on 4 months of jockeying that ultimately leads to 68 teams dancing in March.  Who will those 68 teams be?  If the past couple years are any indication, then it will be approximately 44 of the 68 teams I have below.  Their is beauty in collegiate sports, as we never know which freshman is going to make the biggest impact, or which upper-classmen is going to make that huge off-season leap from role-player to star.

Once again this season, Jabesblog will attempt to inform and lead you through the happenings of College Basketball.  It starts right now with my pre-season Field of 68.

Midwest
1.    Louisville
16.  Savannah State/USC Upstate

8.    Texas
9.    Butler

5.    Michigan State
12.  New Mexico

4.    North Carolina
13.  South Dakota State

6.    Memphis
11.  BYU

3.    Missouri
14.  Valparaiso

7.    Cincinnati
10.  Stanford

2.    Michigan
15.  Lehigh

East
1.    Indiana
16.  Coastal Carolina/Texas Southern

8.    St. Mary's
9.    Miami FL

5.    Arizona
12.  Temple/Arkansas

4.    Notre Dame
13.  Ohio

6.    Kansas State
11.  Davidson

3.    Florida
14.  Utah State

7.    VCU
10.  Georgetown

2.    Duke
15.  LIU-Brooklyn

South
1.    Kentucky
16.  North Texas

8.    Minnesota
9.    St. Joseph's

5.    UNLV
12.  Pittsburgh/Marshall

4.    Florida State
13.  Drexel

6.    Wisconsin
11.  Illinois State

3.    Syracuse
14.  Princeton

7.    California
10.  Murray State

2.    Kansas
15.  Oral Roberts

West
1.    North Carolina State
16.  Vermont

8.    Marquette
9.    West Virginia

5.    Creighton
12.  Nevada

4.    UCLA
13.  Long Beach State

6.    Gonzaga
11.  Baylor

3.    San Diego State
14.  Montana

7.    Tennessee
10.  St. Louis

2.    Ohio State
15.  Manhattan

Thursday, November 8, 2012

College Football 2012 - Week 11 Jabesblog Picks - Full Week

Instead of picking every game straight up this year, I thought I would go more Vegas-style and select certain games each week to pick against the spread. Last weeks record: 9-7. Mid-Week Record 2-3 Season record: 57-47-2.  Lock of the Week: 8-2 (including an exact score last week).

