Many are saying that the crazy regular season in College Basketball will lead to one of the craziest NCAA Tournaments ever, a la 2000, 2006 and 2011 in recent memory. I certainly hope so, it makes it more fun to watch a few of the underdogs take out the Goliaths, even at the expense of your bracket. So if chaos ensues, what might we see? Let me look into my Crystal Ball....
- #15 seeds were so 2012, #14 is the new 15. Two fifteen seeds winning last year was about as improbable as it gets, and with the upsets in the Conference Tourneys weakening the 15-line this year, the 2's are pretty safe this year. The 14's on the other hand have the experience and exhibit certain qualities for an upset-victimizer. I say at least one 14-seed upsets a 3 in the 2nd Round this year.
- Speaking of the 14's, whichever 14 wins will meet an 11 seed in the annual double-digit game. Are you ready for Davidson-Bucknell on Saturday?
- A 10-seed will survive the 1st weekend. Xavier did in 2012. Florida State in 2011. St. Mary's in 2010 and Davidson in 2008. Only in the boring tournament of 2009 did a 10 fail in the past 5 years. Before you put Ohio State or Miami FL in the Final Four, just think hard about Iowa State and Colorado. Just think about it.
- For the third-straight season, a First Round winner will also advance to the Second Round. Yes, Memphis, you are in trouble. The St. Mary's/Middle Tennessee winner matches favorably with Memphis in the KenPom rankings. (Could also be another spot for that 11-14 game between St. Mary's and Valpo)
- With all the other chaos, the 5 seeds will all win and avoid the 5-12 curse.
- A 7 seed or lower will play in the Elite Eight. San Diego State? Pittsburgh? Colorado?
- Villanova will beat North Carolina because we are tired of Roy Williams vs Kansas.
- Indiana will not cut down anymore nets this year. Its karma. You can't cut them down after a loss and cut them down again. Book it.
Congrats on your #1 ranking over at Brackrt Project. Well done
ReplyDeleteThank you! I am kicking myself for some of my final decisions on the 1-4 lines, but I can't complain about being #1.
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