PAC-12
The PAC-12 is locked in with 8 bowl-eligible teams. UCLA clinched the South Division berth in the PAC-12 Championship Game. Stanford clinches the North Division berth with a win over UCLA this week or an Oregon loss. Oregon can still claim the North Division berth with a win over Oregon State and a Stanford loss to UCLA. My current projection has Stanford beating UCLA twice and Oregon also getting a BCS bid with one loss.
PAC-12 Reset:
1. Oregon Ducks, 10-1 (Fiesta Bowl)
2. Stanford Cardinal, 9-2 (Rose Bowl)
3. UCLA Bruins, 9-2 (Alamo Bowl)
4. Oregon State Beavers, 8-2 (Sun Bowl)
5. Arizona Wildcats, 7-4 (Las Vegas Bowl)
6. USC Trojans, 7-4 (Holiday Bowl)
7. Washington Huskies, 7-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
8. Arizona State Sun Devils, 6-5 (New Mexico Bowl)
9. Utah Utes, 4-7
10. California Golden Bears, 3-9
11. Washington State Cougars, 2-9
12. Colorado Buffaloes, 1-10
Big 10
The Big 10 currently has 5 bowl-eligible teams with the potential for 2 more. I am projecting both Purdue and Michigan State to win next week and give the conference 7 bowl-eligible teams. Nebraska clinches the Legends Division berth in the Big 10 Championship Game with a win over Iowa or a Michigan loss to Ohio State. Wisconsin will represent the Leaders Division in that game.
Purdue (5-6) - Indiana (W) - projected record 6-6 (Purdue has played with some fight the past two weeks and Indiana is not playing for anything)
Michigan State (5-6) - at Minnesota (W) - projected record 6-6 (Raise your hand if you thought Sparty would need to win this one to be bowl-eligible)
Big 10 Reset:
1. Ohio State Buckeyes, 11-0
2. Nebraska Cornhuskers, 9-2 (Rose Bowl)
3. Michigan Wolverines, 8-3 (Capital One Bowl)
4. Wisconsin Badgers, 7-4 (Outback Bowl)
5. Penn State Nittany Lions, 7-4
6. Northwestern Wildcats, 8-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings)
7. Minnesota Golden Gophers, 6-5 (Texas Bowl)
8. Michigan State Spartans, 5-6 (Gator Bowl)
9. Purdue Boilermakers, 5-6 (Heart of Dallas Bowl)
10. Indiana Hoosiers, 4-7
11. Iowa Hawkeyes, 4-7
12. Illinois Fighting Illini, 2-9
(currently not filling Little Caesars bowl slot)
SEC
The SEC got their help and may even monopolize the BCS National Championship Game if all falls right. I picked Georgia to be there in the pre-season, so I am going to project them to beat Alabama and represent the SEC. If Notre Dame loses, Florida would be in line to join them, but I project the Gators to fall this week to Florida State. The SEC currently has 8 bowl-eligible teams with the potential for 10. I am projecting a 5-7 Missouri team to be selected based on their AQ score to play in the BBVA Compass Bowl.
Ole Miss (5-6) - Mississippi State (L), projected record 5-7 (A valiant effort almost got it done at LSU. The same effort will get it done against Missisippi State)
Missouri (5-6) - at Texas A&M (L), projected record 5-7 (The Tigers blew their best chance and now must derail Johhny Football in his own yard)
SEC Reset:
1. Alabama Crimson Tide, 10-1 (Sugar Bowl)
2. Georgia Bulldogs, 10-1 (BCS National Championship)
3. Florida Gators, 10-1 (Outback Bowl)
4. LSU Tigers, 9-2 (Capital One Bowl)
5. Texas A&M Aggies, 9-2 (Cotton Bowl)
6. South Carolina Gamecocks, 9-2 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
7. Mississippi State Bulldogs, 8-3 (Gator Bowl)
8. Vanderbilt Commodores, 7-4 (Music City Bowl)
9. Missouri Tigers, 5-6 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)
10. Ole Miss Rebels, 5-6
11. Tennessee Volunteers, 4-7
12. Arkansas Razorbacks, 4-7
13. Auburn Tigers, 3-8
14. Kentucky Wildcats, 2-9
(currently not filling Liberty, BBVA Compass** and Independence Bowl slot)
Big 12
The Big 12 had their BCS Championship hopes dashed and currently sit at 7 bowl-eligible teams. After beating Kansas State, I am projecting Baylor to add a 6th win and give the Big 12 9 bowl-eligible teams. I am also projecting Texas to beat Kansas State and provide the automatic BCS berth to Oklahoma.