Wisconsin 28, Indiana 26 (Indiana +7.5)  LOSS
Michigan 26, Northwestern 24 (Northwestern +9.5)  WIN
Rutgers 30, Army 17 (Army +17)  LOSS
Louisville 41, Syracuse 34 (Louisville -1.5)  LOCK OF THE WEEK  LOSS
Cincinnati 35, Temple 17 (Cincinnati -9.5)  WIN
Texas 38, Iowa State 23 (Texas -10.5)  WIN
Miami FL 27, Virginia 20 (Miami FL +2)  WIN
Iowa 19, Purdue 16 (Purdue +5)  WIN
South Carolina 30, Arkansas 27 (Arkansas +13.5)  LOSS
Texas Tech 38, Kansas 17 (Kansas +25.5)  WIN
Tennessee 34, Missouri 28 (Tennessee -3)  LOSS
Florida 31, UL-Lafayette 13 (UL-Lafayette +26.5)  WIN
North Carolina 38, Georgia Tech 33 (Georgia Tech +8.5)  WIN
Western Kentucky 41, Florida Atlantic 14 (Western Kentucky -16.5)  LOSS
Kent State 35, Miami OH 20 (Kent State -6.5)  WIN
Central Michigan 38, Eastern Michigan 34 (Central Michigan -2.5)  WIN
Arizona 37, Colorado 14 (Colorado +30.5)  WIN
Akron 34, Massachusetts 14 (Akron -17)  LOSS
Oregon State 23, Stanford 20 (Oregon State +3.5)  LOSS
USC 38, Arizona State 24 (USC -9)  WIN
NC State 21, Wake Forest 19 (Wake Forest +7.5)  LOSS
Nebraska 27, Penn State 24 (Penn State +7.5)  LOSS
Oklahoma State 44, West Virginia 41 (West Virginia +9)  LOSS
Oklahoma 48, Baylor 33 (Baylor +21.5)  WIN
Wyoming 38, New Mexico 31 (Wyoming -1.5)  WIN
Clemson 52, Maryland 14 (Clemson -31.5)  WIN
San Diego State 41, Air Force 24 (San Diego State -7.5)  WIN
San Jose State 41, New Mexico State 10 (San Jose State -21.5)  WIN
Navy 35, Troy 30 (Navy -1)  LOSS
Alabama 31, Texas A&M 19 (Texas A&M +13.5)  WIN
Minnesota 24, Illinois 17 (Minnesota -3)  WIN
Western Michigan 28, Buffalo 20 (Western Michigan -3)  LOSS
Marshall 45, UAB 35 (Marshall -3)  LOSS
Tulsa 31, Houston 27 (Tulsa -3.5)  WIN
North Texas 27, South Alabama 23 (South Alabama +8)  LOSS
Tulane 35, Memphis 32 (Tulane pick'em)  LOSS
Georgia 41, Auburn 20 (Georgia -14.5)  WIN
UNLV 24, Colorado State 16 (UNLV -1.5)  LOSS
LSU 34, Mississippi State 10 (LSU -15)  WIN
Boise State 48, Hawaii 14 (Boise State -28.5)  WIN
Ole Miss 20, Vanderbilt 17 (Vanderbilt +3.5)  WIN
UCF 37, UTEP 17 (UCF -13)  LOCK OF THE WEEK II  LOSS
Louisiana Tech 49, Texas State 21 (Louisiana Tech -20)  LOSS
Kansas State 38, TCU 21 (Kansas State -7)  WIN
SMU 41, Southern Miss 17 (SMU -14.5)  WIN
Notre Dame 27, Boston College 13 (Boston College +19)  WIN
BYU 37, Idaho 3 (Idaho +40)  WIN
Washington 20, Utah 16 (Washington +1 )  WIN
UCLA 34, Washington State 14 (UCLA -16.5)  LOSS
Oregon 48, California 13 (Oregon -28)  WIN
Fresno State 44, Nevada 38 (Fresno State -3.5)  WIN

Saturday Record:  31-20 (after reviewing final line of games pushed)

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

College Football 2012 - Jabesblog Picks - Mid-Week 11 Edition

Instead of picking every game straight up this year, I thought I would go more Vegas-style and select certain games each week to pick against the spread. Last weeks record: 9-7. Season record: 55-44-2. Lock of the Week: 8-2 (including an exact score last week).

There are 5 games on the Tuesday through Friday docket this week, so here is a bonus 5 picks from Jabesblog...

Toledo -6.5 vs Ball State - Both teams have played well of late, but it is time for Toledo to make the final push toward a MAC Title.  The Rockets are actually 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on Tuesday's, but I am going against the trend in what should be a high-scoring game (Toledo played 63-60 and 66-63 games on Tuesday last season).  Toledo has won the last three match-ups with the Cardinals by 7 points or more and will do it again tonight...Toledo 59, Ball State 48.  Loss

Bowling Green +3 at Ohio - The Falcons have the defense cranked up to a championship level while the Bobcats appear to have peaked in September.  Ohio has not last at home, but has been outgained by Buffalo and Akron this season.  I like the defensive team to roll in and pull off the Wednesday night upset...Bowling Green 22, Ohio 21.  WIN

Arkansas State -7 vs Louisiana-Monroe - With the uncertain status of ULM quarterback Kolton Browning I have to lean toward the Redwolves.  Arkansas State is starting to get it rolling with 4 wins in a row by an average of 15.5 points.  All indications are that Browning is out for a while, which will either rally or deflate a team that had high hopes of a Sun Belt Title...Arkansas State 40, LA-Monroe 28.  WIN

