College Football 2013 - Week 2 Reset

Two weeks into the 2013 College Football season we know more than we did before it started.  Based on what I have seen so far, certain teams require an adjustment already to their 2013 outlook.  Here is a conference-by-conference look that I will update now throughout the season.

BIG TEN	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Ohio State	0-0, 2-0	7-1, 12-1	7-1, 12-1	Rose Bowl
Wisconsin	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 9-3	6-2, 9-3	Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Penn State	0-0, 2-0	4-4, 8-4	4-4, 8-4
Indiana	0-0, 1-1	3-5, 6-6	2-6, 4-8
Purdue	0-0, 1-1	1-7, 2-10	0-8, 1-11
Illinois	0-0, 2-0	0-8, 2-10	2-6, 4-8
Nebraska	0-0, 2-0	7-1, 11-2	6-2, 10-2	Gator Bowl
Michigan	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 10-2	7-1, 11-2	Capital One Bowl
Northwestern	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 10-2	6-2, 10-2	Outback Bowl
Michigan State	0-0, 2-0	5-3, 8-4	4-4, 7-5	Meineke Car Care Bowl
Iowa	0-0, 1-1	2-6, 4-8	2-6, 5-7
Minnesota	0-0, 2-0	1-7, 4-8	2-6, 6-6	Heart of Dallas Bowl

 BIG TEN SYNOPSIS: 

• Ohio State still looks like the team to beat, but Braxton Miller must be healthy for any chance at a special season. 
• Michigan moves into position as Legends Division favorites with an impressive two-week start.  Devin Gardner is the best quarterback in the Big 10. 
• Nebraska's defensive issues leave them a step behind, while Indiana's defensive issues will likely keep them out of a bowl once again. 
• The offensive issues at Michigan State are very troubling and will cost them a game against a lesser team somewhere along the way. 
• Illinois is better than I thought, getting a 2-win bump for the time being. 
• I also like how Minnesota has started and if they can beat San Jose State at home in two weeks, a bowl would be well within reach for the Gophers. 
• Purdue is terrible.

PAC 12	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Oregon	0-0, 2-0	9-0, 13-0	9-0, 13-0	BCS National Championship
Stanford	0-0, 1-0	7-2, 10-2	7-2, 10-2	Rose Bowl
Washington	0-0, 1-0	5-4, 8-4	5-4, 8-4	Sun Bowl
Oregon State	0-0, 1-1	5-4, 8-4	4-5, 6-6	Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
California	0-0, 1-1	2-7, 3-9	2-7, 3-9
Washington State	1-0, 1-1	1-8, 3-9	2-7, 4-8
Arizona State	0-0, 1-0	7-2, 9-4	7-2, 10-3	Alamo Bowl
UCLA	0-0, 1-0	6-3, 8-4	6-3, 8-4	Holiday Bowl
USC	0-1, 1-1	6-3, 9-4	4-5, 6-7
Arizona	0-0, 2-0	4-5, 7-5	4-5, 7-5	Las Vegas Bowl
Utah	0-0, 2-0	2-7, 3-9	3-6, 6-6	New Mexico Bowl
Colorado	0-0, 2-0	0-9, 1-11	1-8, 3-9

 PAC 12 Synopsis: 

• Oregon's offense has not skipped a beat and the one-two punch of Mariota and Thomas appears unstoppable.  The match-up against Stanford's defense down the road will be must-see material. 
• Washington got off to a great start, but I am not ready to dive all-in on the Huskies. 
• I am ready to dive all-out on USC.  The quarterback position is in a shambles and Lane Kiffin was a bad hire.  The Trojan defense is really good, but this situation looks like one that will only get worse. 
• Utah is off to a great start and gets a 3-win upgrade.  The margin for error is slim, but Travis Wilson looks 10 times more comfortable running an offense in year 2.