West Virginia (5-5) - at Iowa State (W), Kansas (W), projected record 7-5 (better effort, same results)
Baylor (5-5) - Texas Tech (W), Oklahoma State (L) - projected record 6-6 (Texas Tech seems vulnerable, but will their be a Baylor letdown)
Big 12 Reset:
1. Kansas State Wildcats, 10-1 (Alamo Bowl)
2. Oklahoma Sooners, 8-2 (Fiesta Bowl)
3. Texas Longhorns, 8-2 (Cotton Bowl)
4. Oklahoma State Cowboys, 7-3 (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl)
5. Texas Tech Red Raiders, 7-4 (Texas Bowl)
6. TCU Horned Frogs, 6-4 (Pinstripe Bowl)
7. West Virginia Mountaineers, 5-5 (Holiday Bowl)
8. Iowa State Cyclones, 6-5 (Liberty Bowl**)
9. Baylor Bears, 5-5 (Heart of Dallas Bowl)
10. Kansas Jayhawks, 1-10
ACC
The ACC is a mess. With the self-imposed bowl ban by Miami, the conference currently sits at 5 bowl-eligible teams. One of those 5, Georgia Tech, will have to beat either Georgia or Florida State to avoid a 6-7 record. I am projecting Virginia Tech to garner a 6th bid for a conference that on the bright side, will place two teams in the BCS if Clemson beats South Carolina.
Virginia Tech (5-6) - Virginia (W), projected record 6-6 (uncharted territory for the Hokies)
Georgia Tech (6-5) - at Georgia (L), vs Florida State in ACC Championship (L) projected record 6-7 (UCLA was allowed into the bowl a year ago, I am guessing Georgia Tech will get the same treatment at 6-7)
Wake Forest (5-6) - Vanderbilt (L), projected record 5-7 (Having Vanderbilt at home gives them a shot)
ACC Reset
1. Florida State Seminoles, 10-1 (Orange Bowl)
2. Clemson Tigers, 10-1 (Sugar Bowl)
3. North Carolina Tar Heels, 7-4
4. NC State Wolfpack, 6-5 (Chick Fil-A Bowl)
5. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 6-5 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
6. Miami Hurricanes, 6-5 - self-imposed bowl ban
7. Duke Blue Devils, 6-5 (Belk Bowl)
8. Virginia Tech Hokies, 5-6 (Sun Bowl)
9. Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 5-6
10. Virginia Cavaliers, 4-7
11. Maryland Terrapins, 4-7
12. Boston College Eagles, 2-9
(currently not filling Music City, Independence or Military Bowl slot)
Big East
The Big East has 4 bowl-eligible teams with the potential for 6. I do not believe Pitt or UConn has the horses to qualify for another bid in this conference. I am projecting Rutgers over Louisville next week to secure the BCS bid from the Big East.
Pittsburgh (4-6) - Rutgers (L), at South Florida (W), projected record 5-7 (Pitt just lost their margin for error, gets a week off to prepare for Rutgers)
Big East Reset:
1. Rutgers Scarlett Knights, 9-1 (Orange Bowl)
2. Louisville Cardinals, 9-1 (Russell Athletic Bowl)
3. Cincinnati Bearcats, 7-3 (Belk Bowl)
4. Syracuse Orange, 6-5 (Pinstripe Bowl)
5. Pittsburgh Panthers, 4-6
6. Connecticut Huskies, 4-6
7. Temple Owls, 4-6
8. South Florida Bulls, 3-7
(currently not filling BBVA Compass Bowl or Beef O'Brady's Bowl slots)
Other Conferences/Independents
Marshall (5-6) - at East Carolina (L), projected record 5-7
SMU (5-6) - Tulsa (L), projected record 5-7
Rice (5-6) - at UTEP (W), projected record 6-6
Central Michigan (5-6) - at UMass (W), projected record 6-6
Troy (5-6) - at Middle Tennessee (L), projected record 5-7
Other Conferences/Independents Reset:
1. Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 11-0 (BCS National Championship)
2. Northern Illinois Huskies, 10-1 (Little Caesars Bowl)
3. Kent State Golden Flash, 10-1 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
4. Boise State Broncos, 9-2 (Las Vegas Bowl)
5. Utah State Aggies, 9-2 (Famous Idaho Potato)
6. Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 9-2 (Liberty Bowl)
7. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 9-2 (Independence Bowl**)
8. San Diego State Aztecs, 8-3 (Poinsettia Bowl)
9. Fresno State Bulldogs, 8-3 (Hawaii Bowl)
10. UCF Golden Knights, 8-3 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl)
11. Ohio Bobcats, 8-3 (BBVA Compass Bowl**)
12. Toledo Rockets, 8-3 (Beef O'Brady's Bowl**)
13. Ball State Cardinals, 8-3 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)
14. Bowling Green Falcons, 7-4 (Music City Bowl**)
15. San Jose State Spartans, 9-2 (Hawaii Bowl**)
16. Arkansas State Redwolves, 8-3 (GoDaddy.com Bowl)
17. Nevada Wolfpack, 7-4 (New Mexico Bowl)
18. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, 7-3 (Little Caesars Bowl**)
19. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 7-4 (New Orleans Bowl)
20. BYU Cougars, 6-5 (Poinsettia Bowl)
21. Navy Midshipmen, 7-4 (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)
22. East Carolina Pirates, 7-4 (New Orleans Bowl)
23. Air Force Falcons, 6-5 (Armed Forces Bowl)
24. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, 6-4 (Independence Bowl**)
25. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 6-5 (Military Bowl**)
26. Rice Owls, 5-6 (Armed Forces Bowl)
27. Central Michigan Chippewas, 5-6 (Military Bowl**)
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