Florida State -13.5 at Virginia Tech - The Seminoles have not won by this margin on the road, but the Hokies looked like a team without a sense of urgency last week against Miami FL.  The Seminoles are off a bye and will be prepared for Logan Thomas and his one-man show.  FSU ranks highly in almost every offensive and defensive category, its a shame they blew the game against NC State...Florida State 34, Virginia Tech 10.  Loss

Pittsburgh -3 at Connecticut - The bottom line is that the Huskies cannot score.  With just over 8 ppg in their last 4 things have been brutal for the UConn offense.  Pitt lost a heartbreaker against Notre Dame last week and is in prime position to be upset here.  Pitt plays well on Friday nights and against teams they should beat...Pittsburgh 21, Connecticut 10.

Monday, November 5, 2012

College Football 2012 - Bowl Breakdown Week 10

PAC-12
Washington (5-4) - Utah (W), at Colorado (W), at Washington State (W), projected record 8-4 (the Huskies can breathe easier after upsetting Oregon State)

Arizona (5-4) - Colorado (W), at Utah (L), Arizona State (L), projected record 6-6 (like the Huskies, Arizona's upset of USC should send them bowling, especially with Colorado remaining)

Utah (4-5) - at Washington (L), Arizona (W), at Colorado (W), projected record 6-6 (Arizona on the road looks like a different team)

PAC-12 Reset:
1.  Oregon Ducks, 9-0 (BCS National Title Game)
2.  Oregon State Beavers, 7-1 (Rose Bowl)
3.  Stanford Cardinal, 7-2 (Sun Bowl)
4.  UCLA Bruins, 7-2 (Holiday Bowl)
5.  USC Trojans, 6-3 (Alamo Bowl)
6.  Washington Huskies, 5-4 (Las Vegas Bowl)
7.  Arizona State Sun Devils, 5-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
8.  Arizona Wildcats, 5-4 (New Mexico Bowl)
9.  Utah Utes, 4-5 (Heart of Dallas Bowl**)
10. California Golden Bears, 3-7
11. Washington State Cougars, 2-7
12. Colorado Buffaloes, 1-8

Big 10
Minnesota (5-4) - at Illinois (W), at Nebraska (L), Michigan State (L), projected record 6-6 (not a great road team, the Gophers will have to win at Illinois or get to 20 and beat Michigan State at home)

Indiana (4-5) - Wisconsin (L), at Penn State (L), at Purdue (W), projected record 5-7 (the Hoosiers are one of few over-achieving Big 10 teams.  Win at home vs Wisconsin and they might be playing in the Big 10 championship game)

Iowa (4-5) - Purdue (W), at Michigan (L), Nebraska (L), projected record 5-7 (this team doesn't seem good enough to win 2 more games)

Purdue (3-6) - at Iowa (L), at Illinois (W), Indiana (L) - projected record 4-8 (the Boilermakers have let the season get away from them)

Big 10 Reset:
1.  Ohio State Buckeyes, 10-0
2.  Nebraska Cornhuskers, 7-2 (Rose Bowl)
3.  Penn State Nittany Lions, 6-3
4.  Michigan Wolverines, 6-3 (Capital One Bowl)
5.  Northwestern Wildcats, 7-2 (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl)
6.  Wisconsin Badgers, 6-3 (Outback Bowl)
7.  Michigan State Spartans, 5-4 (Gator Bowl)
8.  Minnesota Golden Gophers, 5-4 (Texas Bowl)
9.  Indiana Hoosiers, 4-5
10. Iowa Hawkeyes, 4-5
11. Purdue Boilermakers, 3-6
12. Illinois Fighting Illini, 2-7
(currently not filling Heart of Dallas or Little Caesars bowl slot)

SEC
Tennessee (4-5) - Missouri (W), at Vanderbilt (W), Kentucky (W), projected record 7-5 (With Kentucky at home, it really comes down to splitting the Missouri/Vandy games.)