SEC	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
South Carolina	0-1, 1-1	7-1, 11-2	6-2, 9-3	Outback Bowl
Georgia	1-0, 1-1	6-2, 9-3	7-1, 10-3	Capital One Bowl
Florida	0-0, 1-1	5-3, 8-4	5-3, 7-5	Gator Bowl
Vanderbilt	0-1, 1-1	4-4, 8-4	3-5, 7-5	BBVA Compass Bowl
Missouri	0-0, 2-0	2-6, 6-6	2-6, 6-6	Advocare V100 Bowl
Tennessee	0-0, 2-0	2-6, 5-7	3-5, 6-6	Liberty Bowl
Kentucky	0-0, 1-1	0-8, 2-10	0-8, 2-10
Texas A&M	0-0, 2-0	8-0, 13-0	8-0, 13-0	BCS National Championship
Alabama	0-0, 1-0	7-1, 11-1	7-1, 11-1	Sugar Bowl
Ole Miss	1-0, 2-0	5-3, 8-4	5-3, 8-4	Chick-Fil-A Bowl
LSU	0-0, 2-0	4-4, 8-4	5-3, 9-3	Cotton Bowl
Auburn	0-0, 2-0	3-5, 7-5	3-5, 7-5	Music City Bowl
Mississippi State	0-0, 1-1	2-6, 5-7	1-7, 4-8
Arkansas	0-0, 2-0	1-7, 5-7	1-7, 5-7

 SEC Synopsis: 

• I am sticking with Texas A&M over Alabama this week.  With all the circus that surrounds Johnny Manziel, he has that "it" factor that shows up on weeks like this. 
• I was partially right on Georgia, but they rebounded against South Carolina and appear to be the class of the SEC East. 
• Florida's offense, while not Michigan State-bad, is going to plague them all year against a tough schedule. 
• LSU's offense looks better-than-advertised.  I gave the Tigers a one-game bump based on what I have seen, but they could very well be an 11-1 or 10-2 team. 
• I like what Tennessee has done in the first two weeks, especially defensively.  They look like a bowl team. 
• Arkansas looks pretty good as well, but their schedule is going to eat them alive.

Big 12	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Oklahoma State	0-0, 2-0	8-1, 11-1	8-1, 11-1	Fiesta Bowl
Oklahoma	1-0, 2-0	7-2, 10-2	7-2, 9-3	Alamo Bowl
Texas	0-0, 1-1	7-2, 10-2	6-3, 8-4	Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Baylor	0-0, 2-0	6-3, 9-3	7-2, 10-2	Cotton Bowl
Kansas State	0-0, 1-1	6-3, 9-3	4-5, 6-6	Pinstripe Bowl
TCU	0-0, 1-1	5-4, 7-5	5-4, 7-5	Meineke Car Care Bowl
Texas Tech	0-0, 2-0	3-5, 6-6	5-4, 8-4	Holiday Bowl
West Virginia	1-0, 1-1	2-7, 5-7	2-7, 4-8
Iowa State	0-0, 0-1	1-8, 3-9	1-8, 1-11
Kansas	0-0, 1-0	0-9, 1-11	0-9, 2-10

 Big 12 Synopsis: 

• If you can find a Baylor game on your television, stop and watch for a few minutes.  Chances are you will see a touchdown.  If the defense continues it's level of play that it started last November, Baylor will win the Big 12. 
• Oklahoma State looks like it has the same ingredients in place, making these two the early favorites. 
• Oklahoma needs to sort out some offensive issues and we will see how the defense fares when they play against a better offense. 
• I had partially drank the Texas kool-aid, but firing your defensive coordinator two weeks in is not a recipe for a special season.  Another average finish and a December Bowl is now the Longhorn outlook. 
• Kansas State misses Colin Klein.  Oh, and don't schedule the FCS champions when you are breaking in a new quarterback. 
• How good is the name, Baker Mayfield?

ACC	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Florida State	1-0, 1-0	8-0, 13-0	8-0, 13-0	Orange Bowl
Clemson	0-0, 2-0	7-1, 10-2	7-1, 11-1	Sugar Bowl
Maryland	0-0, 2-0	4-4, 7-5	5-3, 9-3	Sun Bowl
NC State	0-0, 2-0	3-5, 6-6	3-5, 6-6	Advocare V100 Bowl
Boston College	1-0, 2-0	2-6, 5-7	2-6, 5-7
Syracuse	0-0, 0-2	2-6, 4-8	2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest	0-1, 1-1	1-7, 3-9	1-7, 3-9
Virginia Tech	0-0, 1-1	7-1, 10-3	6-2, 8-4	Music City Bowl
Miami FL	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 9-3	6-2, 10-3	Chick-Fil-A Bowl
Georgia Tech	0-0, 1-0	5-3, 8-4	5-3, 8-4	Belk Bowl
North Carolina	0-0, 1-1	6-2, 9-3	6-2, 9-3	Russell Athletic Bowl
Pittsburgh	0-1, 0-1	3-5, 6-6	2-6, 4-8
Duke	0-0, 2-0	1-7, 4-8	1-7, 4-8
Virginia	0-0, 1-1	1-7, 3-9	2-6, 5-7

