Tuesday, November 13, 2012

College Football 2012 - Bowl Breakdown - Week 11

PAC-12
Arizona State (5-5) - Washington State (W), at Arizona (L), projected record 6-6 (A bit surprising it has taken this long)

Utah (4-6) - Arizona (W), at Colorado (W), projected record 6-6 (Arizona on the road looks like a different team)

PAC-12 Reset:
1.  Oregon Ducks, 10-0 (BCS National Title Game)
2.  Stanford Cardinal, 8-2 (Las Vegas Bowl)
3.  Oregon State Beavers, 7-2 (Sun Bowl)
4.  UCLA Bruins, 8-2 (Holiday Bowl)
5.  USC Trojans, 7-3 (Alamo Bowl)
6.  Washington Huskies, 6-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
7.  Arizona Wildcats, 6-4 (New Mexico Bowl)
8.  Arizona State Sun Devils, 5-5 (Hawaii Bowl**)
9.  Utah Utes, 4-6 (Heart of Dallas Bowl**)
10. California Golden Bears, 3-8
11. Washington State Cougars, 2-8
12. Colorado Buffaloes, 1-9

Big 10
Indiana (4-6) - at Penn State (L), at Purdue (L), projected record 4-8 (the Hoosiers looked like a team that hasn't played many big games against Wisconsin)

Iowa (4-6) - at Michigan (L), Nebraska (L), projected record 4-8 (Not a good year in Iowa City)

Purdue (4-6) - at Illinois (W), Indiana (W) - projected record 6-6 (out of these three, Purdue has the best shot, especially with Indiana coming to West Lafayette)

Big 10 Reset:
1.  Ohio State Buckeyes, 10-0
2.  Nebraska Cornhuskers, 8-2 (Rose Bowl)
3.  Michigan Wolverines, 7-3 (Capital One Bowl)
4.  Wisconsin Badgers, 7-3 (Outback Bowl)
5.  Penn State Nittany Lions, 6-4
6.  Northwestern Wildcats, 7-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings)
7.  Michigan State Spartans, 5-5 (Gator Bowl)
8.  Minnesota Golden Gophers, 6-4 (Texas Bowl)
9.  Purdue Boilermakers, 4-6 (Heart of Dallas Bowl)
10. Indiana Hoosiers, 4-6
11. Iowa Hawkeyes, 4-6
12. Illinois Fighting Illini, 2-8
(currently not filling Little Caesars bowl slot)

SEC
Tennessee (4-6) - at Vanderbilt (L), Kentucky (W), projected record 5-7 (Vandy just seems better than Tennessee right now)

Ole Miss (5-5) - at LSU (L), Mississippi State (L), projected record 5-7 (will likely have to beat rival Mississippi State, which is possible, but not sure how probable)

Missouri (5-5) - Syracuse (W), at Texas A&M (L), projected record 6-6 (step one is complete, now they need to beat a Syracuse team that is not as good on the road but is playing good football)

Arkansas (4-6) - at Mississippi State (L), LSU (L), projected record 4-8 (will likely be a fitting end to a disappointing season for the Razorbacks)

SEC Reset:
1.  Alabama Crimson Tide, 9-1 (Sugar Bowl)
2.  Georgia Bulldogs, 9-1 (Capital One Bowl)
3.  Florida Gators, 9-1 (Outback Bowl)
4.  LSU Tigers, 8-2 (Cotton Bowl)
5.  Texas A&M Aggies, 8-2 (Fiesta Bowl)
6.  South Carolina Gamecocks, 8-2 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
7.  Mississippi State Bulldogs, 7-3 (Gator Bowl)
8.  Vanderbilt Commodores, 6-4 (Liberty Bowl)
9.  Missouri Tigers, 5-5 (Music City Bowl)
10. Ole Miss Rebels, 5-5
11. Tennessee Volunteers, 4-6
12. Arkansas Razorbacks, 4-6
13. Auburn Tigers, 2-8
14. Kentucky Wildcats, 1-9
(currently not filling BBVA Compass and Independence Bowl slot)

Big 12
West Virginia (5-4) - Oklahoma (L), at Iowa State (W), Kansas (W), projected record 7-5 (you never know what happens when a team starts heading in this direction)

Iowa State (5-5) - at Kansas (W), West Virginia (L), projected record 6-6 (this is the week and unfortunately for the Cyclones, Kansas is playing better)

Baylor (4-5) - Kansas State (L), Texas Tech (L), Oklahoma State (L) - projected record 4-8 (even in the Big 12 you need to play defense some of the time)

Big 12 Reset:
1.  Kansas State Wildcats, 10-0 (BCS National Championship)
2.  Oklahoma Sooners, 7-2 (Rose Bowl)
3.  Texas Longhorns, 8-2 (Cotton Bowl)
4.  Texas Tech Red Raiders, 7-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl)
5.  Oklahoma State Cowboys, 6-3 (Alamo Bowl)
6.  TCU Horned Frogs, 6-4 (Texas Bowl)
7.  West Virginia Mountaineers, 5-3 (Holiday Bowl)
8.  Iowa State Cyclones, 5-4 (Pinstripe Bowl)
9.  Baylor Bears, 4-4
10. Kansas Jayhawks, 1-8
(currently not filling Heart of Dallas Bowl slot)