Vanderbilt (5-4) - at Ole Miss (L), Tennessee (L), at Wake Forest (W) - projected record 6-6 (the schedule is there for at least one more win)

Ole Miss (5-4) - Vanderbilt (W), at LSU (L), Mississippi State (L), projected record 6-6 (would be nice to take care of things vs Vandy and not have to beat the rival Bulldogs)

Missouri (4-5) - at Tennessee (L), Syracuse (W), at Texas A&M (L), projected record 5-7 (have to figure out a way to beat Tennessee or A&M on the road)

Arkansas (4-5) - at South Carolina (L), at Mississippi State (L), LSU (L), projected record 4-8 (will likely be a fitting end to a disappointing season for the Razorbacks)

SEC Reset:
1.  Alabama Crimson Tide, 9-0 (BCS National Title Game)
2.  Georgia Bulldogs, 8-1 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
3.  Florida Gators, 8-1 (Capital One Bowl)
4.  LSU Tigers, 7-2 (Sugar Bowl)
5.  Texas A&M Aggies, 7-2 (Cotton Bowl)
6.  South Carolina Gamecocks, 7-2 (Outback Bowl)
7.  Mississippi State Bulldogs, 7-2 (Gator Bowl)
8.  Ole Miss Rebels, 5-4 (Music City Bowl)
9.  Tennessee Volunteers, 4-5 (Liberty Bowl)
10. Vanderbilt Commodores, 5-4 (BBVA Compass Bowl)
11. Missouri Tigers, 4-5
12. Arkansas Razorbacks, 4-5
13. Auburn Tigers, 2-7
14. Kentucky Wildcats, 1-9
(currently not filling Independence Bowl slot)

Big 12
Oklahoma State (5-3) - West Virginia (W), Texas Tech (W), at Oklahoma (L), at Baylor (W), projected record 8-4 (The Cowboys might be contenders for the Big 12 title)

West Virginia (5-3) - at Oklahoma State (L), Oklahoma (L), at Iowa State (W), Kansas (W), projected record 7-5 (you never know what happens when a team starts heading in this direction)

Iowa State (5-4) - at Texas (L), at Kansas (W), West Virginia (L), projected record 6-6 (with Kansas on the remaining schedule, a bowl bid is almost locked in)

Baylor (4-4) - at Oklahoma (L), Kansas State (L), Texas Tech (L), Oklahoma State (L) - projected record 4-8 (if they can figure out how to play better, the offense is capable of leading them)

Big 12 Reset:
1.  Kansas State Wildcats, 9-0 (Fiesta Bowl)
2.  Oklahoma Sooners, 6-2 (Alamo Bowl)
3.  Texas Longhorns, 7-2 (Cotton Bowl)
4.  Texas Tech Red Raiders, 6-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl)
5.  Oklahoma State Cowboys, 5-3 (Holiday Bowl)
6.  TCU Horned Frogs, 6-3 (Texas Bowl)
7.  West Virginia Mountaineers, 5-3 (Pinstripe Bowl)
8.  Iowa State Cyclones, 5-4 (Heart of Dallas Bowl)
9.  Baylor Bears, 4-4
10. Kansas Jayhawks, 1-8

ACC
Virginia Tech (4-5) - Florida State (L), at Boston College (W), Virginia (W), projected record 6-6 (may need to win a rivalry game to be bowl-eligible)

Maryland (4-5) - at Clemson (L), Florida State (L), at North Carolina (L), projected record 4-8 (a team on their 5th quarterback doesn't beat these teams)

Georgia Tech (4-5) - at North Carolina (L), Duke (W), at Georgia (L), projected record 5-7 (huge game this week at North Carolina, a win not out of the realm)

Wake Forest (5-4) - at NC State (L), at Notre Dame (L), Vanderbilt (L), projected record 5-7 (BC was one, where is the other?)