 ACC Synopsis:

• Florida State and Clemson still look like the class of the ACC, with Miami knocking on the door.  If Jameis Winston is as good as Game 1, I feel pretty good about my prediction.  Clemson and Miami have helped the profile of the conference with perhaps the two best wins of the year thus far.
• I seem to get overly excited about Maryland, but C.J. Brown has been fantastic thus far and Stefon Diggs is a superstar.  They received a bump in the latest projection.
• Virginia Tech's defense is back to being great, but the offense is not matching that level.  Logan Thomas is not a first round draft pick any longer.
• I know nothing about Georgia Tech yet.
• There seems to be a clear divide in the ACC, so the question will remain if any of the bottom group can play their way into the upper-division.

AAC	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Louisville	0-0, 2-0	7-1, 11-1	8-0, 12-0	Orange Bowl
Cincinnati	0-0, 1-1	6-2, 10-2	6-2, 9-3	Pinstripe Bowl
UCF	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 8-4	7-1, 9-3	Russell Athletic Bowl
Rutgers	0-0, 1-1	5-3, 7-5	6-2, 8-4	Belk Bowl
Houston	1-0, 2-0	4-4, 6-6	4-4, 6-6	BBVA Compass Bowl
South Florida	0-0, 0-2	3-5, 5-7	1-7, 2-10
Connecticut	0-0, 0-1	3-5, 4-8	2-6, 2-10
SMU	0-0, 1-1	3-5, 4-8	3-5, 4-8
Memphis	0-0, 0-1	2-6, 4-8	2-6, 3-9
Temple	0-1, 0-2	1-7, 4-8	1-7, 3-9

 AAC Synopsis:

• I don't know who is going to beat Louisville, so they have been added as a 4th undefeated team.  Someone is going to get them, partially because of the lack of competition.  They may not be ready to face adversity.  Teddy Bridgewater is really good by the way.  Welcome to Jacksonville next year Teddy.
• I was shocked by Cincinnati's loss at Illinois, but I am sure Tommy Tuberville has those kinds of losses on his resume.  There are still 4 top teams in the AAC, Cincinnati is just closer now to 4 than they are to 1.
• There are some really bad teams in this conference, as evidenced by the 1-7 record of the bottom 5. 

Mountain West	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Boise State	0-0, 1-1	6-2, 9-4	6-2, 9-3	Poinsettia Bowl
Utah State	1-0, 1-1	6-2, 9-3	7-1, 9-4	Las Vegas Bowl
Wyoming	0-0, 1-1	4-4, 7-5	4-4, 7-5	New Mexico Bowl
Air Force	0-1, 1-1	4-4, 6-6	4-4, 6-6	Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Colorado State	0-0, 0-2	2-6, 5-8	2-6, 4-9
New Mexico	0-0, 1-1	1-7, 3-9	1-7, 3-9
Fresno State	0-0, 2-0	7-1, 12-1	7-1, 12-1	Fiesta Bowl
San Jose State	0-0, 1-1	6-2, 9-3	6-2, 8-4	Hawaii Bowl
San Diego State	0-0, 0-2	5-3, 7-5	3-5, 4-8
Nevada	0-0, 1-1	4-4, 5-7	5-3, 6-6	Armed Forces Bowl
UNLV	0-0, 0-2	2-6, 4-8	2-6, 4-8
Hawaii	0-0, 0-2	1-7, 1-11	1-7, 1-11

 Mountain West Synopsis:

• I am sticking with my lofty expectation for Fresno State, despite some early defensive struggles.  Derek Carr is making up for those.
• Boise State is vulnerable this year, so beat them while you can Mountain West foes.
• What is wrong with San Diego State?  It doesn't help to lose to an FCS school and then follow it up with Ohio State.  They can still turn the season around, partly because the bottom of the Mountain West also has serious issues.
• I don't love Utah State or San Jose State, I just like them better than the alternatives.