ACC
Virginia Tech (4-6) - at Boston College (W), Virginia (W), projected record 6-6 (may need to win a rivalry game to be bowl-eligible)

Maryland (4-6) - Florida State (L), at North Carolina (L), projected record 4-8 (a team on their 5th quarterback doesn't beat these teams)

Georgia Tech (5-5) - Duke (W), at Georgia (L), projected record 6-6 (Things have turned around for Georgia Tech just in time)

Wake Forest (5-5) - at Notre Dame (L), Vanderbilt (L), projected record 5-7 (Vanderbilt at home will be the opportunity)

Virginia (4-6) - North Carolina (L), at Virginia Tech (L), projected record 4-8 (probably an accomplishment to force themselves on to the list for the week)

ACC Reset
1.  Florida State Seminoles, 9-1 (Orange Bowl)
2.  Clemson Tigers, 9-1 (Sugar Bowl)
3.  North Carolina Tar Heels, 6-4
4.  NC State Wolfpack, 6-4 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
5.  Duke Blue Devils, 6-4 (Music City Bowl)
6.  Miami Hurricanes, 5-5 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
7.  Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 5-5 (Belk Bowl)
8.  Virginia Tech Hokies, 4-6 (Sun Bowl)
9.  Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 5-5
10. Virginia Cavaliers, 4-6
11.  Maryland Terrapins, 4-6
12. Boston College Eagles, 2-8
(currently not filling Independence or Military Bowl slot)

Big East
Pittsburgh (4-6) - Rutgers (L), at South Florida (W), projected record 5-7 (Pitt just lost their margin for error, gets a week off to prepare for Rutgers)

Syracuse (5-5) - at Missouri (L), at Temple (W)  projected record 6-6 (need a road split, playing really well)

Big East Reset:
1.  Rutgers Scarlett Knights, 8-1 (Orange Bowl)
2.  Louisville Cardinals, 9-1 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
3.  Cincinnati Bearcats, 7-2 (Belk Bowl)
4.  Syracuse Orange, 5-5 (Pinstripe Bowl)
5.  Pittsburgh Panthers, 4-6
6.  Connecticut Huskies, 4-6
7.  Temple Owls, 3-6
8.  South Florida Bulls, 3-6
(currently not filling BBVA Compass Bowl or Beef O'Brady's Bowl slots)

Other Conferences/Independents
Houston (4-6) - at Marshall (L), Tulane (W). projected record 5-7

Marshall (4-6) - Houston (W), at East Carolina (L), projected record 5-7

SMU (5-5) - at Rice (W), Tulsa (L), projected record 6-6

Miami(OH) (4-6) - at Central Michigan (W), Ball State (W), projected record 6-6

Central Michigan (4-6) - Miami(OH) (L), at UMass (W), projected record 5-7

Air Force (5-5) - Hawaii (W), at Fresno State (L), projected record 6-6

Other Conferences/Independents Reset:
1.  Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 10-0 (Fiesta Bowl)
2.  Northern Illinois Huskies, 9-1 (Little Caesars Bowl)
3.  Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 9-1 (Independence Bowl)
4.  Kent State Golden Flash, 9-1 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
5.  UCF Golden Knights, 8-2 (Liberty Bowl)
6.  Boise State Broncos, 8-2 (Las Vegas Bowl)
7.  Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 8-2 (New Orleans Bowl)
8.  Utah State Aggies, 8-2 (Famous Idaho Potato**)
9.  Ohio Bobcats, 8-2 (Independence Bowl**)
10. Toledo Rockets, 8-2 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)
11. San Diego State Aztecs, 8-3 (Poinsettia Bowl)
12. Fresno State Bulldogs, 8-3 (Hawaii Bowl)
13. Ball State Cardinals, 7-3 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)
14. Bowling Green Falcons, 7-3 (Military Bowl**)
15. BYU Cougars, 6-4 (Poinsettia Bowl)
16. San Jose State Spartans, 8-2 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl**)
17. Arkansas State Redwolves, 7-3 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
18. Nevada Wolfpack, 6-4 (New Mexico Bowl)
19. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, 7-3 (Little Caesars Bowl**)
20. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 6-4 (New Orleans Bowl)
21. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 6-4 (Military Bowl**)
22. Navy Midshipmen, 6-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
23. East Carolina Pirates, 6-4 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl)
24. Air Force Falcons, 5-5 (Armed Forces Bowl)
25. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, 5-4 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)
26. SMU Mustangs, 5-5 (Armed Forces Bowl)

Currently, Miami OH is the only other bowl-eligible projected team.

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