ACC Reset
1.  Florida State Seminoles, 8-1 (Orange Bowl)
2.  Clemson Tigers, 8-1 (Sugar Bowl)
3.  North Carolina Tar Heels, 6-3
4.  Miami Hurricanes, 5-4 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
5.  NC State Wolfpack, 5-4 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
6.  Virginia Tech Hokies, 4-5 (Sun Bowl)
7.  Duke Blue Devils, 6-4 (Belk Bowl)
8.  Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 4-5
9. Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 5-4
10.  Maryland Terrapins, 4-5
11. Virginia Cavaliers, 3-6
12. Boston College Eagles, 2-7
(currently not filling Music City, Independence or Military Bowl slot)

Big East
Pittsburgh (4-5) - at Connecticut (W), Rutgers (L), at South Florida (W), projected record 6-6 (I am giving Pitt the benefit of the doubt, but they have no margin for error)

Temple (3-5) - Cincinnati (L), at Army (W), Syracuse (W), projected record 5-6 (regretting not scheduling an FCS team for a 12th game)

Syracuse (4-5) - Louisville (L), at Missouri (L), at Temple (L)  projected record 4-8 (improved, but just not a good road team)

Big East Reset:
1.  Louisville Cardinals, 9-0 (Orange Bowl)
2.  Rutgers Scarlett Knights, 7-1 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
3.  Cincinnati Bearcats, 6-2 (Belk Bowl)
4.  Pittsburgh Panthers, 4-5 (Pinstripe Bowl)
5.  Syracuse Orange, 4-5
6.  Temple Owls, 3-5
7.  South Florida Bulls, 3-6
8.  Connecticut Huskies, 3-6
(currently not filling BBVA Compass Bowl or Beef O'Brady's Bowl slots)

Other Conferences/Independents
Houston (4-5) - Tulsa (L), at Marshall (L), Tulane (W). projected record 5-7

Marshall (4-5) - at UAB (W), Houston (W), at East Carolina (L), projected record 6-6

SMU (4-5) - Southern Miss (W), at Rice (W), Tulsa (L), projected record 6-6

Western Michigan (4-6) - at Buffalo (W), Eastern Michigan (W), projected record 6-6

Miami(OH) (4-5) - Kent State (L), at Central Michigan (W), Ball State (W), projected record 6-6

Central Michigan (3-6) - at Eastern Michigan (W), Miami(OH) (L), at UMass (W), projected record 5-7

Air Force (5-4) - at San Diego State (L), Hawaii (W), at Fresno State (L), projected record 6-6

New Mexico (4-6) - Wyoming (W), Nevada (L), at Colorado State (W), projected record 6-7

Other Conferences/Independents Reset:
1.  Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 9-0 (Fiesta Bowl)
2.  Northern Illinois Huskies, 9-1 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)
3.  Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 8-1 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)
4.  Kent State Golden Flash, 8-1 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
5.  Ohio Bobcats, 8-1 (Little Caesars Bowl)
6.  Toledo Rockets, 8-1 (Military Bowl**)
7.  UCF Golden Knights, 7-2 (Liberty Bowl)
8.  Boise State Broncos, 7-2 (Las Vegas Bowl)
9.  Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 7-2 (Hawaii Bowl)
10. Utah State Aggies, 8-2 (Independence Bowl**)
11. San Diego State Aztecs, 7-3 (Hawaii Bowl)
12. Fresno State Bulldogs, 7-3 (Poinsettia Bowl)
13. Nevada Wolfpack, 6-3 (New Mexico Bowl)
14. Ball State Cardinals, 6-3 (Music City Bowl**)
15. Bowling Green Falcons, 6-3 (Independence Bowl**)
16. BYU Cougars, 5-4 (Poinsettia Bowl)
17. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 6-3 (New Orleans Bowl)
18. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 6-3 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
19. San Jose State Spartans, 7-2 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl**)
20. Arkansas State Redwolves, 6-3 (Little Caesars Bowl**)
21. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, 6-3 (Military Bowl**)
22. Navy Midshipmen, 6-3 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
23. East Carolina Pirates, 6-4 (New Orleans Bowl)
24. Air Force Falcons, 5-4 (Armed Forces Bowl)
25. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, 5-3 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)

Other Projected Bowl Eligible Teams:
Marshall Thundering Herd, 4-5 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl)
SMU Mustangs, 4-5 (Armed Forces Bowl)

College Football 2012 - Updated Bowl Projections (Week 10)