C-USA	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
East Carolina	1-0, 2-0	7-1, 10-3	7-1, 11-2	Liberty Bowl
Marshall	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 8-4	6-2, 9-3	Heart of Dallas Bowl
Middle Tennessee	0-0, 1-1	5-3, 7-5	5-3, 7-5	Beef O’Brady’s Bowl
UAB	0-0, 0-2	4-4, 6-6	3-5, 4-8
Southern Miss	0-0, 0-2	3-5, 4-8	3-5, 3-9
FAU	0-1, 0-2	2-6, 3-9	2-6, 3-9
FIU	0-0, 0-2	0-8, 0-12	0-8, 0-12
Tulsa	0-0, 1-1	7-1, 9-4	6-2, 8-5	Hawaii Bowl
Rice	0-0, 0-1	6-2, 9-3	6-2, 9-3	New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana Tech	0-0, 1-1	4-4, 6-6	4-4, 6-6	Military Bowl
North Texas	0-0, 1-1	4-4, 5-7	4-4, 5-7
Tulane	0-0, 1-1	3-5, 5-7	4-4, 5-7
UTEP	0-0, 0-1	2-6, 4-8	2-6, 3-9
UTSA	0-0, 1-1	1-7, 2-10	2-6, 3-9

 C-USA Synopsis:

• East Carolina and Marshall are really good teams, although there is still something to learn against better competition.  I'll take the Pirates over the Hokies this weekend.
• I think there are some surprises in store in Conference USA, but it is anyone's guess where they come from. 

MAC	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Ohio	0-0, 1-1	7-1, 10-3	6-2, 8-4	Beef O’Brady’s Bowl
Bowling Green	1-0, 2-0	6-2, 8-4	7-1, 9-4	Little Caesars Bowl
Buffalo	0-0, 0-2	4-4, 6-6	4-4, 6-6
Kent State	0-1, 1-1	3-5, 5-7	4-4, 6-6
Miami OH	0-0, 0-2	3-5, 3-9	2-6, 2-10
Akron	0-0, 1-1	2-6, 3-9	2-6, 3-9
Massachusetts	0-0, 0-2	1-7, 2-10	1-7, 1-11
Northern Illinois	0-0, 1-0	7-1, 12-1	7-1, 12-1	GoDaddy.com Bowl
Ball State	0-0, 2-0	6-2, 9-3	7-1, 10-2	Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Toledo	0-0, 0-2	6-2, 8-4	6-2, 8-4	Military Bowl
Western Michigan	0-0, 0-2	4-4, 5-7	2-6, 2-10
Central Michigan	0-0, 1-1	3-5, 4-8	3-5, 4-8
Eastern Michigan	0-0, 1-1	0-8, 1-11	1-7, 2-10

 MAC Synopsis:

• I now like Bowling Green better than Ohio in the MAC East.  I think the Falcons offense has proved enough in two games to sway my opinion. 
• Northern Illinois could crash the BCS party again, but I don't think the MAC is as strong this year, making the high computer numbers dicey.  The best way is to run the table, which is not out of the realm.  Some would say they have already defeated their toughest opponent.
• The directional Michigan's are not good, but add in UMass and Akron and somebody has to win some games. 

Sun Belt	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Louisiana-Monroe	0-0, 1-1	6-1, 9-3	6-1, 9-3	New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana-Lafayette	0-0, 0-2	5-2, 8-4	5-2, 8-4	Little Caesars Bowl
Arkansas State	0-0, 1-1	5-2, 7-5	5-2, 8-4	GoDaddy.com Bowl
Western Kentucky	0-0, 1-1	5-2, 8-4	5-2, 8-4
Troy	0-0, 2-0	4-3, 5-7	4-3, 6-6
South Alabama	0-0, 1-1	2-5, 3-9	1-6, 2-10
Texas State	0-0, 2-0	1-6, 3-9	2-5, 5-7
Georgia State	0-0, 0-2	0-7, 1-11	0-7, 1-11

 Sun Belt Synopsis:

• Predicting this race is not easy, it looks like 5 teams with a legit shot at the Sun Belt title.  We'll analyze the Sun Belt more as we learn about these teams.  Troy and Arkansas State start us off this week with the first key game among contenders.

Independents	CURRENT RECORD	PREDICTED RECORD	PROJECTED RECORD	BOWL PROJECTION
Notre Dame	1-1	9-3	9-3	Poinsettia Bowl
Navy	1-0	7-5	8-4	Armed Forces Bowl
BYU	1-1	6-6	6-6	Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
Army	1-1	3-9	4-8
Idaho	0-2	1-11	2-10
New Mexico State	0-2	2-10	1-11