New Mexico Bowl - Arizona Wildcats vs Nevada Wolfpack
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Northern Illinois Huskies
Poinsettia Bowl - Fresno State Bulldogs vs BYU Cougars
Beef O'Brady's Bowl - San Jose State Spartans vs Marshall Thundering Herd
New Orleans Bowl - East Carolina Pirates vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Las Vegas Bowl - Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies
Hawaii Bowl - San Diego State Aztecs vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Little Caesars Bowl - Ohio Bobcats vs Arkansas State Redwolves
Military Bowl - Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs Toledo Rockets
Belk Bowl - Duke Blue Devils vs Cincinnati Bearcats
Holiday Bowl - UCLA Bruins vs Oklahoma State Cowboys
Russell Athletic Bowl - Rutgers Scarlett Knights vs North Carolina State Wolfpack
Independence Bowl - Bowling Green Falcons vs Utah State Aggies
Texas Bowl - TCU Horned Frogs vs Minnesota Golden Gophers
Armed Forces Bowl - SMU Mustangs vs Air Force Falcons
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl - Arizona State Sun Devils vs Navy Midshipmen
Alamo Bowl - USC Trojans vs Oklahoma Sooners
Pinstripe Bowl - West Virginia Mountaineers vs Pittsburgh Panthers
Music City Bowl - Ball State Cardinals vs Ole Miss Rebels
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl - Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Northwestern Wildcats
Sun Bowl - Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies
Liberty Bowl - UCF Golden Knights vs Tennessee Volunteers
Chick-Fil-A Bowl - Georgia Bulldogs vs Miami Hurricanes
Heart of Dallas Bowl - Iowa State Cyclones vs Utah Utes
Capital One Bowl - Michigan Wolverines vs Florida Gators
Outback Bowl - Wisconsin Badgers vs South Carolina Gamecocks
Gator Bowl - Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Michigan State Spartans
Cotton Bowl - Texas A&M Aggies vs Texas Longhorns
BBVA Compass Bowl - Vanderbilt Commodores vs Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
GoDaddy Bowl - Kent State Golden Flash vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Rose Bowl - Oregon State Beavers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers
Orange Bowl - Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals
Fiesta Bowl - Kansas State Wildcats vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Sugar Bowl - LSU Tigers vs Clemson Tigers
BCS National Championship - Oregon Ducks vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Friday, November 2, 2012

College Football 2012 - Week 10 Jabesblog picks

Instead of picking every game straight up this year, I thought I would go more Vegas-style and select certain games each week to pick against the spread. Last weeks record:  A humbling 3-8. Season record: 46-37-2. Lock of the Week: 7-2.

Lock of the Week:  Cincinnati -4 vs Syracuse. It seems the football world has now soured on the Bearcats, but I am pretty sure losing at Louisville in overtime is not a bad loss and Toledo is a darn good football team as well. Syracuse doesn't usually travel well and Cincy has taken 6 of the last 7 in this match-up. I expect a little bounce-back from the Bearcats this week...Cincinnati 35, Syracuse 24.


Swamp Danger Game of the Week:  Missouri +17 at Florida.  The Tigers get James Franklin back and have to be a little desperate for their bowl life.  The Gators need to bounce back and hope for help in their SEC Championship pursuit.  Missouri has the Georgia film as a recipe to at least slow down the Florida offense and keep it close for a while...Florida 21, Missouri 14.

Wolverines Resemble Weasels Game of the Week:  Minnesota +11.5 vs Michigan.  The Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, while the Wolverines are only 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 trips out of Ann Arbor.  Combined with the fact that Denard Robinson is a little banged up and Minnesota has made a positive change at quarterback should lead to a closer than expected game...Michigan 28, Minnesota 23.

Rondey Dangerfield Game of the Week:  Mississippi State +7 vs Texas A&M.  I love me some Johnny Football, but it seems the Bulldogs are becoming a no respect team.  Who doesn't get blown out at Alabama?  This match-up could go either way, which makes taking 7 points with the home team too good to pass up...Texas A&M 34, Mississippi State 30.

Patriotic Game of the Week:  Air Force -7 at Army.  I hate to pick on the Cadets, but they seem to get line love on a weekly basis.  They are 1-7 with a loss to Stony Brook!!  The Falcons are playing better and have won 9 of 10 in this rivalry.  The road team is also 10-2 ATS in the last 12 in this match-up.  Look for Ground Force to run all over Army on Saturday...Air Force 42, Army 28.

Is Cam Newton Playing Game of the Week:  New Mexico State +22.5 at Auburn.  In a battle of 1-7 teams, that is a lot of points.  This line overlooks the flaws of Auburn and expects an equally inferior opponent to make them look good.  The Aggies should be able to score enough points to make this line hard to cover...Auburn 31, New Mexico State 21.

No Catchy Name Game of the Week:  Maryland +8 vs Georgia Tech.  The Terps didn't look good against BC a week ago, but Tech looked worse against BYU.  Maryland's defense has been a constant and this is not your recent solid versions of the Yellow Jackets.  4 of the last 5 meetings between these two have been closer than 8 points and I expect the same this week...Georgia Tech 23, Maryland 20.

Rested and Revived Game of the Week:  West Virginia -5 vs TCU.  With an extra week off to regroup, the Mountaineers should be ready for a TCU team that has not looked all that great for most of the season.  The young Horned Frog defense will be tested and this looks like a spot for WVU to get their season headed back in the right direction.  After losing on the road ny 22 last week, more of the same will be in store for TCU in Morgantown...West Virginia 42, TCU 20.

Those Pesky Panthers Game of the Week:  Pittsburgh +16.5 at Notre Dame.  Every few weeks the Notre Dame offense looks good, but usually they score 20 points or less.  Pitt usually plays Notre Dame tough and the last 4 meetings have been 3, 6, 5 and 3 point games.  I expect Notre Dame to continue their dream season, but not as easy as this line is making it look...Notre Dame 20, Pittsburgh 10.

Offensive Explosion I Game of the Week:Northern Illinois -34.5 vs Massachusetts.  The Minutemen average road margin is -35.6, so this line seems fair.  Michigan beat them by 50 and Northern's offense rivals that of the Wolverines.  With the Huskies on a roll, this one should turn ugly fast...Northern Illinois 56, Massachusetts 14.

A Season Down the Drain Game of the Week:  Penn State -3.5 at Purdue.  Has anyone seen Purdue play recently?  Yes they scared Ohio State, but I have no confidence in the Boilermakers who must realize their season is lost...Penn State 28, Purdue 17.

Very Few People Care Game of the Week:  Tulane +5.5 vs Rice.  I have no statistical or inside knowledge on this one.  It seems like Tulane's offense has woken up and that Rice is questionable on the road.  So in my effort to take more home teams, I like the Green Wave as a dog this week...Tulane 36, Rice 35.

You Read it Right Game of the Week:  La-Lafayette +10 at La-Monroe.  Yes, I am picking against ULM with ULL.  Road teams is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, Underdog is 13-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings, ULL is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 on the road.  The numbers don't lie...ULM 35, ULL 34.

Offensive Explosion II Game of the Week:  Louisiana Tech -31 vs UTSA.  The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and the over also has favorable stats in this one, which means the Tech offense is going to be revved up.  UTSA was 5-0 until they began playing better competition and has dropped the last 3 by an average of 26.3.  Louisiana Tech will be even better than that competition...Louisiana Tech 62, UTSA 21.

Nobody Cares Game of the Week:  UAB +3 at Southern Mississippi.  I am taking the 1-7 team over the 0-8 team, even on the road, and that is enough about this game...UAB 40, Southern Mississippi 37.

BCS Chaos Game of the Week:  LSU +8 vs Alabama.  All the line trends actually favor the Tide, but my gut says that this is the close one that Alabama will need to endure to reach a perfect season.  I want to pick the Tigers to cause SEC panic as far as the BCS, but I am not sure I can go that far...wait, since this is for entertainment purposes only, of course I can...LSU 19, Alabama 16.